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Spojnia Stargard vs Lublin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 73-86
16-21 16-21 17-27 24-17
Position#15
Record6-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Lublin 🏆
Poland
Position#4
Record7-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game88.2
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 13· Hala Miejska
Other2024-25
Meetings · Spojnia Stargard v Lublin
04 Jan 2025
SPOJ73
LUB86
16 Dec 2023
SPOJ86
LUB81
03 May 2023
SPOJ99
LUB106
18 Feb 2023
SPOJ86
LUB109
06 Mar 2022
SPOJ80
LUB81
27 Aug 2020
SPOJ70
LUB65
08 Mar 2020
SPOJ71
LUB83
03 Jan 2019
SPOJ75
LUB87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Spojnia Stargard winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lublin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Spojnia StargardPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStargard
Date
Competition
Torun
#8
L
67-79
67
79
-12
60avg 72
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
63-77
63
77
-14
50avg 72
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#2
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
78avg 72
A10/11
Energa Basket Liga
Parnu
#35
W
83-59
83
59
+24
78avg 72
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 72
H17/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
97-83
97
83
+14
90avg 72
A28/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 72
H07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 72
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 72
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
79-67
79
67
+12
76avg 72
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
21-20
14-24
13-16
20-23
19-20
11-19
13-15
18-24
20-16
21-16
21-24
19-18
23-14
25-12
16-15
24-19
29-20
13-21
15-20
25-22
26-20
27-22
19-19
20-18
13-27
21-23
22-15
18-23
12-12
24-20
15-21
16-14
21-14
19-20
28-26
18-14
21-25
20-11
20-17
154.9Avg total
78.3Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.177.4155.5+0.750%
Season at home (6)76.077.5153.5-1.550%
Season away (6)80.277.3157.5+2.850%
Last 10 (10)78.376.6154.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)81.076.6157.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.679.4157.0-1.943%
vs Similar (11)75.178.5153.6-3.536%
vs Weaker (5)86.875.6162.4+11.260%
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
79avg 84
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
95avg 84
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
94avg 84
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
60avg 84
A09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
82-81
82
81
+1
71avg 84
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
95-81
95
81
+14
90avg 84
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
122-121 OT
122
121
+1
105avg 84
H07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
89avg 84
H13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
L
63-75
63
75
-12
49avg 84
A19/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
77avg 84
H29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
16-26
25-25
12-16
22-30
28-18
27-23
22-28
27-13
12-18
33-13
24-28
17-19
15-25
24-18
21-25
24-27
18-21
15-14
25-19
21-20
27-15
24-23
23-23
21-16
22-26
27-35
23-16
16-30
25-20
26-17
24-15
18-19
15-16
9-16
21-24
13-23
27-14
23-21
20-19
177.7Avg total
89.8Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.388.2177.5+1.258%
Season at home (7)92.787.9180.6+4.971%
Season away (5)84.688.6173.2-4.040%
Last 10 (10)89.887.9177.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)90.887.2178.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)89.887.8177.7+2.050%
vs Similar (14)91.992.9184.7-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.086.7179.7+6.367%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Spojnia StargardLublin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torun
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/11
Energa Basket Liga
Parnu
#35
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H17/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
78.4Avg total
40.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.978.2+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.436.875.1+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.140.880.9-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.278.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.637.676.3+1.057%-
vs Similar (11)36.640.477.0-3.736%-
vs Weaker (5)46.839.486.2+7.480%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A19/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/12
Energa Basket Liga
83.7Avg total
41.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.689.7-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.746.391.9-0.644%-
Last 30 away (12)41.644.786.2-3.133%-
Last 10 (10)41.542.283.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.245.088.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (14)44.647.892.4-3.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.441.684.0+0.956%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.5
50.4%
53.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.6
31.0%
35.2%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.216.7
75.2%
73.7%16.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.1
54.6%
53.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
35.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.919.9
79.9%
73.7%19.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Spojnia Stargard
WWLLWWWLLL
Lublin
WLWWWWLWLL
#15
League position
#4
+2.6
Net rating
+2.6
107.6
Offensive rating
112.1
104.9
Defensive rating
109.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
31.0%
3-point %
32.5%
58.7%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 112.1Defence104.9 · 109.5Shooting49.0% · 52.3%3-point %31.0% · 32.5%Ball care16.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds31.9% · 26.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Spojnia Stargard   ■ Lublin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Spojnia Stargard wins
6
Lublin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24ADabrowa Gornicza79-67
22/12/24HSzczecin84-74
15/12/24HSlask Wroclaw69-76
07/12/24HGdynia76-83
28/11/24AGTK Gliwice97-83
17/11/24HGornik Walbrzych81-80
13/11/24HParnu83-59
10/11/24ALegia84-88 OT
06/11/24AArges Pitesti63-77
02/11/24HTorun67-79
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24HCzarni Slupsk83-77
19/12/24ADziki Warszawa63-75
13/12/24HZielona Gora91-82
07/12/24HTrefl Sopot122-121 OT
01/12/24HDabrowa Gornicza95-81
17/11/24ASzczecin82-81
09/11/24ASlask Wroclaw77-87
31/10/24HGdynia96-72
24/10/24AGTK Gliwice105-110 OT
18/10/24HGornik Walbrzych84-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Spojnia Stargard
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.176.080.2
Allowed / game77.477.577.3
Point differential+0.7-1.5+2.8
Avg total155.5153.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game89.392.784.6
Allowed / game88.287.988.6
Point differential+1.2+4.9-4.0
Avg total177.5180.6173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%14%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek1311285%90.579.5+11.1
2 Trefl Sopot128467%90.888.2+2.6
3 Dziki Warszawa127558%74.872.2+2.6
4 Lublin127558%89.388.2+1.2
5 Gornik Walbrzych127558%77.277.0+0.2
6 Szczecin137654%83.481.0+2.4
7 Legia137654%82.881.5+1.3
8 Spojnia Stargard126650%78.177.4+0.7
9 GTK Gliwice126650%86.490.0-3.6
10 Slask Wroclaw136746%78.280.0-1.8
11 Czarni Slupsk125742%79.177.0+2.1
12 Zielona Gora125742%79.883.2-3.4
13 Torun135838%82.083.2-1.2
14 Gdynia135838%84.889.3-4.5
15 Ostrow Wielkopolski124833%79.783.8-4.2
16 Dabrowa Gornicza123925%76.782.7-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Spojnia Stargard1616172473
Lublin2121271786
← all games of the day
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