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Troy vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-77
29-35 50-42
Position#99
Record16-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game65.0
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#101
Record15-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Troy v Arkansas State
30 Jan 2027
TROY v ARKA
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
TROY99
ARKA74
10 Mar 2025
TROY94
ARKA81
11 Jan 2025
TROY78
ARKA84
15 Feb 2024
TROY71
ARKA82
02 Mar 2023
TROY63
ARKA59
07 Jan 2023
TROY66
ARKA54
10 Feb 2022
TROY79
ARKA77
25 Jan 2020
TROY62
ARKA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#40
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A31/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A01/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H07/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A23/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
45-39
29-34
28-28
28-29
41-30
30-29
38-24
43-29
30-36
28-30
31-39
33-39
30-43
31-22
46-46
34-26
33-37
35-23
26-29
130.8Avg total
67.2Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)70.765.0135.7+5.870%
Season at home (9)76.258.7134.9+17.689%
Season away (14)67.269.0136.2-1.857%
Last 10 (10)67.263.6130.8+3.670%
Last 5 (5)65.466.8132.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.675.1141.7-8.622%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.965.7132.6+1.273%
vs Weaker (9)74.463.7138.1+10.867%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon
#421
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
A07/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A08/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H21/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A27/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-35
43-31
27-22
47-34
30-35
43-38
42-51
48-32
26-35
49-35
32-32
35-28
27-33
27-28
33-35
40-31
29-26
30-34
34-23
33-35
138.7Avg total
72.4Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.867.4140.2+5.371%
Season at home (12)73.462.2135.6+11.383%
Season away (9)71.974.4146.3-2.656%
Last 10 (10)72.466.3138.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)64.061.0125.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.869.8134.7-5.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)67.568.1135.5-0.645%
vs Weaker (10)76.567.8144.3+8.790%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: +6.9+6.9
TroyArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#40
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A31/12
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A01/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A23/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A05/02
NCAA
60.9Avg total
32.4Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.030.263.2+2.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.225.860.0+8.358%-
Last 30 away (18)32.233.165.3-0.839%-
Last 10 (10)32.428.560.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)32.228.060.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.632.161.7-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)30.130.160.2+0.055%-
vs Weaker (9)38.429.868.2+8.744%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon
#421
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
27-22
27
22
+5
H01/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A08/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H05/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
32.5Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.032.566.5+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.128.963.9+6.276%-
Last 30 away (13)32.537.269.8-4.715%-
Last 10 (10)32.532.765.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.029.860.8+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.837.769.5-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.229.961.1+1.345%-
vs Weaker (10)36.233.069.2+3.260%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
2
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
25/01/20Troy v Arkansas State62-78
11/01/20Arkansas State v Troy76-68 OT
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22AGeorgia Southern61-52
04/02/22AGeorgia State67-63
30/01/22HSouth Alabama77-68
28/01/22ASouth Alabama63-82
23/01/22ALouisiana Lafayette59-69
21/01/22ALouisiana Monroe73-65
08/01/22HAppalachian State68-53
07/01/22HCoastal Carolina69-59
01/01/22AUT Arlington57-62
31/12/21ATexas State78-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22HLouisiana Lafayette67-58
04/02/22HLouisiana Monroe59-60
29/01/22ACoastal Carolina73-66
27/01/22AAppalachian State54-61
22/01/22HTexas State67-60
21/01/22HUT Arlington75-70
08/01/22ALouisiana Monroe90-83
07/01/22ALouisiana Lafayette77-83 OT
01/01/22HGeorgia Southern74-56
21/12/21HLyon88-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %70%89%57%
Points / game70.776.267.2
Allowed / game65.058.769.0
Point differential+5.8+17.6-1.8
Avg total135.7134.9136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %9%11%7%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW71%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %71%83%56%
Points / game72.873.471.9
Allowed / game67.462.274.4
Point differential+5.3+11.2-2.6
Avg total140.2135.6146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%58%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2115671%71.063.4+7.6
2 Arkansas State2115671%72.867.4+5.3
3 Troy2316770%70.765.0+5.8
4 South Alabama2315865%73.364.3+9.0
5 Appalachian State26161062%67.362.7+4.6
6 James Madison2213959%77.872.6+5.2
7 Coastal Carolina22121055%74.365.7+8.6
8 Georgia State1910953%72.066.6+5.4
9 Georgia Southern22111150%67.163.3+3.8
10 Louisiana Monroe24121250%72.773.7-1.0
11 Louisiana Lafayette21101148%70.168.1+2.0
12 Old Dominion2391439%66.667.4-0.8
13 Marshall2381535%74.477.1-2.7
14 Southern Miss2261627%62.971.9-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy295079
Arkansas State354277
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