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Lublin vs Gornik Walbrzych Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 84-93
31-26 16-26 25-25 12-16
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game89.5
vs
Position#5
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.0
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 3· Globus
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lublin v Gornik Walbrzych
27 Dec 2026
LUB v GORN
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
LUB85
GORN79
27 Sep 2025
LUB80
GORN66
15 Feb 2025
LUB60
GORN88
18 Oct 2024
LUB84
GORN93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gornik Walbrzych winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#14
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 84
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 84
H18/03
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
103-91
103
91
+12
106avg 84
A24/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
111-84
111
84
+27
109avg 84
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 84
H06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
110-108
110
108
+2
100avg 84
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
93-96
93
96
-3
78avg 84
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
92-112
92
112
-20
79avg 84
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
W
96-90
96
90
+6
94avg 84
A05/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
75avg 84
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
17-26
24-24
26-17
26-16
19-27
23-25
16-17
25-24
21-26
23-22
34-19
31-22
22-30
29-18
29-14
17-27
22-16
18-20
20-23
36-27
22-37
26-17
26-27
27-27
16-29
22-24
28-16
25-27
22-26
27-21
18-38
22-21
26-23
24-21
24-25
24-15
19-29
24-24
11-21
185.7Avg total
92.6Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)87.089.5176.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)78.089.0167.0-11.00%
Season away (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.693.1185.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)93.899.0192.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.493.9182.3-5.429%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.590.4180.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (8)91.889.9181.6+1.950%
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gornik WalbrzychPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWalbrzych
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
90avg 80
A27/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
97-76
97
76
+21
95avg 80
H04/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 80
H05/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
97-92
97
92
+5
90avg 80
A11/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
L
65-68
65
68
-3
58avg 80
H18/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 80
H19/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
86-74
86
74
+12
86avg 80
A25/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
76-67
76
67
+9
65avg 80
A26/05
1 Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 80
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
79-74
79
74
+5
64avg 80
A12/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
17-24
28-29
25-9
19-29
27-22
25-20
26-5
23-22
25-20
18-17
20-14
27-23
23-23
20-28
27-18
15-19
16-12
16-20
18-17
19-18
24-19
13-13
21-15
17-18
23-15
23-13
23-28
15-18
22-19
26-20
13-10
18-20
24-24
21-24
9-14
22-16
19-28
12-19
26-11
158.7Avg total
83.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.578.0153.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)72.082.0154.0-10.00%
Season away (1)79.074.0153.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.075.7158.7+7.380%
Last 5 (5)78.072.4150.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)75.578.0153.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (28)85.275.9161.1+9.375%
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.7+6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.7+6.7
LublinGornik Walbrzych
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdynia
#14
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/03
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A24/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A05/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
95.2Avg total
45.4Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.447.792.2-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.149.095.1-2.931%-
Last 30 away (14)42.646.388.9-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)45.449.895.2-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)47.852.2100.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.648.390.9-5.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.848.693.4-3.829%-
vs Weaker (8)44.144.888.9-0.638%-
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gornik WalbrzychLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A27/04
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H04/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H05/05
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#6
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A11/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H18/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H19/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A25/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A26/05
1 Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A12/10
Energa Basket Liga
83.3Avg total
42.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.980.8+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.537.878.2+2.747%-
Last 30 away (13)43.640.584.1+3.269%-
Last 10 (10)42.041.383.3+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.544.085.5-2.50%-
vs Weaker (28)41.938.680.4+3.361%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.920.5
57.1%
53.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.3
38.7%
35.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.317.1
76.7%
73.7%17.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gornik Walbrzychtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gornik Walbrzych: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.8
51.4%
53.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.5
32.6%
35.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.516.4
69.8%
73.7%16.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
LWLLWLWWLL
Gornik Walbrzych
WLWWWLWWWW
#4
League position
#5
-0.1
Net rating
+10.3
119.6
Offensive rating
108.8
119.8
Defensive rating
98.5
57.5%
Effective FG%
50.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
16.3%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.7%
3-point %
32.6%
58.2%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.6 · 108.8Defence119.8 · 98.5Shooting57.5% · 50.5%3-point %38.7% · 32.6%Ball care14.8% · 16.3%Off. rebounds26.9% · 31.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Lublin   ■ Gornik Walbrzych
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin wins
0
Gornik Walbrzych wins
No previous meetings.
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/24HLegia78-89
05/10/24ATorun96-90
27/04/24HLegia92-112
18/04/24AOstrow Wielkopolski93-96
13/04/24HSpojnia Stargard110-108
06/04/24HCzarni Slupsk77-86
30/03/24HDziki Warszawa111-84
24/03/24AZielona Gora103-91
18/03/24HTrefl Sopot84-85
13/03/24AGdynia82-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ADabrowa Gornicza79-74
04/10/24HSzczecin72-82
26/05/24ABydgoszcz76-67
25/05/24ABydgoszcz86-74
19/05/24HBydgoszcz77-65
18/05/24HBydgoszcz65-68
11/05/24AStarogard Gdanski97-92
05/05/24HStarogard Gdanski86-73
04/05/24HStarogard Gdanski97-76
27/04/24AKotwica Kolobrzeg95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game87.078.096.0
Allowed / game89.589.090.0
Point differential-2.5-11.0+6.0
Avg total176.5167.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gornik Walbrzych
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game75.572.079.0
Allowed / game78.082.074.0
Point differential-2.5-10.0+5.0
Avg total153.5154.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek220100%88.070.0+18.0
2 Szczecin220100%89.574.0+15.5
3 Trefl Sopot220100%90.083.5+6.5
4 Dziki Warszawa21150%79.071.0+8.0
5 Torun21150%84.582.0+2.5
6 Dabrowa Gornicza21150%75.573.5+2.0
7 Spojnia Stargard21150%78.577.0+1.5
8 Legia21150%78.577.5+1.0
9 Slask Wroclaw21150%86.586.0+0.5
10 GTK Gliwice21150%83.585.0-1.5
11 Gornik Walbrzych21150%75.578.0-2.5
12 Lublin21150%87.089.5-2.5
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski21150%66.577.0-10.5
14 Czarni Slupsk2020%68.574.5-6.0
15 Gdynia2020%85.098.5-13.5
16 Zielona Gora2020%69.088.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin3116251284
Gornik Walbrzych2626251693
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