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Lublin vs Torun Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 83-83
Projected total 166.4
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game81.9
Vs
49%
51%
■ LUB 49%■ TOR 51%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game86.4
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 8· Globus
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lublin v Torun
22 Nov 2026
LUB v TOR
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
LUB90
TOR85
26 Jan 2025
LUB79
TOR71
22 Sep 2023
LUB102
TOR85
14 Mar 2023
LUB104
TOR83
15 Oct 2021
LUB83
TOR85
02 Sep 2020
LUB82
TOR73
08 Apr 2020
LUB v TOR
upcoming
29 Dec 2018
LUB93
TOR91
17 Mar 2018
LUB77
TOR63
15 Apr 2017
LUB69
TOR72
13 Apr 2016
LUB63
TOR96
31 Oct 2014
LUB75
TOR62
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Lublin host Torun in the Energa Basket Liga. Pythia makes Torun the favourite at 51% and projects 83-83, about 166 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Lublin are 2-5 this season (74.9 scored, 81.9 allowed a game), form WLLLW; Torun are 3-4 this season (88.0 scored, 86.4 allowed a game), form WLWLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin win
49.0%fair 2.04
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Torun win
51.0%fair 1.96
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 75
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
69avg 75
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
100-105
100
105
-5
101avg 75
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
73avg 75
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#3
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 75
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
W
76-73
76
73
+3
67avg 75
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
54-70
54
70
-16
43avg 75
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
84avg 75
H01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#8
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
A06/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
no box
H13/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
27-24
22-11
24-16
19-21
18-27
21-22
22-31
27-22
24-35
23-23
26-25
13-20
26-8
17-24
16-20
10-23
13-31
26-22
28-21
21-19
27-15
16-20
12-19
14-14
16-21
9-15
15-20
22-22
23-20
23-23
21-31
17-22
13-11
16-18
16-19
21-13
19-33
15-20
32-17
165.1Avg total
79.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.981.9156.7-7.029%
Season at home (4)82.884.0166.8-1.250%
Season away (3)64.379.0143.3-14.70%
Last 10 (10)79.086.1165.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)73.678.4152.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)80.888.5169.3-7.632%
vs Similar (5)89.290.4179.6-1.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
113-106
113
106
+7
115avg 81
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
99-107
99
107
-8
104avg 81
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
82avg 81
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
85-104
85
104
-19
55avg 81
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 81
A10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#8
W
110-96
110
96
+14
100avg 81
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 81
A23/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
87-71
87
71
+16
75avg 81
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A07/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
106-76
106
76
+30
no box
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-30
25-27
25-22
32-27
19-27
30-26
23-34
27-20
28-18
18-26
17-22
32-20
24-23
23-28
22-27
16-26
18-21
22-31
20-22
23-13
22-18
38-29
30-22
20-27
19-26
7-24
23-22
20-18
17-15
27-21
20-16
23-19
17-27
24-30
16-13
19-11
27-8
21-16
23-32
35-20
182.7Avg total
92.3Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.086.4174.4+1.643%
Season at home (4)97.086.8183.8+10.275%
Season away (3)76.086.0162.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)92.390.4182.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)89.682.8172.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)88.690.9179.6-2.343%
vs Similar (10)79.886.7166.5-6.920%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)102.393.3195.7+9.083%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5
Over 160.5
63.1%
Under 160.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
51.3%
Under 165.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
39.4%
Under 170.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Lublin total 80
Over 80
61.7%
Under 80
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lublin total 84
Over 84
45.9%
Under 84
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lublin total 88
Over 88
30.8%
Under 88
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torun total 77.5
Over 77.5
71.2%
Under 77.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torun total 81.5
Over 81.5
56.8%
Under 81.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torun total 85.5
Over 85.5
41.5%
Under 85.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Lublin -3
LUB -3
39.8%
TOR +3
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
LUB
No market prices yet.
TOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Lublin 0
LUB 0
49.0%
TOR 0
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
LUB
No market prices yet.
