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Zielona Gora vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 91-103
24-25 26-21 22-23 19-34
Position#15
Record6-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Lublin 🏆
Poland
Position#7
Record13-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game88.8
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 25· CRS Hala Zielona Gora
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Lublin
23 Apr 2027
ZGO v LUB
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
ZGO76
LUB73
10 Apr 2025
ZGO101
LUB92
24 Mar 2024
ZGO91
LUB103
27 Oct 2022
ZGO96
LUB67
20 Jan 2022
ZGO85
LUB70
03 Dec 2020
ZGO90
LUB75
09 Jan 2020
ZGO100
LUB93
31 Oct 2018
ZGO92
LUB70
31 Mar 2018
ZGO94
LUB72
01 Apr 2017
ZGO86
LUB75
26 Mar 2016
ZGO100
LUB53
17 Jan 2015
ZGO84
LUB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
92avg 80
H17/01
ENBL
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
74-124
74
124
-50
56avg 80
A21/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#16
W
86-84
86
84
+2
84avg 80
H25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Voluntari
#3
L
77-97
77
97
-20
71avg 80
A31/01
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
91-104
91
104
-13
84avg 80
H05/02
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
L
94-99
94
99
-5
88avg 80
H11/02
Energa Basket Liga
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
74avg 80
A13/02
ENBL
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 80
H29/02
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
78avg 80
A10/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 80
A16/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
19-20
23-22
19-17
19-22
17-35
17-30
21-37
25-20
22-21
22-26
17-17
21-27
23-22
15-20
18-28
19-33
17-19
16-33
39-19
20-26
25-19
11-32
38-22
20-20
24-28
14-24
22-14
17-20
15-13
19-22
25-25
15-17
21-28
24-25
24-25
24-17
12-21
31-18
26-19
178.5Avg total
85.0Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.791.5175.2-7.825%
Season at home (12)85.693.4179.0-7.817%
Season away (12)81.889.5171.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)85.093.5178.5-8.530%
Last 5 (5)85.487.0172.4-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)83.892.4176.2-8.619%
vs Similar (6)87.088.8175.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (3)95.788.3184.0+7.3100%
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#8
W
85-75
85
75
+10
80avg 83
H22/01
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
114-102
114
102
+12
107avg 83
H28/01
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
86-83
86
83
+3
84avg 83
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Zwolle
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
90avg 83
H07/02
ENBL
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
A12/02
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
83-112
83
112
-29
68avg 83
H15/02
Polish Cup
Szczecin
#3
L
93-98
93
98
-5
79avg 83
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
88-80
88
80
+8
86avg 83
H07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
L
82-90
82
90
-8
74avg 83
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 83
H18/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
18-21
30-14
18-17
36-28
26-24
20-26
32-24
22-15
21-20
21-27
22-21
21-30
16-19
32-16
22-28
22-26
19-26
22-26
26-11
29-30
26-26
10-30
18-26
15-23
24-22
26-25
28-28
24-22
25-19
15-21
24-18
15-23
17-26
24-24
26-17
26-16
19-27
23-25
16-17
181.6Avg total
90.1Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.988.8177.7+0.254%
Season at home (11)95.490.4185.7+5.064%
Season away (13)83.587.4170.8-3.946%
Last 10 (10)90.191.5181.6-1.440%
Last 5 (5)86.093.0179.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.993.9177.8-10.033%
vs Similar (10)89.289.3178.5-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)93.286.6179.8+6.660%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
Zielona GoraLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/01
ENBL
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A21/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lancut
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Voluntari
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A31/01
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H05/02
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H11/02
Energa Basket Liga
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A13/02
ENBL
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H29/02
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A16/03
Energa Basket Liga
