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Zielona Gora vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 101-92
25-24 22-26 33-25 21-17
Position#11
Record8-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#4
Record15-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game85.8
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 25· CRS Hala Zielona Gora
Other2024-25
Meetings · Zielona Gora v Lublin
23 Apr 2027
ZGO v LUB
upcoming
19 Mar 2026
ZGO76
LUB73
10 Apr 2025
ZGO101
LUB92
24 Mar 2024
ZGO91
LUB103
27 Oct 2022
ZGO96
LUB67
20 Jan 2022
ZGO85
LUB70
03 Dec 2020
ZGO90
LUB75
09 Jan 2020
ZGO100
LUB93
31 Oct 2018
ZGO92
LUB70
31 Mar 2018
ZGO94
LUB72
01 Apr 2017
ZGO86
LUB75
26 Mar 2016
ZGO100
LUB53
17 Jan 2015
ZGO84
LUB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
70-84
70
84
-14
62avg 72
A17/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
76-66
76
66
+10
80avg 72
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
79-83
79
83
-4
77avg 72
A30/01
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
79-85
79
85
-6
72avg 72
A09/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
57avg 72
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
61avg 72
A07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
77avg 72
H14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
79avg 72
A21/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
81-89
81
89
-8
72avg 72
A28/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
89-88
89
88
+1
82avg 72
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
22-18
14-25
19-22
16-17
26-18
18-13
16-18
22-23
24-25
17-15
16-20
18-23
25-26
18-14
18-22
21-14
22-23
18-18
9-19
15-26
19-18
16-23
20-15
16-24
21-18
28-19
14-18
22-27
21-25
15-15
24-24
17-15
14-25
21-21
29-28
24-17
17-26
26-27
22-18
161.5Avg total
78.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)78.682.9161.5-4.333%
Season at home (12)81.383.8165.1-2.442%
Season away (12)75.882.1157.9-6.225%
Last 10 (10)78.383.2161.5-4.920%
Last 5 (5)81.888.0169.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.186.0161.1-10.925%
vs Similar (14)81.782.6164.3-0.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Legia
#2
W
88-76
88
76
+12
80avg 82
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
72-87
72
87
-15
70avg 82
A06/02
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
91avg 82
H13/02
Polish Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
46avg 82
H15/02
Polish Cup
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
91-74
91
74
+17
85avg 82
H01/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
92-102
92
102
-10
85avg 82
A06/03
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 82
H16/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 82
H23/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
101-82
101
82
+19
99avg 82
A29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 82
A04/04
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
24-19
18-25
19-19
10-20
25-20
14-21
23-26
29-14
19-21
17-24
28-23
12-17
16-25
12-22
20-24
19-18
21-19
35-20
16-17
20-33
18-20
33-18
21-31
21-23
29-22
16-27
19-11
19-23
20-17
28-22
10-20
28-11
21-27
22-21
30-23
25-22
36-16
16-19
11-30
169.0Avg total
84.7Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.385.8174.1+2.562%
Season at home (13)89.985.4175.3+4.569%
Season away (11)86.486.4172.7+0.055%
Last 10 (10)84.784.3169.0+0.460%
Last 5 (5)88.687.2175.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.889.0168.8-9.225%
vs Similar (17)86.889.3176.1-2.553%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)94.684.5179.1+10.175%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.7-2.7
Zielona GoraLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/01
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A09/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/03
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/03
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A21/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A28/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
82.4Avg total
39.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.683.6-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.843.785.5-1.933%-
Last 30 away (15)38.343.581.7-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.782.4-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)37.244.281.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.843.984.7-3.244%-
vs Similar (14)39.243.182.4-3.914%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#2
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A02/02
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/02
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#7
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H13/02
Polish Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H15/02
Polish Cup
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H01/03
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A06/03
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H16/03
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H23/03
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A29/03
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A04/04
Energa Basket Liga
83.9Avg total
43.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.386.9+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.643.987.5-0.350%-
Last 30 away (12)43.742.386.0+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.083.9+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.442.890.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.247.085.2-8.825%-
vs Similar (17)44.844.288.9+0.641%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.440.583.9+2.975%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.1
49.9%
53.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.1
29.5%
35.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws22.017.2
78.2%
73.7%17.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.4
53.4%
53.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.3
39.4%
35.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws21.515.4
71.6%
73.7%15.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zielona Gora
WLLLLLLLWL
Lublin
WWLWLWLWLW
#11
League position
#4
-8.2
Net rating
+0.8
103.0
Offensive rating
112.7
111.2
Defensive rating
111.9
47.7%
Effective FG%
56.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.5%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.5%
3-point %
39.4%
71.4%
Assist %
63.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 112.7Defence111.2 · 111.9Shooting47.7% · 56.0%3-point %29.5% · 39.4%Ball care17.3% · 15.5%Off. rebounds27.9% · 23.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Zielona Gora   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zielona Gora wins
3
Lublin wins
DateGameScore
13/12/24Lublin v Zielona Gora91-82
24/03/24Zielona Gora v Lublin91-103
26/11/23Lublin v Zielona Gora91-95
03/03/23Lublin v Zielona Gora76-83
22/12/22Lublin v Zielona Gora88-94 OT
27/10/22Zielona Gora v Lublin96-67
17/02/22Lublin v Zielona Gora82-81 OT
20/01/22Zielona Gora v Lublin85-70
19/11/21Lublin v Zielona Gora73-99
20/03/21Lublin v Zielona Gora90-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25ADabrowa Gornicza89-88
28/03/25ASzczecin81-89
21/03/25ASlask Wroclaw82-91
14/03/25HGdynia87-90 OT
07/03/25AGTK Gliwice70-82
02/03/25HGornik Walbrzych70-74
09/02/25ALegia79-85
30/01/25ATorun79-83
25/01/25AAnwil Wloclawek76-66
17/01/25AOstrow Wielkopolski70-84
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25ATrefl Sopot88-87
29/03/25ADabrowa Gornicza101-82
23/03/25HSzczecin77-82
16/03/25HSlask Wroclaw85-83
06/03/25AGdynia92-102
01/03/25HGTK Gliwice91-74
15/02/25HGornik Walbrzych60-88
13/02/25HDziki Warszawa93-82
06/02/25AGornik Walbrzych72-87
02/02/25ALegia88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWWWLL42%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %33%42%25%
Points / game78.681.375.8
Allowed / game82.983.882.1
Point differential-4.3-2.4-6.2
Avg total161.5165.1157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLWWWL69%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%69%55%
Points / game88.389.986.4
Allowed / game85.885.486.4
Point differential+2.5+4.5+0.0
Avg total174.1175.3172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%31%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %8%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek2419579%88.380.2+8.0
2 Trefl Sopot2416867%89.986.4+3.5
3 Szczecin2415962%86.984.2+2.6
4 Lublin2415962%88.385.8+2.5
5 Legia2415962%81.779.9+1.8
6 Czarni Slupsk24141058%80.874.7+6.1
7 Gornik Walbrzych24141058%78.376.6+1.7
8 Slask Wroclaw24121250%81.380.1+1.2
9 Dziki Warszawa24111346%77.577.7-0.2
10 Torun24111346%86.887.5-0.8
11 Ostrow Wielkopolski2491538%83.485.7-2.3
12 Gdynia2491538%83.889.0-5.2
13 GTK Gliwice2491538%82.888.9-6.1
14 Spojnia Stargard2481633%77.181.2-4.2
15 Zielona Gora2481633%78.682.9-4.3
16 Dabrowa Gornicza2471729%81.485.6-4.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zielona Gora25223321101
Lublin2426251792
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