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Lublin vs Spojnia Stargard Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 85-75
26-23 19-28 25-13 15-11
Position#4
Record16-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game85.5
Lublin 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#15
Record9-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.5
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 28· Globus
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lublin v Spojnia Stargard
30 Apr 2025
LUB85
SPOJ75
13 Apr 2024
LUB110
SPOJ108
08 Jan 2023
LUB85
SPOJ94
29 Oct 2021
LUB82
SPOJ97
02 Mar 2021
LUB87
SPOJ86
11 Nov 2019
LUB82
SPOJ73
16 Apr 2019
LUB78
SPOJ93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spojnia Stargard winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
46avg 80
H15/02
Polish Cup
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
85avg 80
H01/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
92-102
92
102
-10
85avg 80
A06/03
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 80
H16/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 80
H23/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
101-82
101
82
+19
99avg 80
A29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 80
A04/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
L
92-101
92
101
-9
85avg 80
A10/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
W
86-69
86
69
+17
83avg 80
H19/04
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
L
56-79
56
79
-23
37avg 80
A26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
16-25
12-22
20-24
19-18
21-19
35-20
16-17
20-33
18-20
33-18
21-31
21-23
29-22
16-27
19-11
19-23
20-17
28-22
10-20
28-11
21-27
22-21
30-23
25-22
36-16
16-19
11-30
24-25
26-22
25-33
17-21
21-18
27-13
21-26
17-12
10-15
16-26
22-14
8-24
167.5Avg total
82.8Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.185.5172.7+1.659%
Season at home (14)89.684.2173.9+5.471%
Season away (13)84.586.9171.4-2.546%
Last 10 (10)82.884.7167.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)84.683.6168.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.584.8155.2-14.225%
vs Similar (16)85.987.1172.9-1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)94.386.3180.7+8.067%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStargard
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
89-75
89
75
+14
90avg 68
A08/02
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
68-83
68
83
-15
62avg 68
H01/03
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
W
89-88
89
88
+1
88avg 68
A07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
58avg 68
H14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
68-89
68
89
-21
56avg 68
A22/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
74avg 68
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
73-84
73
84
-11
56avg 68
A03/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
61-72
61
72
-11
50avg 68
A14/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
70avg 68
A21/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
63avg 68
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
21-15
22-16
22-20
22-22
13-22
11-25
22-14
17-22
25-26
25-12
22-28
17-28
19-18
14-17
25-18
23-15
20-28
10-22
15-24
24-19
16-23
23-22
19-23
15-23
21-12
19-24
18-25
19-12
17-19
12-14
13-27
20-18
18-23
19-21
24-11
16-11
23-24
24-22
11-22
157.1Avg total
76.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.580.5157.0-4.033%
Season at home (14)74.781.3156.0-6.621%
Season away (13)78.579.7158.2-1.246%
Last 10 (10)76.081.1157.1-5.130%
Last 5 (5)74.279.0153.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)73.280.3153.5-7.121%
vs Similar (14)76.979.4156.4-2.543%
vs Weaker (2)86.065.5151.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
LublinSpojnia Stargard
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H15/02
Polish Cup
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H01/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A06/03
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H16/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H23/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A04/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A10/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H19/04
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A26/04
Energa Basket Liga
84.1Avg total
42.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.884.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.342.085.3+1.359%-
Last 30 away (13)42.841.584.4+1.354%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.284.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.085.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.043.277.2-9.225%-
vs Similar (16)44.542.286.7+2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.141.285.3+2.978%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/02
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H01/03
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A22/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H30/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A03/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A14/04
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A21/04
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
79.4Avg total
39.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.978.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.938.976.9-1.047%-
Last 30 away (13)41.338.980.2+2.454%-
Last 10 (10)39.040.479.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.874.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.139.077.1-0.943%-
vs Similar (14)39.639.779.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker (2)46.533.079.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.8
54.3%
53.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.5
37.8%
35.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.812.9
72.5%
73.7%12.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.8
52.2%
53.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.2
28.2%
35.2%18.6
🏀 Free throws24.516.8
68.6%
73.7%16.8
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
LWLWWLWLWL
Spojnia Stargard
LWLLLLLWLW
#4
League position
#15
-2.6
Net rating
-7.5
111.5
Offensive rating
102.5
114.1
Defensive rating
110.1
55.4%
Effective FG%
48.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.41
37.8%
3-point %
28.2%
58.0%
Assist %
51.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 102.5Defence114.1 · 110.1Shooting55.4% · 48.6%3-point %37.8% · 28.2%Ball care14.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds23.5% · 27.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Lublin   ■ Spojnia Stargard
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lublin wins
4
Spojnia Stargard wins
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ACzarni Slupsk56-79
19/04/25HDziki Warszawa86-69
10/04/25AZielona Gora92-101
04/04/25ATrefl Sopot88-87
29/03/25ADabrowa Gornicza101-82
23/03/25HSzczecin77-82
16/03/25HSlask Wroclaw85-83
06/03/25AGdynia92-102
01/03/25HGTK Gliwice91-74
15/02/25HGornik Walbrzych60-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HDabrowa Gornicza74-79
21/04/25ASzczecin81-73
14/04/25ASlask Wroclaw61-72
03/04/25AGdynia73-84
30/03/25HGTK Gliwice82-87
22/03/25AGornik Walbrzych68-89
14/03/25HLegia75-81
07/03/25ATorun89-88
01/03/25HAnwil Wloclawek68-83
08/02/25AOstrow Wielkopolski89-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL59%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%71%46%
Points / game87.189.684.5
Allowed / game85.584.286.9
Point differential+1.6+5.4-2.5
Avg total172.7173.9171.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%36%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Spojnia Stargard
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLLLL21%
AwayWLLLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %33%21%46%
Points / game76.574.778.5
Allowed / game80.581.379.7
Point differential-4.0-6.6-1.2
Avg total157.0156.0158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%7%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek2722581%89.079.8+9.2
2 Trefl Sopot2718967%89.685.0+4.6
3 Legia28171161%81.879.7+2.1
4 Szczecin27161159%86.484.4+1.9
5 Lublin27161159%87.185.5+1.6
6 Czarni Slupsk27151256%80.874.6+6.2
7 Gornik Walbrzych27151256%78.577.6+0.9
8 Torun27141352%88.686.8+1.7
9 Slask Wroclaw27141352%80.980.3+0.6
10 Dziki Warszawa27121544%77.778.1-0.4
11 Ostrow Wielkopolski27111641%85.186.3-1.3
12 Zielona Gora27101737%79.383.4-4.1
13 GTK Gliwice27101737%81.989.6-7.7
14 Dabrowa Gornicza2791833%81.485.4-4.0
15 Spojnia Stargard2791833%76.580.5-4.0
16 Gdynia2891932%83.290.4-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin2619251585
Spojnia Stargard2328131175
← all games of the day
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