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Zwolle vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 71-76
15-22 14-10 23-22 19-22
Position#12
Record8-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game67.4
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#5
Record9-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game69.6
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum (Zwolle)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zwolle v Leiden
17 Jan 2027
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
ZWO81
LEI90
15 May 2025
ZWO81
LEI83
02 Feb 2025
ZWO75
LEI78
17 May 2024
ZWO58
LEI64
14 Jan 2024
ZWO71
LEI76
12 Mar 2023
ZWO70
LEI72
30 Oct 2022
ZWO84
LEI83
12 May 2022
ZWO79
LEI89
17 Oct 2021
ZWO68
LEI75
18 May 2021
ZWO90
LEI85
22 Apr 2021
ZWO58
LEI79
03 Dec 2020
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
08 Mar 2020
ZWO92
LEI84
17 Nov 2019
ZWO92
LEI75
22 Sep 2019
ZWO78
LEI68
28 Apr 2019
ZWO70
LEI77
31 Mar 2019
ZWO69
LEI87
06 Jan 2019
ZWO71
LEI81
12 May 2018
ZWO73
LEI78
08 May 2018
ZWO79
LEI81
07 Apr 2018
ZWO82
LEI81
07 Jan 2018
ZWO69
LEI65
11 May 2017
ZWO83
LEI56
06 May 2017
ZWO84
LEI78
30 Apr 2017
ZWO78
LEI64
23 Apr 2017
ZWO82
LEI88
08 Apr 2017
ZWO73
LEI80
08 Jan 2017
ZWO81
LEI74
11 Feb 2016
ZWO74
LEI76
25 Oct 2015
ZWO73
LEI58
04 Apr 2015
ZWO73
LEI82
16 Dec 2014
ZWO79
LEI86
27 Apr 2014
ZWO78
LEI77
09 Mar 2014
ZWO75
LEI78
08 Dec 2013
ZWO72
LEI59
10 Feb 2013
ZWO72
LEI78
25 Nov 2012
ZWO78
LEI89
10 May 2012
ZWO43
LEI62
06 May 2012
ZWO72
LEI76
03 Mar 2012
ZWO64
LEI74
26 Nov 2011
ZWO72
LEI68
19 Mar 2011
ZWO62
LEI76
01 Dec 2010
ZWO61
LEI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
81-76
81
76
+5
78avg 72
A12/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
102-81
102
81
+21
107avg 72
A26/11
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
78-97
78
97
-19
69avg 72
H28/11
ENBL
Lokomotief
#11
W
89-65
89
65
+24
no box
A01/12
DBL Cup
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
56-68
56
68
-12
52avg 72
A05/12
ENBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
59-67
59
67
-8
56avg 72
A09/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
no box
A14/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
72-62
72
62
+10
no box
H17/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 72
H23/12
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
56-84
56
84
-28
39avg 72
A10/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
18-19
13-19
23-16
22-29
24-9
24-20
32-23
19-21
18-27
21-22
20-27
23-14
24-7
21-20
21-24
16-10
13-19
16-21
11-18
19-14
14-21
19-16
7-16
16-16
11-10
13-19
14-16
14-18
18-13
20-14
20-17
26-25
20-24
31-12
11-12
21-24
11-23
11-22
13-15
146.9Avg total
73.5Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.667.4146.0+11.373%
Season at home (5)78.066.0144.0+12.080%
Season away (6)79.268.5147.7+10.767%
Last 10 (10)73.573.4146.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)65.869.4135.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.883.1154.9-11.429%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.272.7146.8+1.550%
vs Weaker (8)84.066.8150.8+17.2100%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#13
W
72-70
72
70
+2
62avg 68
A28/11
BNXT League
BS Leiden
#16
W
100-47
100
47
+53
no box
A02/12
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
77-82
77
82
-5
68avg 68
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 68
A10/12
BNXT League
Varese
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
74avg 68
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
W
81-65
81
65
+16
no box
A16/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
L
64-74
64
74
-10
no box
H20/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#2
L
55-70
55
70
-15
47avg 68
H23/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
78-58
78
58
+20
76avg 68
H06/01
BNXT League
Chemnitz
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
46avg 68
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
16-16
13-21
15-17
27-8
21-12
34-12
18-15
19-23
24-19
18-17
16-23
21-18
16-19
15-29
27-17
19-18
20-27
19-21
24-13
18-13
21-14
28-15
14-23
10-17
12-13
22-15
20-29
13-18
10-11
16-19
16-22
17-14
29-11
12-19
20-14
13-17
7-27
20-24
18-20
146.2Avg total
74.6Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.269.6147.8+8.775%
Season at home (6)77.765.8143.5+11.883%
Season away (6)78.873.3152.2+5.567%
Last 10 (10)74.671.6146.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)67.271.0138.2-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.177.1141.3-13.029%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.872.7149.4+4.178%
vs Weaker (11)83.666.4150.0+17.391%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
ZwolleLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A26/11
BNXT League
Tartu Ulikool
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H28/11
ENBL
Lokomotief
#11
W
47-21
47
21
+26
A01/12
DBL Cup
Bristol Flyers
#10
