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Michigan State vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 73-64
36-28 37-36
Position#104
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game62.9
vs
Position#265
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game63.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Michigan State v Louisville
21 Mar 2026
MICH77
LOUI69
01 Dec 2021
MICH73
LOUI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Michigan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Michigan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#16
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A11/03
NCAA
UCLA
#63
L
80-86 OT
80
86
-6
H19/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
90-46
90
46
+44
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
73-52
73
52
+21
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H24/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H25/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-26
40-38
30-34
27-34
44-33
33-44
32-39
42-48
46-25
44-21
31-23
42-29
49-31
34-28
23-28
40-33
32-24
32-36
36-38
22-37
137.0Avg total
71.2Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.162.9135.0+9.371%
Season at home (6)72.064.7136.7+7.367%
Season away (1)73.052.0125.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)71.265.8137.0+5.460%
Last 5 (5)68.261.4129.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.673.4139.1-7.829%
vs Similar (9)64.265.8130.0-1.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.862.0150.8+26.8100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#236
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
80-73 OT
80
73
+7
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H10/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#105
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
H13/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H16/11
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
36-33
36-26
29-39
21-28
37-40
29-30
27-40
33-31
39-29
39-35
28-32
45-33
32-27
42-35
31-32
41-25
31-33
32-27
31-28
134.0Avg total
69.2Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.563.3134.8+8.283%
Season at home (4)73.566.8140.2+6.875%
Season away (2)67.556.5124.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.264.8134.0+4.470%
Last 5 (5)71.464.0135.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.967.4139.2+4.562%
vs Similar (15)65.166.8131.9-1.767%
vs Weaker (7)71.159.3130.4+11.971%
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -1.2-1.2
Michigan StateLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Michigan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#16
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A11/03
NCAA
UCLA
#63
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H19/03
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H10/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#250
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H24/11
NCAA
Uconn
#62
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H26/11
NCAA
65.4Avg total
35.3Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.264.5+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.730.365.1+4.461%-
Last 30 away (12)28.834.963.8-6.117%-
Last 10 (10)35.330.165.4+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.863.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)32.334.466.6-2.129%-
vs Similar (9)28.029.157.1-1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.529.872.2+12.8100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Notre Dame
#236
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H24/02
NCAA
Duke
#154
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A27/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#154
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H10/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#165
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H10/11
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H16/11
NCAA
Detroit
#215
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#171
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#217
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A27/11
NCAA
64.5Avg total
35.1Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.463.5+2.670%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.230.064.2+4.272%-
Last 30 away (12)31.331.162.4+0.267%-
Last 10 (10)35.129.464.5+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.831.070.8+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.532.067.5+3.575%-
vs Similar (15)32.031.363.3+0.773%-
vs Weaker (7)32.426.959.3+5.657%-
This opponent (Michigan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Michigan State wins
0
Louisville wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/21HBaylor58-75
25/11/21HUconn64-60
24/11/21HLoyola Chicago63-61
20/11/21HEastern Michigan83-59
18/11/21AButler73-52
12/11/21HWestern Michigan90-46
10/11/21HKansas74-87
19/03/21HUCLA80-86 OT
11/03/21AMaryland57-68
07/03/21HMichigan70-64
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/21AMaryland63-55
26/11/21AMississippi St.72-58
20/11/21HDetroit73-67
16/11/21HNavy77-60
13/11/21HFurman72-80 OT
10/11/21HSouthern Univ.72-60
10/03/21HDuke56-70
06/03/21HVirginia58-68
27/02/21ADuke80-73 OT
24/02/21HNotre Dame69-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Michigan State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%67%100%
Points / game72.172.073.0
Allowed / game62.964.752.0
Point differential+9.3+7.3+21.0
Avg total135.0136.7125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game71.573.567.5
Allowed / game63.366.856.5
Point differential+8.2+6.8+11.0
Avg total134.8140.2124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue770100%92.464.1+28.3
2 Iowa770100%94.066.7+27.3
3 USC660100%78.258.3+19.8
4 Minnesota660100%69.758.5+11.2
5 Indiana76186%82.165.0+17.1
6 UCLA76186%84.367.6+16.7
7 Wisconsin65183%67.755.2+12.5
8 Northwestern75271%80.463.6+16.9
9 Illinois75271%75.465.6+9.9
10 Michigan State75271%72.162.9+9.3
11 Nebraska75271%77.068.4+8.6
12 Ohio State75271%74.768.9+5.9
13 Maryland75271%71.167.3+3.9
14 Michigan64267%71.864.5+7.3
15 Penn State64267%68.864.3+4.5
16 Rutgers74357%67.763.0+4.7
17 Oregon74357%68.163.7+4.4
18 Washington84450%72.673.5-0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke87188%83.165.4+17.8
2 Wake Forest87188%82.067.8+14.2
3 Georgia Tech65183%75.866.2+9.7
4 Louisville65183%71.563.3+8.2
5 NC State65183%77.870.2+7.7
6 Virginia Tech75271%71.452.7+18.7
7 Florida State75271%74.167.3+6.9
8 North Carolina64267%83.278.7+4.5
9 Clemson85362%73.463.2+10.1
10 SMU Mustangs85362%77.068.2+8.8
11 Boston College85362%67.860.1+7.6
12 Virginia85362%63.056.2+6.8
13 Syracuse74357%83.481.9+1.6
14 Stanford74357%69.670.1-0.6
15 Miami (FL)74357%73.374.6-1.3
16 Notre Dame63350%71.065.7+5.3
17 California73443%64.767.4-2.7
18 Pittsburgh72529%60.967.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Michigan State363773
Louisville283664
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