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Lublin vs Ostrow Wielkopolski Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 79-84 (OT)
13-20 26-8 17-24 16-20 7-12
Position#14
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 1· Globus
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lublin v Ostrow Wielkopolski
03 Oct 2026
LUB79
OWI84
02 Nov 2025
LUB76
OWI91
12 Jan 2025
LUB105
OWI90
23 Dec 2023
LUB78
OWI100
21 Oct 2022
LUB90
OWI71
20 Feb 2022
LUB76
OWI83
02 Dec 2021
LUB77
OWI88
08 Apr 2021
LUB101
OWI109
06 Apr 2021
LUB83
OWI87
11 Feb 2021
LUB73
OWI80
02 Jan 2021
LUB62
OWI82
15 Dec 2019
LUB84
OWI72
24 Nov 2018
LUB88
OWI83
04 Mar 2018
LUB57
OWI70
05 Apr 2017
LUB64
OWI73
08 Oct 2015
LUB59
OWI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ostrow Wielkopolski winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
78-93
78
93
-15
64avg 73
A08/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
92avg 73
H14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
60avg 73
A19/03
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
77avg 73
A29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
72-103
72
103
-31
62avg 73
A04/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
94avg 73
A11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
79avg 73
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 73
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
69avg 73
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
100-105
100
105
-5
101avg 73
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
19-22
15-26
26-25
24-24
27-12
26-33
20-22
19-24
18-20
28-16
8-16
25-19
21-21
17-22
19-20
21-26
16-23
18-30
17-24
26-12
21-26
19-19
18-27
20-19
23-18
24-25
19-19
13-31
27-24
22-11
24-16
19-21
18-27
21-22
22-31
27-22
24-35
23-23
26-25
179.3Avg total
86.0Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.093.3179.3-7.330%
Last 5 (5)89.894.4184.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)81.290.2171.4-9.024%
vs Similar (4)91.892.0183.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (1)76.073.0149.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Ostrow Wielkopolski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostrow WielkopolskiPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWielkopolski
Date
Competition
Torun
#12
W
77-75
77
75
+2
67avg 74
H15/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
67avg 74
H19/03
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#16
W
87-80
87
80
+7
86avg 74
A29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
78avg 74
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
63avg 74
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 74
A17/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
73-83
73
83
-10
62avg 74
H25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
81avg 74
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
86-74
86
74
+12
76avg 74
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 74
A08/05
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
24-13
16-28
16-16
17-27
21-15
23-18
14-8
22-25
25-26
19-17
21-12
28-18
20-17
14-33
19-22
19-21
21-18
17-26
18-17
33-20
18-18
12-20
14-15
22-11
18-27
17-24
16-21
29-21
23-19
16-19
18-29
28-25
15-14
22-23
21-12
27-24
15-21
22-21
22-28
161.0Avg total
80.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.380.7161.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)81.682.4164.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.284.8166.0-3.630%
vs Similar (14)81.585.1166.6-3.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.281.5170.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
LublinOstrow Wielkopolski
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A19/03
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A04/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A11/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
87.2Avg total
42.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.945.586.4-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.247.787.9-7.419%-
Last 30 away (14)41.643.084.6-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.687.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.647.090.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)40.545.185.6-4.628%-
vs Similar (4)43.252.896.0-9.50%-
vs Weaker (1)42.026.068.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Ostrow Wielkopolski) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ostrow WielkopolskiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torun
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H15/03
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H19/03
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H13/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A17/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/05
Energa Basket Liga
84.4Avg total
44.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.785.3+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.183.4+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.843.387.1+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)44.639.884.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.640.085.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.139.384.4+5.870%-
vs Similar (14)42.443.786.1-1.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)43.841.084.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.4
58.5%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.2
31.9%
32.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws22.117.1
77.4%
71.3%17.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ostrow Wielkopolskitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ostrow Wielkopolski: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.1
54.1%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.1
30.7%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.117.6
67.4%
71.3%17.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
LLWWLLLLWL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
LWLLWLLWWW
#14
League position
#13
-8.6
Net rating
-0.1
94.3
Offensive rating
90.4
102.9
Defensive rating
90.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.42
31.9%
3-point %
30.7%
57.8%
Assist %
58.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.3 · 90.4Defence102.9 · 90.5Shooting53.7% · 50.6%3-point %31.9% · 30.7%Ball care15.5% · 16.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Lublin   ■ Ostrow Wielkopolski
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lublin wins
7
Ostrow Wielkopolski wins
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/26ADabrowa Gornicza100-105
03/05/26HGdynia80-101
26/04/26HGTK Gliwice86-82
18/04/26AGornik Walbrzych86-81
11/04/26ATrefl Sopot97-103 OT
04/04/26ADziki Warszawa72-103
29/03/26ASlask Wroclaw91-98 OT
19/03/26AZielona Gora73-76
14/03/26HAnwil Wloclawek97-91
08/03/26AOstrow Wielkopolski78-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/26ADabrowa Gornicza86-94
06/05/26HGornik Walbrzych86-74
02/05/26ATrefl Sopot86-88
25/04/26HDziki Warszawa73-83
17/04/26ASlask Wroclaw77-73
13/04/26HZielona Gora75-82
06/04/26AAnwil Wloclawek81-90
29/03/26AKrosno87-80
19/03/26HCzarni Slupsk75-68
15/03/26HTorun77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ostrow Wielkopolski
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dziki Warszawa110100%102.063.0+39.0
2 Szczecin110100%104.085.0+19.0
3 Bydgoszcz110100%105.095.0+10.0
4 Legia110100%79.076.0+3.0
5 Czarni Slupsk1010%76.079.0-3.0
6 Zielona Gora1010%95.0105.0-10.0
7 Torun1010%85.0104.0-19.0
8 Trefl Sopot1010%63.0102.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Lublin13261716779
Ostrow Wielkopolski20824201284
← all games of the day
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