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/12
ENBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H17/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/12
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A10/01
ENBL
73.9Avg total
37.4Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.538.175.6-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.140.379.4-1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)36.136.172.2+0.044%-
Last 10 (10)37.436.573.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.671.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.041.676.6-6.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.335.373.7+3.083%-
vs Weaker (8)41.136.877.9+4.462%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A28/11
BNXT League
BS Leiden
#16
W
48-20
48
20
+28
A02/12
DBL Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/12
BNXT League
Varese
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A16/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#3
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H20/12
DBL Cup
Den Bosch
#2
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H23/12
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H06/01
BNXT League
Chemnitz
#2
L
20-44
20
44
-24
H10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
69.2Avg total
36.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.234.371.6+2.966%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.534.169.6+1.560%-
Last 30 away (14)39.134.673.6+4.571%-
Last 10 (10)36.133.169.2+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.031.061.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.638.768.3-9.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.835.672.3+1.256%-
vs Weaker (11)42.032.274.2+9.891%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.6
54.6%
52.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
33.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.811.7
74.1%
71.4%11.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.720.4
46.7%
52.2%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.9
35.6%
33.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws14.19.3
66.0%
71.4%9.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LWWLLLWLWW
Leiden
LWLLWWLLWW
#12
League position
#5
+0.4
Net rating
-0.8
103.8
Offensive rating
102.0
103.4
Defensive rating
102.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
48.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
29.2%
3-point %
35.6%
67.3%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 102.0Defence103.4 · 102.8Shooting50.1% · 48.9%3-point %29.2% · 35.6%Ball care17.5% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.1% · 28.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Zwolle   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zwolle wins
8
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Leiden v Zwolle74-65
17/09/23Leiden v Zwolle62-57
12/03/23Zwolle v Leiden70-72
07/01/23Leiden v Zwolle76-65
30/10/22Zwolle v Leiden84-83
14/05/22Leiden v Zwolle71-69
12/05/22Zwolle v Leiden79-89
10/05/22Leiden v Zwolle91-79
04/12/21Leiden v Zwolle73-80
17/10/21Zwolle v Leiden68-75
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24AJuventus56-84
23/12/23HQSTA Utd88-73
17/12/23HDonar Groningen72-62
14/12/23ADonar Groningen54-61
09/12/23ADen Bosch59-67
05/12/23ABristol Flyers56-68
01/12/23ALokomotief89-65
28/11/23HTartu Ulikool78-97
26/11/23AFeyenoord102-81
12/11/23AQSTA Utd81-76
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HChemnitz58-88
06/01/24HFeyenoord78-58
23/12/23HDen Bosch55-70
20/12/23HQSTA Utd64-74
16/12/23AQSTA Utd81-65
13/12/23AVarese82-79
10/12/23AQSTA Utd79-83
06/12/23HCSM Oradea77-82
02/12/23ABS Leiden100-47
28/11/23ADonar Groningen72-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game78.678.079.2
Allowed / game67.466.068.5
Point differential+11.3+12.0+10.7
Avg total146.0144.0147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game78.277.778.8
Allowed / game69.665.873.3
Point differential+8.7+11.8+5.5
Avg total147.8143.5152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1312192%80.066.1+13.9
2 Oostende1513287%77.570.4+7.1
3 Antwerp Giants1613381%82.671.9+10.7
4 Leiden129375%78.269.6+8.7
5 Limburg1511473%78.370.5+7.7
6 Zwolle118373%78.667.4+11.3
7 Donar Groningen138562%72.665.5+7.1
8 Liege159660%76.676.3+0.3
9 Kortrijk158753%80.079.9+0.1
10 Circus Brussels168850%78.277.4+0.9
11 Mechelen168850%75.975.1+0.8
12 BAL Weert126650%71.271.7-0.5
13 Spirou Charleroi167944%70.974.4-3.5
14 Feyenoord135838%74.181.4-7.3
15 Belfius Mons1641225%73.181.1-7.9
16 QSTA Utd1331023%71.882.7-10.8
17 Den Helder1331023%65.678.4-12.8
18 Leuven Bears1531220%73.779.3-5.7
19 LWD Basket1221017%72.079.8-7.8
20 Okapi Aalst151147%75.786.2-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle1514231971
Leiden2210222276
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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