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Lund W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 80-97
20-30 14-20 22-19 24-28
Position#9
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game84.7
Lund W
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W 🏆
Sweden
Position#3
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game68.7
SwedenBasketligan W· Eoshallen
Women2024-25
Meetings · Lund W v Hogsbo W
06 Mar 2027
LUND v HOGS
upcoming
11 Feb 2026
LUND77
HOGS83
30 Nov 2024
LUND80
HOGS97
25 Nov 2023
LUND75
HOGS69
15 Feb 2023
LUND81
HOGS68
24 Oct 2021
LUND59
HOGS69
23 Jan 2021
LUND74
HOGS76
10 Apr 2019
LUND49
HOGS80
04 Apr 2019
LUND51
HOGS68
22 Dec 2018
LUND61
HOGS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
52-100
52
100
-48
34avg 53
H02/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
61-76
61
76
-15
46avg 53
A10/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
49avg 53
H16/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
64-86
64
86
-22
44avg 53
A23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
55avg 53
H28/09
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
39-106
39
106
-67
21avg 53
A05/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
77-65
77
65
+12
67avg 53
A19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 53
A02/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
48avg 53
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
66-69
66
69
-3
46avg 53
A23/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
13-19
8-20
13-30
18-24
10-17
15-18
18-17
19-26
18-13
10-26
21-28
19-15
11-23
19-30
15-18
11-24
19-21
19-19
17-27
9-22
7-28
13-22
10-34
21-13
14-16
20-21
22-15
23-25
22-35
23-21
29-23
22-11
19-24
7-15
16-23
12-12
12-16
17-22
25-19
151.7Avg total
65.4Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)68.284.7152.8-16.517%
Season at home (2)65.082.0147.0-17.00%
Season away (4)69.886.0155.8-16.225%
Last 10 (10)65.486.3151.7-20.910%
Last 5 (5)68.683.4152.0-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)65.490.3155.7-24.98%
vs Similar (4)74.573.5148.0+1.075%
vs Weaker (2)71.567.0138.5+4.550%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
W
72-67
72
67
+5
54avg 70
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 70
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 70
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
106-71
106
71
+35
106avg 70
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
86-40
86
40
+46
90avg 70
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
50avg 70
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
102-55
102
55
+47
104avg 70
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
108-70
108
70
+38
112avg 70
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 70
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
82avg 70
H23/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
17-20
14-15
27-15
14-24
21-19
14-15
24-19
16-22
18-20
17-19
14-23
26-19
20-26
29-15
31-11
21-14
16-7
21-14
28-5
9-24
19-19
18-33
15-21
29-13
30-15
27-16
16-11
24-14
25-16
34-20
25-20
18-14
22-21
20-22
13-29
14-14
32-17
16-19
24-12
154.1Avg total
83.2Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.968.7157.6+20.171%
Season at home (4)90.275.0165.2+15.275%
Season away (3)87.060.3147.3+26.767%
Last 10 (10)83.270.9154.1+12.360%
Last 5 (5)86.074.0160.0+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.781.9146.6-17.29%
vs Similar (3)71.383.3154.7-12.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.164.2151.3+22.888%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +5.1+5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +5.1+5.1
Lund WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sodertalje W
#1
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H02/03
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A10/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H28/09
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
16-50
16
50
-34
A05/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A02/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A23/11
Basketligan W
73.2Avg total
31.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.544.477.0-11.917%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.441.176.4-5.729%-
Last 30 away (16)30.147.477.4-17.36%-
Last 10 (10)31.741.573.2-9.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.240.472.6-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.747.579.2-15.88%-
vs Similar (4)39.234.073.2+5.250%-
vs Weaker (2)29.528.558.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping W
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/04
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/04
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/09
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A06/10
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
59-28
59
28
+31
A19/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A17/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/11
Basketligan W
76.0Avg total
40.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.934.772.5+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.835.375.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)35.934.170.0+1.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.535.576.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.433.477.8+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.937.868.7-6.99%-
vs Similar (3)41.337.779.0+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.031.973.9+10.181%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 64.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.116.1
39.2%
46.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.5
26.3%
31.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.612.6
61.2%
71.3%12.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.320.8
49.2%
46.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.3
32.7%
31.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.2%
71.3%13.4
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LLLWLLLLLL
Hogsbo W
WLWWLWWLLW
#9
League position
#3
-26.4
Net rating
+15.8
77.6
Offensive rating
103.2
104.0
Defensive rating
87.4
39.3%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
42.4%
24.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.3%
3-point %
32.7%
50.9%
Assist %
67.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence77.6 · 103.2Defence104.0 · 87.4Shooting39.3% · 49.2%3-point %26.3% · 32.7%Ball care24.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.6% · 28.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Lund W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lund W wins
7
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Hogsbo W v Lund W103-70
25/11/23Lund W v Hogsbo W75-69
15/02/23Lund W v Hogsbo W81-68
10/12/22Hogsbo W v Lund W74-82
09/03/22Hogsbo W v Lund W77-59
24/10/21Lund W v Hogsbo W59-69
23/01/21Lund W v Hogsbo W74-76
28/11/20Hogsbo W v Lund W101-60
21/12/19Hogsbo W v Lund W73-59
10/04/19Lund W v Hogsbo W49-80
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24AMarkSjuharad W66-69
16/11/24HSodertalje W64-73
02/11/24AAIK Basket W97-104
19/10/24AOstersund W77-65
05/10/24ALulea W39-106
28/09/24HNorrkoping W66-91
23/03/24AVisby W64-86
16/03/24HMarbo W68-93
10/03/24AUppsala W61-76
02/03/24HSodertalje W52-100
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HSodertalje W86-62
17/11/24ANorrkoping W73-86
02/11/24HOstersund W108-70
19/10/24AVisby W102-55
12/10/24HLulea W61-97
06/10/24AUppsala W86-40
28/09/24HAlvik W106-71
07/04/24ANorrkoping W65-84
05/04/24HNorrkoping W73-77
03/04/24ANorrkoping W72-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game68.265.069.8
Allowed / game84.782.086.0
Point differential-16.5-17.0-16.2
Avg total152.8147.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game88.990.287.0
Allowed / game68.775.060.3
Point differential+20.1+15.2+26.7
Avg total157.6165.2147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W770100%95.447.4+48.0
2 Norrkoping W65183%87.766.2+21.5
3 Alvik W65183%81.378.2+3.2
4 Hogsbo W75271%88.968.7+20.1
5 Sodertalje W74357%78.070.7+7.3
6 Uppsala W63350%59.271.5-12.3
7 AIK Basket W52340%82.890.6-7.8
8 Lund W61517%68.284.7-16.5
9 MarkSjuharad W61517%60.279.0-18.8
10 Visby W61517%54.284.7-30.5
11 Ostersund W6060%60.288.2-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W2014222480
Hogsbo W3020192897
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