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Luis Matte Larrain vs Sergio Ceppi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 90-71
22-22 22-18 17-14 29-17
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#17
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game74.7
ChileLNB 2· Gimnasio Carlos Flores
Other2025-26
Meetings · Luis Matte Larrain v Sergio Ceppi
26 Apr 2025
LUIS90
SERG71
27 Apr 2024
LUIS74
SERG53
02 Jul 2023
LUIS73
SERG57
19 Nov 2022
LUIS68
SERG67
23 Jul 2022
LUIS63
SERG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luis Matte Larrain winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sergio Ceppi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Luis Matte LarrainChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarrain
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
49-64
49
64
-15
39avg 60
H29/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
57-80
57
80
-23
42avg 60
A30/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
87avg 60
H06/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
59-60
59
60
-1
54avg 60
A13/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
55-66
55
66
-11
42avg 60
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 60
H21/07
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
96avg 60
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
55avg 60
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
63-57
63
57
+6
53avg 60
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
86-74
86
74
+12
83avg 60
A18/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
16-10
12-15
7-25
10-14
16-22
12-26
19-18
29-25
19-27
22-23
20-14
16-20
17-10
7-19
19-11
15-14
12-23
17-16
11-13
30-15
15-20
16-26
18-25
20-19
32-23
22-11
23-36
19-17
13-21
20-9
13-26
17-20
22-9
10-14
14-14
26-20
22-20
25-8
13-26
143.8Avg total
70.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.368.0139.3+3.367%
Season at home (1)63.057.0120.0+6.0100%
Season away (2)75.573.5149.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)70.073.8143.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)78.075.8153.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)66.574.6141.1-8.133%
vs Similar (10)65.569.1134.6-3.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)73.669.4143.0+4.280%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-57
80
57
+23
78avg 56
H30/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 56
A06/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
79-71
79
71
+8
67avg 56
H14/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
60-68
60
68
-8
48avg 56
A20/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
66avg 56
A28/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-76
62
76
-14
45avg 56
A29/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
50-73
50
73
-23
34avg 56
H04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
52avg 56
H28/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
76-65 OT
76
65
+11
63avg 56
A04/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
59-69
59
69
-10
49avg 56
H13/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-10
22-16
26-12
18-19
16-21
16-13
14-12
14-16
19-18
21-18
18-12
21-23
11-15
19-18
15-19
15-16
23-24
21-20
19-17
15-30
12-23
23-14
18-21
9-18
16-18
14-15
8-20
12-20
17-27
21-24
10-18
21-21
10-13
25-16
15-17
15-19
19-16
13-13
9-18
18-22
139.5Avg total
67.3Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)68.074.7142.7-6.733%
Season at home (2)64.079.5143.5-15.50%
Season away (1)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.372.2139.5-4.930%
Last 5 (5)63.274.6137.8-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)68.581.9150.4-13.515%
vs Similar (11)71.565.2136.6+6.373%
vs Weaker (6)80.075.3155.3+4.767%
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -4.6-4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -5.1-5.1Q4: -4.6-4.6
Luis Matte LarrainSergio Ceppi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Luis Matte LarrainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H29/06
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A30/06
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H06/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A13/07
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/07
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A21/07
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A29/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A18/04
LNB 2
74.3Avg total
38.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)35.236.972.1-1.844%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.134.771.8+2.458%-
Last 30 away (13)33.439.072.4-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.374.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.880.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.237.570.7-4.431%-
vs Similar (8)34.435.069.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)43.238.882.0+4.575%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H30/06
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/07
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H14/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A20/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A29/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H28/03
LNB 2
Brisas
#19
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#3
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H13/04
LNB 2
70.4Avg total
35.2Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.837.573.3-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.235.172.3+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.439.974.3-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.235.270.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.869.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.542.577.0-8.115%-
vs Similar (11)35.133.568.6+1.545%-
vs Weaker (6)40.033.873.8+6.2100%-
This opponent (Luis Matte Larrain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Luis Matte Larraintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Luis Matte Larrain: 69.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.418.4
44.4%
46.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.7
29.9%
27.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.312.5
68.3%
64.0%12.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 66.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.317.1
39.5%
46.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.4
28.7%
27.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.510.2
61.8%
64.0%10.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Luis Matte Larrain
WWLWLLLWLL
Sergio Ceppi
LWLLLLLWLW
#5
League position
#17
-5.3
Net rating
-6.1
90.2
Offensive rating
81.1
95.5
Defensive rating
87.1
44.6%
Effective FG%
40.8%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
43.4%
20.2%
Turnover %
21.9%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.9%
3-point %
28.7%
57.8%
Assist %
57.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 81.1Defence95.5 · 87.1Shooting44.6% · 40.8%3-point %29.9% · 28.7%Ball care20.2% · 21.9%Off. rebounds26.3% · 26.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Luis Matte Larrain   ■ Sergio Ceppi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Luis Matte Larrain wins
5
Sergio Ceppi wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25AStadio Italiano86-74
12/04/25HBrisas63-57
29/03/25ABoston C. C.65-73
21/07/24AArturo Prat San Felipe97-89
21/07/24HTruenos De Talca79-86
14/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol55-66
13/07/24AStadio Italiano59-60
06/07/24HAleman90-89
30/06/24ASergio Ceppi57-80
29/06/24HMunicipal Chillan49-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HBoston C. C.59-69
04/04/25ABrisas76-65 OT
28/03/25HStadio Italiano69-90
04/08/24HColo Colo50-73
29/07/24AColo Colo62-76
28/07/24AColo Colo78-91
20/07/24AColo Colo60-68
14/07/24HArabe Valparaiso79-71
06/07/24AQuilpue Basquetbol60-62
30/06/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Luis Matte Larrain
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game71.363.075.5
Allowed / game68.057.073.5
Point differential+3.3+6.0+2.0
Avg total139.3120.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game68.064.076.0
Allowed / game74.779.565.0
Point differential-6.7-15.5+11.0
Avg total142.7143.5141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %33%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Puerto Montt330100%90.365.7+24.7
2 Truenos De Talca440100%76.066.2+9.8
3 Boston C. C.43175%75.563.2+12.2
4 Aleman43175%68.258.2+10.0
5 Quilpue Basquetbol43175%78.068.0+10.0
6 Illapel43175%73.570.0+3.5
7 Stadio Italiano32167%78.374.3+4.0
8 Liceo Curico32167%50.347.0+3.3
9 Luis Matte Larrain32167%71.368.0+3.3
10 Omega32167%45.348.3-3.0
11 Arabe Valparaiso42250%71.265.0+6.2
12 CDSB Constitucion42250%78.272.5+5.8
13 The Sharks31233%71.076.7-5.7
14 Sergio Ceppi31233%68.074.7-6.7
15 Regional Temuco41325%72.078.8-6.8
16 Municipal Chillan41325%49.861.0-11.2
17 Tinguiririca3030%63.372.3-9.0
18 Brisas3030%60.077.0-17.0
19 CD Huachipato4040%59.879.2-19.5
20 Arturo Prat San Felipe3030%65.786.3-20.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Luis Matte Larrain2222172990
Sergio Ceppi2218141771
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