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Lublin vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-102
26-21 22-24 12-25 15-32
Position#30
Record1-1
FormWWWLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#2
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Globus
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Legia
#2
L
82-92
82
92
-10
73avg 78
H22/06
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#7
L
84-100
84
100
-16
82avg 78
A20/09
Champions League
Gornik Walbrzych
#3
W
80-66
80
66
+14
76avg 78
H27/09
Super Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
71avg 78
A28/09
Super Cup
Legia
#1
L
68-90
68
90
-22
57avg 78
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#16
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 78
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
81avg 78
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
83avg 78
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 78
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
72-98
72
98
-26
55avg 78
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
19-19
24-22
21-28
17-27
25-21
21-28
21-24
20-22
22-15
23-12
15-17
18-25
14-21
27-11
23-20
19-26
13-19
15-25
21-20
19-19
19-18
25-23
19-21
17-17
21-23
23-18
29-22
18-17
17-26
22-13
21-22
24-25
18-22
19-18
31-30
15-27
23-24
21-18
13-29
168.6Avg total
82.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.087.5178.5+3.550%
Season at home (1)90.080.0170.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)92.095.0187.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)82.286.4168.6-4.250%
Last 5 (5)85.287.8173.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.085.4165.4-5.460%
vs Similar (15)84.785.0169.7-0.353%
vs Weaker (3)86.382.3168.7+4.067%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
76-69
76
69
+7
73avg 74
A30/05
ACB
Lublin
#51
W
100-84
100
84
+16
92avg 74
H20/09
Champions League
Juventus
#18
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 74
A22/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 74
H24/09
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
95-64
95
64
+31
102avg 74
H05/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
93-71
93
71
+22
81avg 74
A11/10
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
77-63
77
63
+14
70avg 74
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
80-96
80
96
-16
66avg 74
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 74
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 74
H26/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-9
21-16
18-21
27-17
21-25
28-21
24-21
16-14
23-15
19-16
23-26
26-29
21-20
18-27
23-20
16-12
32-17
29-18
18-17
10-12
26-18
23-22
34-19
19-9
10-19
21-21
27-14
22-26
10-21
25-27
23-22
17-22
21-26
14-21
20-18
26-21
23-17
19-24
21-22
163.6Avg total
85.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.575.0149.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)77.063.0140.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)72.087.0159.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)85.178.5163.6+6.670%
Last 5 (5)82.280.2162.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.575.5156.0+5.050%
vs Similar (14)81.982.3164.2-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.477.7162.1+6.762%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.1+3.1
LublinMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H22/06
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/09
Champions League
Gornik Walbrzych
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H27/09
Super Cup
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A28/09
Super Cup
Legia
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
81.2Avg total
37.6Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.085.9-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.143.987.0-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)41.144.185.1-3.035%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.681.2-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.681.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.542.781.2-4.210%-
vs Similar (15)44.744.388.9+0.460%-
vs Weaker (3)39.748.087.7-8.30%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A30/05
ACB
Lublin
#51
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H20/09
Champions League
Juventus
#18
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A22/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H24/09
Champions League
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H05/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A11/10
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/10
ACB
77.5Avg total
40.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.977.1+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.439.681.1+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)37.236.473.6+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.337.277.5+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.275.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (14)40.038.178.1+1.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.237.875.0-0.546%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.1
49.4%
52.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.5
34.8%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.1%
73.4%15.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.120.7
57.3%
52.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.7
29.8%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.616.6
73.5%
73.4%16.6
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
LLWWWLWWLL
Murcia
WLLWWWLWWW
#30
League position
#2
-6.0
Net rating
+9.0
105.5
Offensive rating
114.9
111.5
Defensive rating
105.9
50.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.1%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.8%
3-point %
29.8%
54.9%
Assist %
56.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 114.9Defence111.5 · 105.9Shooting50.5% · 51.7%3-point %34.8% · 29.8%Ball care16.0% · 16.1%Off. rebounds27.1% · 36.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Lublin   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
20/09/25Murcia v Lublin100-84
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ACzarni Slupsk72-98
22/10/25ARilski Sportist92-95
18/10/25HTorun90-85 OT
15/10/25HKK Bosna90-80
11/10/25AKrosno82-81
03/10/25ALegia68-90
28/09/25ATrefl Sopot82-77
27/09/25HGornik Walbrzych80-66
20/09/25AMurcia84-100
22/06/25HLegia82-92
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HBaskonia89-84
21/10/25AKK Bosna72-87
18/10/25ATenerife80-96
15/10/25HRilski Sportist77-63
11/10/25ABasquet Girona93-71
05/10/25HMoraBanc Andorra95-64
24/09/25HChalon/Saone88-96
22/09/25AJuventus81-71
20/09/25HLublin100-84
30/05/25AGran Canaria76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game91.090.092.0
Allowed / game87.580.095.0
Point differential+3.5+10.0-3.0
Avg total178.5170.0187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.577.072.0
Allowed / game75.063.087.0
Point differential-0.5+14.0-15.0
Avg total149.5140.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Zaragoza220100%104.574.5+30.0
2 Reggiana220100%98.076.5+21.5
3 Cedevita Junior220100%99.579.0+20.5
4 Peristeri330100%91.074.3+16.7
5 Trefl Sopot220100%95.579.5+16.0
6 Vechta440100%88.574.0+14.5
7 Basketball Braunschweig220100%91.083.5+7.5
8 PAOK220100%89.583.5+6.0
9 Cibona43175%88.584.0+4.5
10 Bilbao32167%99.765.7+34.0
11 Szombathely32167%87.776.3+11.3
12 Sporting CP32167%88.078.7+9.3
13 Rostock32167%90.083.0+7.0
14 AEK Larnaca32167%84.078.3+5.7
15 Petkim Spor32167%82.377.0+5.3
16 CSM Oradea32167%84.081.3+2.7
17 Neftchi IK32167%87.387.3+0.0
18 FC Porto32167%81.782.7-1.0
19 KK Bosna53260%79.271.4+7.8
20 Brno53260%74.880.4-5.6
21 Sassari21150%85.576.5+9.0
22 Lublin21150%91.087.5+3.5
23 BC Prievidza42250%87.285.8+1.5
24 Murcia21150%74.575.0-0.5
25 Tartu Ulikool21150%88.089.0-1.0
26 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%88.590.0-1.5
27 Corona Brasov52340%81.080.2+0.8
28 Anorthosis52340%75.090.6-15.6
29 Rilski Sportist31233%71.378.0-6.7
30 Keravnos31233%83.091.0-8.0
31 Pelister31233%84.092.0-8.0
32 Anwil Wloclawek41325%89.585.8+3.8
33 Bashkimi41325%73.890.2-16.5
34 Absheron Lions51420%83.289.2-6.0
35 Dijon2020%80.586.0-5.5
36 Bakken Bears2020%85.092.5-7.5
37 Antwerp Giants2020%79.587.5-8.0
38 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
39 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
40 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
41 Trepca2020%72.084.5-12.5
42 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
43 Valcea3030%68.795.7-27.0
44 Kutaisi3030%65.099.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin2622121575
Murcia21242532102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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