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Lublin vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 76-73
25-18 17-8 15-25 19-22
Position#30
Record1-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game89.0
Lublin 🏆
vs
Position#37
Record1-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game68.8
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Globus
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Legia
#1
L
68-90
68
90
-22
57avg 77
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#16
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 77
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
81avg 77
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
83avg 77
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 77
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
72-98
72
98
-26
55avg 77
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#2
L
75-102
75
102
-27
62avg 77
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 77
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 77
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 77
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
13-19
15-25
21-20
19-19
19-18
25-23
19-21
17-17
21-23
23-18
29-22
18-17
17-26
22-13
21-22
24-25
18-22
19-18
31-30
15-27
23-24
21-18
13-29
26-21
22-24
12-25
15-32
20-25
14-26
20-17
22-23
15-19
9-18
20-18
26-24
19-26
20-24
23-21
19-19
168.7Avg total
79.6Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.889.0170.8-7.225%
Season at home (2)82.591.0173.5-8.550%
Season away (2)81.087.0168.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)79.689.1168.7-9.530%
Last 5 (5)74.892.0166.8-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.287.9168.2-7.742%
vs Similar (14)84.485.2169.6-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 86
H04/10
NBL
Levski
#10
W
105-70
105
70
+35
109avg 86
H11/10
NBL
Murcia
#2
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 86
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#3
W
96-84
96
84
+12
92avg 86
H20/10
NBL
Lublin
#30
W
95-92
95
92
+3
89avg 86
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Balkan
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
62avg 86
A26/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#4
L
56-65
56
65
-9
43avg 86
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#11
W
98-71
98
71
+27
96avg 86
H01/11
NBL
Murcia
#2
L
61-89
61
89
-28
50avg 86
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#8
W
96-74
96
74
+22
104avg 86
A08/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
23-22
15-18
21-23
23-20
25-15
30-11
27-24
9-19
19-10
21-21
14-27
22-22
25-19
18-27
31-16
25-24
22-18
18-19
30-31
21-13
17-18
20-21
12-23
14-23
15-16
14-17
13-9
25-18
26-13
21-23
26-17
20-23
23-22
9-19
9-25
24-24
23-11
26-17
23-22
160.3Avg total
82.9Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.880.8149.5-12.025%
Season at home (3)70.782.0152.7-11.333%
Season away (1)63.077.0140.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)82.977.4160.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)76.274.8151.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.683.4155.0-11.820%
vs Similar (2)83.079.5162.5+3.550%
vs Weaker (20)93.280.5173.8+12.785%
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
LublinRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#1
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Krosno
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
81.4Avg total
36.8Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.285.6-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.086.6-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)40.444.384.8-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)36.844.681.4-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.646.883.4-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.844.182.8-5.317%-
vs Similar (14)44.444.188.5+0.257%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.046.583.5-9.50%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minyor
#7
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H04/10
NBL
Levski
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H11/10
NBL
Murcia
#2
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Cherno More
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H20/10
NBL
Lublin
#30
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Balkan
#1
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#11
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H01/11
NBL
Murcia
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#8
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A08/11
NBL
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.384.5+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.441.287.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (13)41.439.080.4+2.446%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.277.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.439.476.8-2.020%-
vs Similar (2)42.536.078.5+6.5100%-
vs Weaker (20)46.940.487.2+6.575%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.6
49.6%
52.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.8
33.6%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.814.0
67.3%
73.4%14.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.222.9
51.8%
52.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.06.4
33.7%
34.9%19.2
🏀 Free throws23.418.1
77.4%
73.4%18.1
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
LLLLLLWWWL
Rilski Sportist
WLWLLWWLWW
#30
League position
#37
-12.5
Net rating
+9.0
99.3
Offensive rating
108.1
111.8
Defensive rating
99.1
49.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.6%
3-point %
33.7%
50.4%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.3 · 108.1Defence111.8 · 99.1Shooting49.9% · 51.4%3-point %33.6% · 33.7%Ball care17.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds25.3% · 32.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Lublin   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lublin wins
1
Rilski Sportist wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25Rilski Sportist v Lublin95-92
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AAnwil Wloclawek81-90
05/11/25AKK Bosna70-79
02/11/25HOstrow Wielkopolski76-91
29/10/25HMurcia75-102
25/10/25ACzarni Slupsk72-98
22/10/25ARilski Sportist92-95
18/10/25HTorun90-85 OT
15/10/25HKK Bosna90-80
11/10/25AKrosno82-81
03/10/25ALegia68-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25ABeroe96-74
04/11/25HMurcia61-89
01/11/25HShumen98-71
29/10/25HKK Bosna56-65
26/10/25ABalkan70-75
22/10/25HLublin95-92
20/10/25HCherno More96-84
15/10/25AMurcia63-77
11/10/25HLevski105-70
04/10/25HMinyor89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game81.882.581.0
Allowed / game89.091.087.0
Point differential-7.2-8.5-6.0
Avg total170.8173.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game68.870.763.0
Allowed / game80.882.077.0
Point differential-12.0-11.3-14.0
Avg total149.5152.7140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita Junior440100%95.579.2+16.2
2 Bilbao54180%100.072.2+27.8
3 Petkim Spor54180%89.072.4+16.6
4 Murcia54180%85.469.8+15.6
5 Sassari54180%92.476.8+15.6
6 Peristeri54180%87.672.4+15.2
7 Rostock54180%87.877.8+10.0
8 CSM Oradea54180%85.679.0+6.6
9 Basket Zaragoza43175%94.278.2+16.0
10 Trefl Sopot43175%92.877.2+15.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig43175%83.882.5+1.2
12 Neftchi IK43175%88.587.2+1.2
13 PAOK43175%83.882.5+1.2
14 Vechta64267%89.381.8+7.5
15 Szombathely53260%85.479.6+5.8
16 Dijon53260%83.481.4+2.0
17 KK Bosna74357%76.973.4+3.4
18 Cibona74357%83.384.6-1.3
19 Reggiana42250%86.276.8+9.5
20 BC Prievidza63350%90.581.7+8.8
21 Anwil Wloclawek63350%89.882.5+7.3
22 Sporting CP42250%84.081.2+2.8
23 FC Porto42250%79.282.2-3.0
24 Brno73443%78.185.3-7.1
25 Bakken Bears52340%87.882.8+5.0
26 Antwerp Giants52340%82.679.0+3.6
27 AEK Larnaca52340%79.285.0-5.8
28 Absheron Lions62433%86.286.2+0.0
29 Bashkimi62433%76.385.5-9.2
30 Anorthosis62433%72.792.2-19.5
31 Corona Brasov72529%77.683.6-6.0
32 Lublin41325%81.889.0-7.2
33 Pelister41325%81.592.8-11.2
34 Rilski Sportist41325%68.880.8-12.0
35 Tartu Ulikool41325%81.595.5-14.0
36 BC Kalev/Cramo41325%76.593.5-17.0
37 Keravnos41325%77.095.5-18.5
38 Valcea51420%72.294.4-22.2
39 Kutaisi51420%65.694.6-29.0
40 Trepca4040%76.585.8-9.2
41 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin2517151976
Rilski Sportist188252273
← all games of the day
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