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Lund W vs MarkSjuharad W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 73-85
21-23 22-15 13-14 17-33
Position#9
Record4-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game84.4
Lund W
Sweden
vs
MarkSjuharad W 🏆
Sweden
Position#8
Record3-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game82.6
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MarkSjuharad W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
48avg 57
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
66-69
66
69
-3
46avg 57
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 57
H30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
59avg 57
H07/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
64-75
64
75
-11
49avg 57
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
81-57
81
57
+24
77avg 57
H18/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
79-117
79
117
-38
66avg 57
H12/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
98-84
98
84
+14
93avg 57
H26/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
65-84
65
84
-19
55avg 57
A01/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
80-66
80
66
+14
72avg 57
H15/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
19-24
7-15
16-23
12-12
12-16
17-22
25-19
20-30
14-20
22-19
24-28
17-20
8-24
20-29
31-20
12-19
14-17
17-21
21-18
12-9
22-14
27-11
20-23
19-27
21-34
16-31
23-25
17-10
27-33
31-17
23-24
19-17
14-18
18-23
14-26
21-5
17-16
22-24
20-21
156.8Avg total
75.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.784.4158.1-10.629%
Season at home (9)76.483.7160.1-7.233%
Season away (5)68.885.6154.4-16.820%
Last 10 (10)75.381.5156.8-6.230%
Last 5 (5)80.681.6162.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)67.791.0158.8-23.39%
vs Similar (3)74.775.0149.7-0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)80.568.8149.2+11.875%
This opponent (MarkSjuharad W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarkSjuharad WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
W
69-66
69
66
+3
55avg 54
H23/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
L
69-72
69
72
-3
55avg 54
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
95-91 OT
95
91
+4
83avg 54
H07/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
54-97
54
97
-43
43avg 54
A14/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
60-95
60
95
-35
42avg 54
A20/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
49-54
49
54
-5
40avg 54
A04/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
80-64
80
64
+16
69avg 54
A18/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
81-90
81
90
-9
73avg 54
H26/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
60-115
60
115
-55
53avg 54
H31/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
80-87 OT
80
87
-7
70avg 54
A16/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-12
16-12
22-17
19-25
9-21
16-11
26-22
18-18
19-12
14-15
12-23
19-14
9-24
11-29
13-27
21-17
17-28
16-21
21-15
6-31
9-14
9-15
13-19
18-6
13-11
28-20
15-18
24-15
20-29
27-17
12-23
22-21
18-26
18-30
11-27
13-32
22-21
13-14
20-17
18-21
152.8Avg total
69.7Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)65.982.6148.5-16.720%
Season at home (7)69.385.0154.3-15.729%
Season away (8)63.080.5143.5-17.512%
Last 10 (10)69.783.1152.8-13.430%
Last 5 (5)70.082.0152.0-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)63.885.3149.1-21.617%
vs Similar (1)69.072.0141.0-3.00%
vs Weaker (2)77.571.5149.0+6.050%
This opponent (Lund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
Lund WMarkSjuharad W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H30/11
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H07/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H15/12
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H18/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H12/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H26/01
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A01/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H15/02
Basketligan W
71.5Avg total
33.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.943.276.1-10.323%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.440.475.8-5.038%-
Last 30 away (14)30.146.476.5-16.47%-
Last 10 (10)33.937.671.5-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.674.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)32.346.478.7-14.113%-
vs Similar (3)35.735.070.7+0.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)34.230.865.0+3.575%-
This opponent (MarkSjuharad W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarkSjuharad WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lund W
#9
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H23/11
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A30/11
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H07/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
20-53
20
53
-33
A14/12
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A20/12
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A04/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A18/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H26/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
36-56
36
56
-20
H31/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A16/02
Basketligan W
69.8Avg total
31.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)30.439.569.9-9.127%-
Last 30 at home (7)33.338.972.1-5.643%-
Last 30 away (8)27.940.067.9-12.112%-
Last 10 (10)31.638.269.8-6.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.439.474.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.240.269.3-11.025%-
vs Similar (1)25.032.057.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (2)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.520.8
45.7%
46.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.4
28.7%
31.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws20.614.1
68.4%
71.3%14.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MarkSjuharad Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MarkSjuharad W: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.518.4
39.6%
46.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.15.9
29.4%
31.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws20.314.1
69.5%
71.3%14.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
WLWLWLLLLL
MarkSjuharad W
LLLWLLLWLW
#9
League position
#8
-6.1
Net rating
-17.5
89.6
Offensive rating
82.8
95.7
Defensive rating
100.3
44.8%
Effective FG%
40.9%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
23.8%
Turnover %
24.5%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.7%
3-point %
29.4%
48.5%
Assist %
53.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.6 · 82.8Defence95.7 · 100.3Shooting44.8% · 40.9%3-point %28.7% · 29.4%Ball care23.8% · 24.5%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Lund W   ■ MarkSjuharad W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lund W wins
1
MarkSjuharad W wins
DateGameScore
23/11/24MarkSjuharad W v Lund W69-66
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25HAIK Basket W80-66
01/02/25ASodertalje W65-84
26/01/25HOstersund W98-84
12/01/25HLulea W79-117
18/12/24HVisby W81-57
15/12/24HUppsala W64-75
07/12/24HAlvik W76-93
30/11/24HHogsbo W80-97
23/11/24AMarkSjuharad W66-69
16/11/24HSodertalje W64-73
MarkSjuharad Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25ANorrkoping W80-87 OT
31/01/25HLulea W60-115
26/01/25HAlvik W81-90
18/01/25AVisby W80-64
04/01/25AUppsala W49-54
20/12/24AHogsbo W60-95
14/12/24ASodertalje W54-97
07/12/24HAIK Basket W95-91 OT
30/11/24AOstersund W69-72
23/11/24HLund W69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW29%
HomeLWLWW33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %29%33%20%
Points / game73.776.468.8
Allowed / game84.483.785.6
Point differential-10.6-7.2-16.8
Avg total158.1160.1154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
MarkSjuharad W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %20%29%12%
Points / game65.969.363.0
Allowed / game82.685.080.5
Point differential-16.7-15.7-17.5
Avg total148.5154.3143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %13%14%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W17170100%97.254.7+42.5
2 Norrkoping W1513287%86.169.7+16.5
3 Hogsbo W1713476%87.769.4+18.4
4 Alvik W1510567%79.580.3-0.8
5 Sodertalje W1610662%78.971.7+7.2
6 Uppsala W146843%62.370.2-7.9
7 AIK Basket W156940%77.582.3-4.7
8 Lund W1441029%73.784.4-10.6
9 MarkSjuharad W1531220%65.982.6-16.7
10 Visby W1721512%59.887.9-28.1
11 Ostersund W151147%63.284.9-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W2122131773
MarkSjuharad W2315143385
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