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Torun vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-96
21-22 23-26 21-24 25-24
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Lublin 🏆
Poland
Position#4
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 1· Arena Torun
Other2024-25
Meetings · Torun v Lublin
22 Jan 2027
TOR v LUB
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
TOR97
LUB88
05 Oct 2024
TOR90
LUB96
04 Jan 2024
TOR98
LUB84
22 Apr 2023
TOR80
LUB93
23 Mar 2022
TOR81
LUB55
15 Mar 2021
TOR104
LUB98
22 Dec 2019
TOR78
LUB75
12 Mar 2019
TOR87
LUB86
16 Feb 2018
TOR83
LUB71
17 Nov 2017
TOR98
LUB84
04 Jan 2017
TOR84
LUB73
30 Dec 2015
TOR88
LUB63
18 Feb 2015
TOR84
LUB62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#4
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
no box
A16/02
Polish Cup
Legia
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 74
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
101-86
101
86
+15
108avg 74
H07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
77avg 74
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#16
L
87-93
87
93
-6
78avg 74
A21/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
68avg 74
H29/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
L
76-92
76
92
-16
69avg 74
A05/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
69-78
69
78
-9
65avg 74
A14/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
92-88
92
88
+4
90avg 74
H21/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 74
A27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
27-18
17-19
26-26
15-22
22-15
17-18
16-28
28-18
24-16
30-21
19-31
17-27
22-24
16-18
25-9
23-16
13-26
20-26
31-25
22-22
14-30
29-20
14-17
21-21
19-27
17-24
19-20
17-21
22-20
20-18
10-19
31-22
13-26
24-17
24-23
19-20
20-25
13-18
18-28
168.1Avg total
81.3Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.386.8168.1-5.530%
Last 5 (5)77.287.6164.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.584.4162.9-5.936%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.982.4160.3-4.644%
vs Weaker (6)90.582.3172.8+8.267%
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#3
L
93-98
93
98
-5
79avg 84
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
88-80
88
80
+8
86avg 84
H07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 84
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 84
H18/03
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
103-91
103
91
+12
106avg 84
A24/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
111-84
111
84
+27
109avg 84
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 84
H06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
110-108
110
108
+2
100avg 84
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
93-96
93
96
-3
78avg 84
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
92-112
92
112
-20
79avg 84
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
24-22
26-25
28-28
24-22
25-19
15-21
24-18
15-23
17-26
24-24
26-17
26-16
19-27
23-25
16-17
25-24
21-26
23-22
34-19
31-22
22-30
29-18
29-14
17-27
22-16
18-20
20-23
36-27
22-37
26-17
26-27
27-27
16-29
22-24
28-16
25-27
22-26
27-21
18-38
186.3Avg total
93.3Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.393.0186.3+0.340%
Last 5 (5)96.697.2193.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)86.294.6180.9-8.425%
vs Similar ◀ (12)91.190.5181.6+0.650%
vs Weaker (9)92.986.8179.7+6.156%
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
TorunLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A16/02
Polish Cup
Legia
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#16
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A21/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H29/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A05/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H21/04
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A27/04
Energa Basket Liga
83.4Avg total
40.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.880.9-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.941.280.1-2.333%-
Last 30 away (15)39.442.481.8-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.483.4-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.646.886.4-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.445.282.6-7.814%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.841.681.3-1.822%-
vs Weaker (6)42.335.277.5+7.283%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/03
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A24/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
94.7Avg total
45.1Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.247.591.7-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.349.395.6-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.145.787.7-3.627%-
Last 10 (10)45.149.694.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)48.053.6101.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.248.689.9-7.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.749.394.0-4.725%-
vs Weaker (9)44.943.188.0+1.844%-
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.1
50.0%
53.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.610.2
41.5%
35.2%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
73.7%12.6
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.3
54.5%
53.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.812.3
39.9%
35.2%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.517.4
77.3%
73.7%17.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun
LWLLLLWWLL
Lublin
LLWLWWLLWL
#8
League position
#4
-10.0
Net rating
+1.4
107.0
Offensive rating
120.2
117.0
Defensive rating
118.7
54.9%
Effective FG%
57.0%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
18.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
41.5%
3-point %
39.9%
64.7%
Assist %
58.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 120.2Defence117.0 · 118.7Shooting54.9% · 57.0%3-point %41.5% · 39.9%Ball care18.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds24.9% · 26.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Torun   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Torun wins
4
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24Torun v Lublin98-84
22/09/23Lublin v Torun102-85
22/04/23Torun v Lublin80-93
14/03/23Lublin v Torun104-83
23/03/22Torun v Lublin81-55
15/10/21Lublin v Torun83-85
15/03/21Torun v Lublin104-98
02/09/20Lublin v Torun82-73
22/12/19Torun v Lublin78-75
12/03/19Torun v Lublin87-86
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24AAnwil Wloclawek70-91
21/04/24HSzczecin92-88
14/04/24ASlask Wroclaw69-78
05/04/24AGTK Gliwice76-92
29/03/24HDabrowa Gornicza79-89
21/03/24ALancut87-93
13/03/24ATrefl Sopot80-78
07/03/24HGdynia101-86
02/03/24HLegia70-83
16/02/24AAnwil Wloclawek89-90 OT
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HLegia92-112
18/04/24AOstrow Wielkopolski93-96
13/04/24HSpojnia Stargard110-108
06/04/24HCzarni Slupsk77-86
30/03/24HDziki Warszawa111-84
24/03/24AZielona Gora103-91
18/03/24HTrefl Sopot84-85
13/03/24AGdynia82-90
07/03/24HAnwil Wloclawek88-80
02/03/24HSzczecin93-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek110100%97.070.0+27.0
2 Dziki Warszawa110100%88.063.0+25.0
3 Szczecin110100%82.072.0+10.0
4 Trefl Sopot110100%97.089.0+8.0
5 Gdynia1010%89.097.0-8.0
6 Gornik Walbrzych1010%72.082.0-10.0
7 Ostrow Wielkopolski1010%63.088.0-25.0
8 Zielona Gora1010%70.097.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torun2123212590
Lublin2226242496
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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