TOR
No market prices yet.
Spread Lublin +3
LUB +3
58.1%
TOR -3
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
LUB
No market prices yet.
TOR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +4.6+4.6
LublinTorun
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H26/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#3
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#8
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A06/11
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H13/11
Energa Basket Liga
81.5Avg total
38.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.444.584.9-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.946.187.0-5.125%-
Last 30 away (14)39.842.782.5-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.281.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.076.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)40.043.883.8-3.828%-
vs Similar (5)42.447.890.2-5.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torun) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A23/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A07/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
92.8Avg total
45.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.946.690.5-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.045.491.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.147.689.7-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)45.747.192.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.886.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)46.947.694.5-0.643%-
vs Similar (10)36.746.583.2-9.810%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)49.044.393.3+4.767%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.718.7
57.2%
54.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.3
30.6%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.816.6
76.1%
71.3%16.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.2
52.9%
54.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.1
33.7%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.718.7
78.9%
71.3%18.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
WLLLWLLLLW
Torun
WLWLWLLWLW
#14
League position
#9
-8.2
Net rating
-7.4
91.7
Offensive rating
97.8
99.9
Defensive rating
105.1
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.6%
3-point %
33.7%
67.5%
Assist %
66.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.7 · 97.8Defence99.9 · 105.1Shooting51.7% · 51.9%3-point %30.6% · 33.7%Ball care15.8% · 13.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Lublin   ■ Torun
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lublin wins
4
Torun wins
DateGameScore
06/02/26Torun v Lublin97-88
18/10/25Lublin v Torun90-85 OT
26/01/25Lublin v Torun79-71
05/10/24Torun v Lublin90-96
04/01/24Torun v Lublin98-84
22/09/23Lublin v Torun102-85
22/04/23Torun v Lublin80-93
14/03/23Lublin v Torun104-83
23/03/22Torun v Lublin81-55
15/10/21Lublin v Torun83-85
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HGTK Gliwice87-83
06/11/26ABydgoszcz62-70
01/11/26HDabrowa Gornicza89-96
24/10/26ASzczecin54-70
17/10/26HGdynia76-73
11/10/26ADziki Warszawa77-97
03/10/26HOstrow Wielkopolski79-84 OT
06/05/26ADabrowa Gornicza100-105
03/05/26HGdynia80-101
26/04/26HGTK Gliwice86-82
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrefl Sopot106-76
07/11/26ASlask Wroclaw76-81
31/10/26HZielona Gora87-71
23/10/26AGTK Gliwice69-90
16/10/26HBydgoszcz110-96
10/10/26ADabrowa Gornicza83-87
03/10/26HSzczecin85-104
06/05/26HGdynia95-86
02/05/26AGTK Gliwice99-107
28/04/26HSlask Wroclaw113-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game74.982.864.3
Allowed / game81.984.079.0
Point differential-7.0-1.2-14.7
Avg total156.7166.8143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game88.097.076.0
Allowed / game86.486.886.0
Point differential+1.6+10.2-10.0
Avg total174.4183.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza660100%91.782.8+8.8
2 Szczecin76186%88.480.1+8.3
3 Dziki Warszawa65183%91.574.5+17.0
4 Gdynia75271%83.174.6+8.6
5 Slask Wroclaw75271%85.783.3+2.4
6 Zielona Gora74357%84.484.6-0.1
7 Gornik Walbrzych63350%84.783.3+1.3
8 Bydgoszcz63350%85.388.2-2.8
9 Torun73443%88.086.4+1.6
10 GTK Gliwice73443%81.482.3-0.9
11 Anwil Wloclawek73443%77.381.9-4.6
12 Legia73443%76.981.4-4.6
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski62433%76.880.8-4.0
14 Lublin72529%74.981.9-7.0
15 Czarni Slupsk6060%81.087.5-6.5
16 Trefl Sopot7070%78.393.9-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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