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Lublin vs Czarni Slupsk Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 83-77
13-23 27-14 23-21 20-19
Position#4
Record6-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game89.2
Lublin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#6
Record5-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game76.5
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 12· Globus
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lublin v Czarni Slupsk
15 Feb 2027
LUB v CSL
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
LUB101
CSL96
25 May 2025
LUB109
CSL94
17 May 2025
LUB90
CSL81
15 May 2025
LUB84
CSL82
29 Dec 2024
LUB83
CSL77
06 Apr 2024
LUB77
CSL86
15 Apr 2023
LUB80
CSL91
30 Dec 2021
LUB81
CSL82
19 Jan 2018
LUB107
CSL50
28 Oct 2016
LUB63
CSL66
29 Nov 2015
LUB72
CSL91
23 Jan 2015
LUB82
CSL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Czarni Slupsk winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Legia
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
75avg 85
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
79avg 85
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
95avg 85
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
94avg 85
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
60avg 85
A09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
71avg 85
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
95-81
95
81
+14
90avg 85
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
122-121 OT
122
121
+1
105avg 85
H07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
89avg 85
H13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
L
63-75
63
75
-12
49avg 85
A19/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
19-29
24-24
11-21
31-26
16-26
25-25
12-16
22-30
28-18
27-23
22-28
27-13
12-18
33-13
24-28
17-19
15-25
24-18
21-25
24-27
18-21
15-14
25-19
21-20
27-15
24-23
23-23
21-16
22-26
27-35
23-16
16-30
25-20
26-17
24-15
18-19
15-16
9-16
21-24
178.4Avg total
89.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)89.989.2179.1+0.755%
Season at home (6)94.389.7184.0+4.767%
Season away (5)84.688.6173.2-4.040%
Last 10 (10)89.389.1178.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)90.688.0178.6+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)91.290.0181.2+1.240%
vs Similar (14)91.992.9184.7-1.050%
vs Weaker (10)93.288.1181.3+5.160%
This opponent (Czarni Slupsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Czarni SlupskPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlupsk
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
66-70
66
70
-4
58avg 70
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 70
H20/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
98avg 70
A26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
83-60
83
60
+23
73avg 70
H03/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
64-66
64
66
-2
52avg 70
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
98-84
98
84
+14
88avg 70
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
80-88
80
88
-8
71avg 70
A01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
54avg 70
H06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 70
A14/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
86-72
86
72
+14
78avg 70
H21/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
21-15
20-13
10-15
22-28
20-26
20-19
24-31
24-23
27-11
25-27
20-17
26-21
18-10
23-23
16-6
12-15
11-21
16-14
25-16
21-12
24-23
27-17
26-32
17-27
26-20
19-18
18-23
12-19
18-15
15-15
18-23
20-15
17-15
21-16
21-22
21-21
20-19
22-18
23-14
156.3Avg total
80.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.376.5155.7+2.845%
Season at home (6)81.278.5159.7+2.750%
Season away (5)77.074.0151.0+3.040%
Last 10 (10)80.176.2156.3+3.950%
Last 5 (5)81.276.8158.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.579.0152.5-5.533%
vs Similar (9)78.075.6153.6+2.444%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.476.7157.1+3.657%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
LublinCzarni Slupsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A19/12
Energa Basket Liga
84.7Avg total
41.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.546.290.8-1.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.046.892.8-0.841%-
Last 30 away (13)42.645.588.1-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.984.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.083.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)43.846.690.4-2.840%-
vs Similar (14)44.647.892.4-3.129%-
vs Weaker (10)43.742.986.6+0.850%-
This opponent (Czarni Slupsk) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Czarni SlupskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H20/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H21/12
Energa Basket Liga
77.5Avg total
39.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.379.4-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.978.1-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.040.780.7-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.377.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.276.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.342.881.2-4.533%-
vs Similar (9)38.338.476.8-0.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.739.579.2+0.243%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.4
54.5%
53.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.0
32.4%
35.2%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.519.7
80.4%
73.7%19.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Czarni Slupsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Czarni Slupsk: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.3
54.4%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
35.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.6
73.9%
73.7%13.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
LWWWWLWLLL
Czarni Slupsk
WWLLWLWWLL
#4
League position
#6
+0.3
Net rating
+4.9
111.5
Offensive rating
106.6
111.2
Defensive rating
101.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.4%
3-point %
31.7%
58.2%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 106.6Defence111.2 · 101.7Shooting52.3% · 51.6%3-point %32.4% · 31.7%Ball care15.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds26.7% · 27.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Lublin   ■ Czarni Slupsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lublin wins
8
Czarni Slupsk wins
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24ADziki Warszawa63-75
13/12/24HZielona Gora91-82
07/12/24HTrefl Sopot122-121 OT
01/12/24HDabrowa Gornicza95-81
17/11/24ASzczecin82-81
09/11/24ASlask Wroclaw77-87
31/10/24HGdynia96-72
24/10/24AGTK Gliwice105-110 OT
18/10/24HGornik Walbrzych84-93
11/10/24HLegia78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HDabrowa Gornicza86-72
14/12/24ASzczecin79-68
06/12/24HSlask Wroclaw63-72
01/12/24AGdynia80-88
14/11/24HGTK Gliwice98-84
08/11/24AGornik Walbrzych64-66
03/11/24HLegia83-60
26/10/24ATorun96-78
20/10/24HAnwil Wloclawek86-104
11/10/24AOstrow Wielkopolski66-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game89.994.384.6
Allowed / game89.289.788.6
Point differential+0.7+4.7-4.0
Avg total179.1184.0173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %18%17%20%
Czarni Slupsk
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game79.381.277.0
Allowed / game76.578.574.0
Point differential+2.8+2.7+3.0
Avg total155.7159.7151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek1210283%90.479.6+10.8
2 Trefl Sopot128467%90.888.2+2.6
3 Legia127558%83.881.0+2.8
4 Dziki Warszawa127558%74.872.2+2.6
5 Gornik Walbrzych127558%77.277.0+0.2
6 Szczecin116555%83.979.9+4.0
7 Lublin116555%89.989.2+0.7
8 Spojnia Stargard126650%78.177.4+0.7
9 Slask Wroclaw126650%78.779.4-0.8
10 GTK Gliwice126650%86.490.0-3.6
11 Czarni Slupsk115645%79.376.5+2.8
12 Zielona Gora125742%79.883.2-3.4
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski114736%79.583.9-4.5
14 Gdynia114736%83.589.2-5.7
15 Torun113827%79.283.0-3.8
16 Dabrowa Gornicza123925%76.782.7-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin1327232083
Czarni Slupsk2314211977
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