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Lovcen Cetinje vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-66
18-20 23-8 23-19 26-19
Position#5
Record15-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.3
Lovcen Cetinje 🏆
Montenegro
vs
Mornar Bar
Montenegro
Position#4
Record16-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game81.5
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 23· Sportski Centar Cetinje
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lovcen Cetinje v Mornar Bar
16 Mar 2026
LOVC90
MBA66
03 May 2019
LOVC76
MBA71
27 Apr 2018
LOVC77
MBA100
24 Mar 2010
LOVC84
MBA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovcen Cetinje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lovcen CetinjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCetinje
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#2
L
75-102
75
102
-27
66avg 68
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
63avg 68
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
75-58
75
58
+17
69avg 68
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 68
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
96avg 68
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
65avg 68
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
H28/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
87-81
87
81
+6
75avg 68
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 68
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
19-16
21-26
13-28
16-15
15-20
15-14
23-14
18-13
14-20
27-23
22-19
22-20
14-15
23-12
16-11
25-20
26-17
20-16
19-21
25-27
27-7
20-22
22-28
19-19
23-22
21-32
13-14
27-19
24-20
17-17
17-18
22-16
24-19
23-20
18-26
18-14
32-22
15-20
23-17
159.1Avg total
82.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.576.3155.7+3.268%
Season at home (11)80.176.6156.7+3.564%
Season away (11)78.875.9154.7+2.973%
Last 10 (10)82.077.1159.1+4.980%
Last 5 (5)86.079.8165.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.189.7157.9-21.60%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.071.8150.8+7.283%
vs Weaker (11)79.373.5152.7+5.873%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
106-105
106
105
+1
97avg 71
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
52avg 71
H27/01
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 71
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
102-87
102
87
+15
95avg 71
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
94-84
94
84
+10
85avg 71
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-96
82
96
-14
64avg 71
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
71-113
71
113
-42
56avg 71
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
101-89
101
89
+12
92avg 71
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
97avg 71
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
21-21
23-9
29-29
30-25
17-24
27-25
32-31
23-26
17-20
12-19
18-19
32-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
25-17
26-22
27-31
24-17
25-24
23-19
32-21
14-20
25-23
14-31
18-25
25-17
11-29
16-29
17-22
27-33
33-14
17-28
30-23
21-24
21-19
19-23
26-21
25-20
179.6Avg total
89.8Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.681.5168.1+5.273%
Season at home (11)88.079.4167.4+8.682%
Season away (11)85.383.5168.8+1.764%
Last 10 (10)89.889.8179.6+0.070%
Last 5 (5)87.893.0180.8-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.389.4164.8-14.122%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.177.9168.0+12.288%
vs Weaker (13)84.181.5165.5+2.669%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.3+0.3
Lovcen CetinjeMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A05/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H28/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A11/03
Prva A Liga
80.5Avg total
43.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.777.8+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.537.076.5+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.379.2-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.380.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)48.237.085.2+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.143.077.1-8.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.636.679.2+6.067%-
vs Weaker (11)38.638.276.8+0.555%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H27/01
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
Prva A Liga
88.5Avg total
43.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.883.3+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.040.584.5+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.182.0-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.744.888.5-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.888.6-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.042.380.3-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)46.940.487.2+6.575%-
vs Weaker (13)42.840.182.8+2.754%-
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lovcen Cetinje: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.717.9
58.1%
58.8%35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.4
33.8%
31.5%31.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.4%
69.7%13.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.6
56.9%
58.8%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.5
28.5%
31.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.713.7
63.1%
69.7%13.7
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lovcen Cetinje
WWWLWWWWWL
Mornar Bar
WWLLWWWLWW
#5
League position
#4
+7.2
Net rating
-7.7
115.6
Offensive rating
104.0
108.4
Defensive rating
111.7
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
6.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.8%
3-point %
28.5%
63.1%
Assist %
49.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 104.0Defence108.4 · 111.7Shooting54.4% · 51.3%3-point %33.8% · 28.5%Ball care0.0% · 6.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Lovcen Cetinje   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Lovcen Cetinje wins
4
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Mornar Bar v Lovcen Cetinje77-79
16/02/22Mornar Bar v Lovcen Cetinje95-65
13/05/19Mornar Bar v Lovcen Cetinje90-77
03/05/19Lovcen Cetinje v Mornar Bar76-71
12/05/18Mornar Bar v Lovcen Cetinje102-79
27/04/18Lovcen Cetinje v Mornar Bar77-100
24/03/10Lovcen Cetinje v Mornar Bar84-76
18/03/10Mornar Bar v Lovcen Cetinje77-80
Lovcen Cetinjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AJedinstvo88-73
07/03/26HDecic87-81
28/02/26HStudentski Centar85-74
15/02/26APrimorje76-87
07/02/26ATivat94-84
31/01/26HVukovi Zeta90-74
24/01/26AIbar Rozaje75-58
17/01/26HUlcinj81-75
10/01/26APodgorica69-63
05/01/26ASutjeska75-102
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26ADanilovgrad91-83
08/03/26HJedinstvo101-89
05/03/26AZlatibor71-113
14/02/26ADecic82-96
11/02/26HPrimorje94-84
07/02/26AStudentski Centar102-87
02/02/26HTivat90-85
27/01/26HVojvodina Novi Sad70-84
24/01/26AVukovi Zeta106-105
17/01/26HIbar Rozaje91-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lovcen Cetinje
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayWWWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%64%73%
Points / game79.580.178.8
Allowed / game76.376.675.9
Point differential+3.2+3.5+2.9
Avg total155.7156.7154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%27%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%82%64%
Points / game86.688.085.3
Allowed / game81.579.483.5
Point differential+5.2+8.6+1.7
Avg total168.1167.4168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2319483%99.081.4+17.7
2 Primorje2317674%91.282.5+8.7
3 Mornar Bar2216673%86.681.5+5.2
4 Lovcen Cetinje2215768%79.576.3+3.2
5 Podgorica23131057%80.777.6+3.1
6 Jedinstvo23131057%86.785.7+1.0
7 Kotor23111248%78.981.0-2.1
8 Studentski Centar2291341%80.583.5-2.9
9 Ibar Rozaje2391439%76.681.8-5.3
10 Vukovi Zeta2381535%83.086.5-3.5
11 Decic2381535%86.290.7-4.4
12 Tivat2381535%89.895.0-5.2
13 Danilovgrad2381535%80.586.7-6.2
14 Ulcinj2251723%77.987.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lovcen Cetinje1823232690
Mornar Bar208191966
← all games of the day
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