PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Texas State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 84-67
48-29 36-38
Position#40
Record17-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#101
Record15-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Texas State v Arkansas State
17 Dec 2025
TEXA70
ARKA89
01 Feb 2025
TEXA74
ARKA85
20 Jan 2024
TEXA72
ARKA79
09 Feb 2023
TEXA66
ARKA62
17 Feb 2022
TEXA84
ARKA67
09 Jan 2021
TEXA v ARKA
upcoming
08 Jan 2021
TEXA v ARKA
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
TEXA69
ARKA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
51-33
29-23
32-32
40-36
43-24
26-35
32-32
28-35
21-36
37-34
26-29
32-24
41-29
27-37
29-29
40-35
41-36
41-37
30-29
33-25
130.9Avg total
67.9Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.163.4134.5+7.774%
Season at home (11)74.257.0131.2+17.291%
Season away (12)68.269.2137.5-1.058%
Last 10 (10)67.963.0130.9+4.980%
Last 5 (5)68.062.0130.0+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar (8)66.468.0134.4-1.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)72.660.0132.6+12.786%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A08/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H21/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A27/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
51-70
51
70
-19
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
43-38
42-51
48-32
26-35
49-35
32-32
35-28
27-33
27-28
33-35
40-31
29-26
30-34
34-23
33-35
35-29
42-50
25-45
26-25
138.0Avg total
69.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.068.0140.0+4.065%
Season at home (12)73.462.2135.6+11.383%
Season away (11)70.574.5144.9-4.045%
Last 10 (10)69.069.0138.0+0.050%
Last 5 (5)65.466.6132.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)62.969.9132.7-7.043%
vs Similar (10)64.166.4130.5-2.330%
vs Weaker (10)76.567.8144.3+8.790%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +3.7+3.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +3.7+3.7
Texas StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A12/02
NCAA
65.5Avg total
34.6Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.828.862.6+5.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.226.461.6+8.869%-
Last 30 away (14)32.231.663.8+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.630.965.5+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.463.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (8)32.028.160.1+3.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.028.363.4+6.762%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A08/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H05/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A11/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A13/02
NCAA
65.7Avg total
31.3Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.766.0+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.328.362.5+6.080%-
Last 30 away (15)32.237.269.4-5.020%-
Last 10 (10)31.334.465.7-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.231.662.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.938.769.6-7.914%-
vs Similar (10)29.629.158.7+0.550%-
vs Weaker (10)36.233.069.2+3.260%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Texas State wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22ALouisiana Monroe63-54
11/02/22ALouisiana Lafayette82-73
05/02/22HCoastal Carolina69-64
03/02/22HAppalachian State68-66
29/01/22HUT Arlington58-53
28/01/22AUT Arlington58-70
22/01/22AArkansas State60-67
21/01/22AUALR69-59
15/01/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-68
14/01/22HLouisiana Monroe80-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/22ASouth Alabama51-70
11/02/22ATroy77-79
05/02/22HLouisiana Lafayette67-58
04/02/22HLouisiana Monroe59-60
29/01/22ACoastal Carolina73-66
27/01/22AAppalachian State54-61
22/01/22HTexas State67-60
21/01/22HUT Arlington75-70
08/01/22ALouisiana Monroe90-83
07/01/22ALouisiana Lafayette77-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%91%58%
Points / game71.174.268.2
Allowed / game63.457.069.2
Point differential+7.7+17.2-1.0
Avg total134.5131.2137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL65%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%83%45%
Points / game72.073.470.5
Allowed / game68.062.274.5
Point differential+4.0+11.2-4.0
Avg total140.0135.6144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%58%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2317674%71.163.4+7.7
2 South Alabama2618869%73.363.2+10.0
3 Troy2618869%70.665.3+5.3
4 Arkansas State2315865%72.068.0+4.0
5 Georgia State2213959%71.264.9+6.3
6 James Madison26151158%76.071.8+4.3
7 Appalachian State28161257%66.562.7+3.8
8 Coastal Carolina25131252%73.365.4+7.8
9 Louisiana Monroe27131448%72.273.4-1.1
10 Georgia Southern24111346%66.664.6+2.0
11 Louisiana Lafayette24111346%70.969.6+1.3
12 Old Dominion26101638%66.367.4-1.1
13 Marshall26101638%74.576.4-1.9
14 Southern Miss2461825%63.573.0-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State483684
Arkansas State293867
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.