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Lund W vs Alvik W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 76-93
17-20 8-24 20-29 31-20
Position#9
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game86.4
Lund W
Sweden
vs
Alvik W 🏆
Sweden
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game83.9
SwedenBasketligan W· Akeshovshallen
Women2024-25
Meetings · Lund W v Alvik W
20 Feb 2027
LUND v ALVI
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
LUND103
ALVI94
07 Dec 2024
LUND76
ALVI93
27 Jan 2024
LUND70
ALVI79
25 Feb 2023
LUND91
ALVI63
09 Feb 2022
LUND68
ALVI70
14 Feb 2021
LUND82
ALVI95
23 Nov 2019
LUND58
ALVI61
27 Mar 2019
LUND47
ALVI60
03 Nov 2018
LUND53
ALVI70
20 Dec 2017
LUND75
ALVI76
25 Mar 2017
LUND77
ALVI67
21 Jan 2017
LUND52
ALVI62
08 Oct 2016
LUND80
ALVI63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lund W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alvik W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lund WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
L
61-76
61
76
-15
46avg 53
A10/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
68-93
68
93
-25
49avg 53
H16/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
64-86
64
86
-22
44avg 53
A23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
55avg 53
H28/09
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
39-106
39
106
-67
21avg 53
A05/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
77-65
77
65
+12
67avg 53
A19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 53
A02/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
L
64-73
64
73
-9
48avg 53
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
66-69
66
69
-3
46avg 53
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
80-97
80
97
-17
69avg 53
H30/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
10-17
15-18
18-17
19-26
18-13
10-26
21-28
19-15
11-23
19-30
15-18
11-24
19-21
19-19
17-27
9-22
7-28
13-22
10-34
21-13
14-16
20-21
22-15
23-25
22-35
23-21
29-23
22-11
19-24
7-15
16-23
12-12
12-16
17-22
25-19
20-30
14-20
22-19
24-28
154.2Avg total
68.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.986.4156.3-16.614%
Season at home (3)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Season away (4)69.886.0155.8-16.225%
Last 10 (10)68.286.0154.2-17.810%
Last 5 (5)76.881.6158.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)66.189.6155.7-23.58%
vs Similar (4)74.573.5148.0+1.075%
vs Weaker (2)71.567.0138.5+4.550%
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
W
85-67
85
67
+18
no box
A23/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
72-92
72
92
-20
63avg 63
A02/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
67-95
67
95
-28
56avg 63
H04/04
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
71-106
71
106
-35
60avg 63
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
95-89
95
89
+6
84avg 63
H05/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
81-65
81
65
+16
75avg 63
A12/10
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
82-74
82
74
+8
75avg 63
H19/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
66avg 63
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 63
H24/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
53-118
53
118
-65
40avg 63
A30/11
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
29-26
16-18
21-12
14-23
23-24
17-20
18-25
11-23
12-21
16-26
28-25
19-26
26-20
15-29
11-31
27-14
16-24
19-18
33-33
27-14
24-19
15-15
15-17
13-18
25-15
19-17
25-24
17-15
21-19
16-14
25-12
25-23
24-12
14-25
17-15
24-29
7-37
8-32
14-20
160.6Avg total
76.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.383.9161.1-6.671%
Season at home (4)84.074.5158.5+9.5100%
Season away (3)68.396.3164.7-28.033%
Last 10 (10)76.584.1160.6-7.660%
Last 5 (5)75.078.4153.4-3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)67.889.8157.6-22.112%
vs Similar (5)79.474.0153.4+5.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.871.1156.9+14.7100%
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -6.7-6.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -0.7-0.7
Lund WAlvik W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lund WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uppsala W
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A10/03
Basketligan W
Marbo W
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/03
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A23/03
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H28/09
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
16-50
16
50
-34
A05/10
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#10
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A19/10
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A02/11
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#5
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/11
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A23/11
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H30/11
Basketligan W
73.5Avg total
