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Ludwigsburg vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-67
15-19 21-12 14-13 22-23
Position#13
Record2-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#7
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game63.2
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5
European cup2016
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v AEK Athens
20 Dec 2023
LUD83
AAT79
16 Nov 2016
LUD72
AAT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#11
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A14/10
BBL
Vechta
#17
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H16/10
BBL
Partizan
#16
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H19/10
Champions League
Ulm
#2
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A22/10
BBL
Zielona Gora
#39
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A26/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#1
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H30/10
BBL
Szolnoki Olaj
#47
W
99-56
99
56
+43
H02/11
Champions League
Bremerhaven
#12
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A06/11
BBL
Spirou Charleroi
#36
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A09/11
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H13/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
13-17
11-20
11-15
20-19
26-23
20-17
24-18
16-18
14-14
16-20
18-13
21-23
13-25
17-28
29-21
20-15
16-12
23-25
11-20
13-20
9-13
11-14
15-13
28-11
20-16
22-20
29-9
21-23
30-22
23-16
21-26
22-15
27-22
22-20
25-21
12-21
17-16
25-18
19-24
151.4Avg total
77.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.267.8150.0+14.550%
Season at home (2)81.560.5142.0+21.050%
Season away (2)83.075.0158.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)77.873.6151.4+4.240%
Last 5 (5)82.272.0154.2+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.882.4155.2-9.722%
vs Similar ◀ (5)78.273.2151.4+5.060%
vs Weaker (16)85.276.6161.8+8.769%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#13
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A09/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#8
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H15/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#47
W
92-49
92
49
+43
H18/10
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
81-55
81
55
+26
A22/10
Basket League
Spirou Charleroi
#36
W
80-58
80
58
+22
A25/10
Champions League
Trikala
#10
W
78-59
78
59
+19
A29/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H01/11
Champions League
Rethymno
#6
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H05/11
Basket League
Sassari
#24
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H08/11
Champions League
PAOK
#4
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A12/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
11-15
22-16
20-8
29-12
24-16
16-14
27-14
26-13
24-12
23-14
19-10
29-6
17-8
19-17
16-24
18-21
25-16
17-8
20-13
19-16
12-16
30-20
17-7
18-22
22-25
21-17
17-24
25-13
20-21
12-17
23-11
27-13
20-13
13-12
18-20
15-21
19-17
19-20
25-13
143.3Avg total
81.8Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.063.2145.2+18.875%
Season at home (3)82.765.0147.7+17.767%
Season away (1)80.058.0138.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.861.5143.3+20.390%
Last 5 (5)78.467.6146.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.087.5156.5-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.480.5160.9-0.150%
vs Weaker (19)83.666.2149.8+17.479%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +7.3+7.3Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +5.8+5.8
LudwigsburgAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A14/10
BBL
Vechta
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H16/10
BBL
Partizan
#16
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H19/10
Champions League
Ulm
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A22/10
BBL
Zielona Gora
#39
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A26/10
Champions League
Bamberg
#1
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H30/10
BBL
Szolnoki Olaj
#47
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H02/11
Champions League
Bremerhaven
#12
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A06/11
BBL
Spirou Charleroi
#36
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A09/11
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H13/11
BBL
74.4Avg total
38.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.279.6+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.379.1+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.139.180.1+2.060%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.875.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.443.380.8-5.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.033.474.4+7.680%-
vs Weaker (16)43.836.880.6+6.981%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/10
Basket League
Lavrio
#8
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H15/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#47
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H18/10
Champions League
G.S. Kymis
#11
W
46-14
46
14
+32
A22/10
Basket League
Spirou Charleroi
#36
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A25/10
Champions League
Trikala
#10
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A29/10
Basket League
Besiktas
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H01/11
Champions League
Rethymno
#6
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/11
Basket League
Sassari
#24
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H08/11
Champions League
PAOK
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A12/11
Basket League
74.0Avg total
42.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.777.7+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.436.980.3+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)38.636.575.1+2.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.431.674.0+10.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.474.8+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.047.079.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.042.982.9-2.938%-
vs Weaker (19)42.633.175.7+9.568%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ludwigsburg wins
0
AEK Athens wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/16HAlba Berlin73-79
09/11/16ASpirou Charleroi96-78
06/11/16ABremerhaven95-87
02/11/16HSzolnoki Olaj99-56
30/10/16HBamberg48-60
26/10/16AZielona Gora70-72
22/10/16AUlm80-97
19/10/16HPartizan64-65
16/10/16HVechta90-77
14/10/16AFrankfurt63-65
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/16APAOK78-71
08/11/16HSassari78-58
05/11/16HRethymno80-62
01/11/16HBesiktas78-88
29/10/16ATrikala78-59
25/10/16ASpirou Charleroi80-58
22/10/16AG.S. Kymis81-55
18/10/16HSzolnoki Olaj92-49
15/10/16HLavrio96-56
09/10/16AApollon Patras77-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.281.583.0
Allowed / game67.860.575.0
Point differential+14.5+21.0+8.0
Avg total150.0142.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Champions League 2016
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWLW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game82.082.780.0
Allowed / game63.265.058.0
Point differential+18.8+17.7+22.0
Avg total145.2147.7138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas550100%83.471.0+12.4
2 Neptunas550100%74.863.6+11.2
3 Juventus76186%82.076.4+5.6
4 Le Mans54180%72.660.4+12.2
5 Aris54180%78.467.6+10.8
6 Monaco54180%70.860.4+10.4
7 Banvit54180%80.271.6+8.6
8 Avellino54180%77.673.2+4.4
9 Tenerife43175%86.863.8+23.0
10 AEK Athens43175%82.063.2+18.8
11 Saratov53260%90.081.4+8.6
12 Venezia53260%70.664.6+6.0
13 Nymburk53260%74.070.2+3.8
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne53260%76.074.4+1.6
15 Oldenburg53260%70.869.4+1.4
16 Karsiyaka53260%71.271.8-0.6
17 Partizan53260%65.067.2-2.2
18 CSM Oradea95456%69.369.4-0.1
19 Ludwigsburg42250%82.267.8+14.5
20 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
21 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
22 Strasbourg42250%74.273.2+1.0
23 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
24 HydroTruck Radom42250%73.876.5-2.8
25 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
26 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
27 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
28 Usak Sportif73443%72.371.3+1.0
29 Kataja73443%76.779.9-3.1
30 Ironi Nahariya73443%67.173.0-5.9
31 Mornar Bar73443%72.779.6-6.9
32 Bakken Bears73443%66.975.9-9.0
33 Ventspils52340%75.670.6+5.0
34 Sassari52340%74.674.2+0.4
35 Zielona Gora52340%69.470.0-0.6
36 PAOK52340%68.670.0-1.4
37 Frankfurt52340%63.467.8-4.4
38 Maccabi Rishon52340%70.275.0-4.8
39 Varese62433%70.781.0-10.3
40 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
41 Mega Bemax41325%78.282.2-4.0
42 Oostende41325%68.072.2-4.2
43 Helios Domzale51420%60.863.4-2.6
44 Khimik51420%67.873.8-6.0
45 Cibona51420%78.285.2-7.0
46 Spirou Charleroi51420%74.086.6-12.6
47 Szolnoki Olaj51420%59.283.2-24.0
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg1521142272
AEK Athens1912132367
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