84.3Avg total
39.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.686.2-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.744.787.4-2.031%-
Last 30 away (14)40.444.484.8-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.984.3-5.510%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.880.4-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.245.485.6-5.119%-
vs Similar (6)45.844.290.0+1.767%-
vs Weaker (3)42.739.782.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H22/01
ENBL
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H28/01
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Zwolle
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H07/02
ENBL
Slask Wroclaw
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A12/02
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H15/02
Polish Cup
Szczecin
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A13/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H18/03
Energa Basket Liga
90.6Avg total
44.0Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.246.489.6-3.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.447.692.0-3.233%-
Last 30 away (15)42.145.187.2-3.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.046.690.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.890.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.147.388.4-6.222%-
vs Similar (10)42.648.290.8-5.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.642.787.3+1.950%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.9
56.6%
53.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.0
31.4%
34.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.2
74.7%
73.2%16.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.5
51.9%
53.6%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.7
40.7%
34.7%38.1
🏀 Free throws21.215.9
75.0%
73.2%15.9
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
WLLLLLLWLW
Lublin
LLWLLLLWWW
#15
League position
#7
-10.7
Net rating
+0.5
105.5
Offensive rating
116.2
116.2
Defensive rating
115.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.4%
3-point %
40.7%
66.9%
Assist %
62.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 116.2Defence116.2 · 115.6Shooting52.8% · 56.3%3-point %31.4% · 40.7%Ball care17.0% · 16.0%Off. rebounds22.3% · 27.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Zielona Gora wins
1
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
26/11/23Lublin v Zielona Gora91-95
03/03/23Lublin v Zielona Gora76-83
22/12/22Lublin v Zielona Gora88-94 OT
27/10/22Zielona Gora v Lublin96-67
17/02/22Lublin v Zielona Gora82-81 OT
20/01/22Zielona Gora v Lublin85-70
19/11/21Lublin v Zielona Gora73-99
20/03/21Lublin v Zielona Gora90-103
03/12/20Zielona Gora v Lublin90-75
09/01/20Zielona Gora v Lublin100-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AAnwil Wloclawek93-75
10/03/24ASzczecin84-95
29/02/24HSlask Wroclaw76-80
13/02/24ANewcastle Eagles80-86
11/02/24HGTK Gliwice94-99
05/02/24HDabrowa Gornicza91-104
31/01/24AVoluntari77-97
25/01/24HLancut86-84
21/01/24ATrefl Sopot74-124
17/01/24HKeila KK95-91 OT
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/24HTrefl Sopot84-85
13/03/24AGdynia82-90
07/03/24HAnwil Wloclawek88-80
02/03/24HSzczecin93-98
15/02/24HLegia83-112
12/02/24ASlask Wroclaw95-97 OT
07/02/24HZwolle91-93
02/02/24AGTK Gliwice86-83
28/01/24HDabrowa Gornicza114-102
22/01/24HTartu Ulikool85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %25%17%33%
Points / game83.785.681.8
Allowed / game91.593.489.5
Point differential-7.8-7.8-7.7
Avg total175.2179.0171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL54%
HomeLWLWL64%
AwayLWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %54%64%46%
Points / game88.995.483.5
Allowed / game88.890.487.4
Point differential+0.2+5.0-3.9
Avg total177.7185.7170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek2419579%86.677.1+9.5
2 Trefl Sopot2518772%85.277.8+7.4
3 Szczecin2416867%89.983.4+6.5
4 Ostrow Wielkopolski2516964%86.079.2+6.8
5 Spojnia Stargard25141156%80.776.4+4.3
6 Legia25141156%83.781.7+2.0
7 Lublin24131154%88.988.8+0.2
8 Slask Wroclaw24131154%78.481.4-3.0
9 Dziki Warszawa25131252%78.980.1-1.2
10 Czarni Slupsk24121250%78.380.3-2.0
11 Dabrowa Gornicza25121348%95.292.8+2.4
12 Torun25121348%81.783.3-1.6
13 GTK Gliwice2571828%85.591.5-6.0
14 Gdynia2571828%82.492.5-10.1
15 Zielona Gora2461825%83.791.5-7.8
16 Lancut2552020%80.888.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora2426221991
Lublin25212334103
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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