32.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.644.477.0-11.817%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.341.776.9-6.427%-
Last 30 away (15)29.947.177.0-17.17%-
Last 10 (10)32.041.573.5-9.520%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.476.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)31.847.479.2-15.78%-
vs Similar (4)39.234.073.2+5.250%-
vs Weaker (2)29.528.558.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Alvik W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alvik WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket W
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/03
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/04
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H04/04
Basketligan W
Hogsbo W
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A28/09
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H05/10
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#6
W
51-33
51
33
+18
A12/10
Basketligan W
MarkSjuharad W
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/10
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/11
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/11
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
31-66
31
66
-35
A30/11
Basketligan W
81.6Avg total
40.3Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.577.3-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.576.1+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)37.241.478.6-4.240%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.381.6-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.281.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)33.943.877.8-9.912%-
vs Similar (5)39.634.674.2+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.934.478.3+9.489%-
This opponent (Lund W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lund Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lund W: 67.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.517.4
40.9%
46.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.7
27.6%
31.7%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.512.2
62.6%
71.3%12.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvik Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvik W: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.6
50.7%
46.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.8
31.6%
31.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.311.6
71.2%
71.3%11.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lund W
LLLLWLLLLL
Alvik W
LWWWWWLLLW
#9
League position
#4
-22.7
Net rating
-10.5
81.8
Offensive rating
94.8
104.4
Defensive rating
105.3
41.1%
Effective FG%
49.3%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
23.5%
Turnover %
23.3%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.6%
3-point %
31.6%
48.5%
Assist %
51.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence81.8 · 94.8Defence104.4 · 105.3Shooting41.1% · 49.3%3-point %27.6% · 31.6%Ball care23.5% · 23.3%Off. rebounds28.4% · 27.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Lund W   ■ Alvik W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lund W wins
9
Alvik W wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Lund W v Alvik W70-79
21/10/23Alvik W v Lund W94-87
25/02/23Lund W v Alvik W91-63
29/10/22Alvik W v Lund W90-67
09/02/22Lund W v Alvik W68-70
27/11/21Alvik W v Lund W88-76
14/02/21Lund W v Alvik W82-95
18/11/20Alvik W v Lund W85-73
22/02/20Alvik W v Lund W66-39
23/11/19Lund W v Alvik W58-61
Lund Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HHogsbo W80-97
23/11/24AMarkSjuharad W66-69
16/11/24HSodertalje W64-73
02/11/24AAIK Basket W97-104
19/10/24AOstersund W77-65
05/10/24ALulea W39-106
28/09/24HNorrkoping W66-91
23/03/24AVisby W64-86
16/03/24HMarbo W68-93
10/03/24AUppsala W61-76
Alvik Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ALulea W53-118
24/11/24HNorrkoping W80-75
02/11/24HVisby W79-60
19/10/24HMarkSjuharad W82-74
12/10/24AUppsala W81-65
05/10/24HAIK Basket W95-89
28/09/24AHogsbo W71-106
04/04/24HSodertalje W67-95
02/04/24ASodertalje W72-92
23/03/24AAIK Basket W85-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lund W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%0%25%
Points / game69.970.069.8
Allowed / game86.487.086.0
Point differential-16.6-17.0-16.2
Avg total156.3157.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alvik W
Basketligan W 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game77.384.068.3
Allowed / game83.974.596.3
Point differential-6.6+9.5-28.0
Avg total161.1158.5164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W880100%98.248.1+50.1
2 Norrkoping W76186%84.765.7+19.0
3 Hogsbo W86275%89.970.1+19.8
4 Alvik W75271%77.383.9-6.6
5 Sodertalje W85362%78.069.8+8.2
6 AIK Basket W63350%82.286.3-4.2
7 Uppsala W83538%60.171.8-11.6
8 Lund W71614%69.986.4-16.6
9 MarkSjuharad W71614%61.478.0-16.6
10 Ostersund W71614%61.985.4-23.6
11 Visby W71614%55.783.9-28.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lund W178203176
Alvik W2024292093
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