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Lublin vs Trefl Sopot Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 122-121 (OT)
21-16 22-26 27-35 23-16 29-28
Position#4
Record4-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game87.9
Lublin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#3
Record7-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game82.5
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 9· Globus
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lublin v Trefl Sopot
12 Apr 2027
LUB v TSO
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
LUB84
TSO105
04 Jun 2025
LUB93
TSO95
02 Jun 2025
LUB92
TSO84
07 Dec 2024
LUB122
TSO121
18 Mar 2024
LUB84
TSO85
19 Feb 2023
LUB80
TSO91
09 Oct 2022
LUB96
TSO75
23 Sep 2021
LUB70
TSO73
09 Mar 2021
LUB80
TSO91
14 Mar 2020
LUB v TSO
upcoming
06 Apr 2019
LUB100
TSO75
25 Mar 2018
LUB84
TSO72
15 Jan 2017
LUB87
TSO79
01 Apr 2016
LUB69
TSO70
26 Apr 2015
LUB77
TSO87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trefl Sopot winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
93-96
93
96
-3
78avg 83
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
92-112
92
112
-20
79avg 83
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
W
96-90
96
90
+6
94avg 83
A05/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
75avg 83
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
79avg 83
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
95avg 83
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
94avg 83
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
60avg 83
A09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
71avg 83
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
95-81
95
81
+14
90avg 83
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
16-29
22-24
28-16
25-27
22-26
27-21
18-38
22-21
26-23
24-21
24-25
24-15
19-29
24-24
11-21
31-26
16-26
25-25
12-16
22-30
28-18
27-23
22-28
27-13
12-18
33-13
24-28
17-19
15-25
24-18
21-25
24-27
18-21
15-14
25-19
21-20
27-15
24-23
23-23
180.9Avg total
89.8Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.187.9177.0+1.250%
Season at home (4)88.283.8172.0+4.550%
Season away (4)90.092.0182.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)89.891.1180.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)91.086.2177.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)89.091.7180.7-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)91.291.2182.4+0.050%
vs Weaker (9)93.488.8182.2+4.756%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
96-81
96
81
+15
102avg 76
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
54avg 76
A30/10
Eurocup
Szczecin
#7
W
99-96
99
96
+3
92avg 76
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Besiktas
#9
L
79-100
79
100
-21
77avg 76
H05/11
Eurocup
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
93-108
93
108
-15
no box
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
64-93
64
93
-29
52avg 76
H12/11
Eurocup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
92-68
92
68
+24
90avg 76
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gran Canaria
#4
L
58-84
58
84
-26
48avg 76
A28/11
Eurocup
Torun
#8
W
75-68
75
68
+7
67avg 76
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ulm
#13
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 76
A03/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
23-18
24-25
23-18
15-15
12-28
19-10
21-26
22-34
18-18
30-24
29-20
25-32
26-25
23-24
5-19
30-22
24-32
22-26
17-28
16-22
16-23
18-22
14-26
30-20
27-12
19-20
16-16
10-19
21-20
11-23
16-22
20-11
22-28
12-12
21-17
19-19
21-19
12-20
17-25
165.2Avg total
79.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.282.5172.8+7.888%
Season at home (5)87.880.6168.4+7.280%
Season away (3)94.385.7180.0+8.7100%
Last 10 (10)79.286.0165.2-6.840%
Last 5 (5)71.679.2150.8-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.688.8164.4-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.384.2167.6-0.956%
vs Weaker (10)84.773.3158.0+11.490%
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
LublinTrefl Sopot
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A05/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
89.4Avg total
43.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.746.991.6-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.147.493.6-1.338%-
Last 30 away (14)43.146.289.4-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.589.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.283.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.248.091.2-4.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)45.148.893.9-3.629%-
vs Weaker (9)44.042.186.1+1.956%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A30/10
Eurocup
Szczecin
#7
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Besiktas
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H05/11
Eurocup
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H12/11
Eurocup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/11
Eurocup
Torun
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ulm
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/12
Eurocup
86.0Avg total
42.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.079.7-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.439.781.1+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)37.540.477.8-2.946%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.786.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.438.679.0+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.243.980.1-7.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.840.979.7-2.144%-
vs Weaker (10)45.235.780.9+9.580%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.1
55.0%
53.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.9
36.2%
35.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.917.9
78.2%
73.7%17.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.3
53.7%
53.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.9
33.8%
35.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.814.6
77.7%
73.7%14.6
They take 54.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
WWLWLLLWLL
Trefl Sopot
LWLWLLLWLW
#4
League position
#3
-2.2
Net rating
-6.2
113.6
Offensive rating
106.3
115.8
Defensive rating
112.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
56.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.4%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.2%
3-point %
33.8%
55.8%
Assist %
58.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 106.3Defence115.8 · 112.5Shooting54.7% · 52.6%3-point %36.2% · 33.8%Ball care15.1% · 19.4%Off. rebounds25.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Lublin   ■ Trefl Sopot
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lublin wins
5
Trefl Sopot wins
DateGameScore
18/03/24Lublin v Trefl Sopot84-85
29/09/23Trefl Sopot v Lublin73-82
19/02/23Lublin v Trefl Sopot80-91
28/01/23Trefl Sopot v Lublin74-69
09/10/22Lublin v Trefl Sopot96-75
10/04/22Trefl Sopot v Lublin84-86
23/09/21Lublin v Trefl Sopot70-73
09/03/21Lublin v Trefl Sopot80-91
04/10/20Trefl Sopot v Lublin70-76
16/11/19Trefl Sopot v Lublin82-95
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HDabrowa Gornicza95-81
17/11/24ASzczecin82-81
09/11/24ASlask Wroclaw77-87
31/10/24HGdynia96-72
24/10/24AGTK Gliwice105-110 OT
18/10/24HGornik Walbrzych84-93
11/10/24HLegia78-89
05/10/24ATorun96-90
27/04/24HLegia92-112
18/04/24AOstrow Wielkopolski93-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24AUlm69-83
01/12/24HTorun75-68
28/11/24AGran Canaria58-84
16/11/24HDabrowa Gornicza92-68
12/11/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv64-93
08/11/24HAnwil Wloclawek93-108
05/11/24HBesiktas79-100
02/11/24ASzczecin99-96
30/10/24ABahcesehir Kol.67-79
26/10/24HOstrow Wielkopolski96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game89.188.290.0
Allowed / game87.983.892.0
Point differential+1.2+4.5-2.0
Avg total177.0172.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Trefl Sopot
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%80%100%
Points / game90.287.894.3
Allowed / game82.580.685.7
Point differential+7.8+7.2+8.7
Avg total172.8168.4180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek880100%90.577.5+13.0
2 Trefl Sopot87188%90.282.5+7.8
3 Legia96367%81.179.8+1.3
4 Szczecin85362%86.980.8+6.1
5 Gornik Walbrzych85362%76.873.6+3.1
6 Dziki Warszawa85362%76.674.0+2.6
7 Lublin84450%89.187.9+1.2
8 Spojnia Stargard84450%78.678.6+0.0
9 Slask Wroclaw94544%77.678.9-1.3
10 GTK Gliwice83538%84.090.4-6.4
11 Czarni Slupsk93633%78.677.9+0.7
12 Torun93633%79.782.7-3.0
13 Dabrowa Gornicza93633%81.484.9-3.4
14 Zielona Gora93633%79.684.4-4.9
15 Ostrow Wielkopolski82625%76.283.2-7.0
16 Gdynia82625%82.290.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Lublin2122272329122
Trefl Sopot1626351628121
← all games of the day
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