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Lusitania vs Benfica Lisboa B Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game72.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Position#16
Record1-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game80.6
PortugalProligaRound 24· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Lusitania v Benfica Lisboa B
20 Mar 2027
LUSI v BENF
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
LUSI89
BENF72
26 Apr 2025
LUSI85
BENF73
05 Oct 2024
LUSI60
BENF59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica Lisboa B win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
81avg 84
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
108-88
108
88
+20
109avg 84
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 84
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
89-68
89
68
+21
92avg 84
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 84
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
88-56
88
56
+32
89avg 84
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 84
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
73avg 84
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 84
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
93-68
93
68
+25
no box
H07/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
21-15
17-29
18-14
25-25
26-23
22-21
35-19
16-23
27-25
14-13
28-18
31-16
20-11
19-20
19-21
19-15
15-20
23-16
16-17
21-16
24-19
30-12
13-9
23-18
17-19
16-21
21-17
18-28
26-8
15-25
18-21
13-18
13-33
22-19
32-15
23-17
24-25
17-11
29-15
159.4Avg total
85.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.372.3153.7+9.067%
Season at home (4)80.874.0154.8+6.875%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)85.573.9159.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)83.073.2156.2+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.585.0157.5-12.50%
vs Similar (6)80.775.8156.5+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.773.5161.2+14.286%
This opponent (Benfica Lisboa B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica Lisboa BPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormB
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
63-59
63
59
+4
51avg 61
H19/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
80-94
80
94
-14
63avg 61
A26/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
100-55
100
55
+45
99avg 61
H02/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
L
59-65
59
65
-6
49avg 61
H04/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 61
A10/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
W
69-67
69
67
+2
62avg 61
H18/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
68-90
68
90
-22
61avg 61
A24/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
70-80
70
80
-10
63avg 61
H01/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
76-106
76
106
-30
no box
A07/11
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
58-80
58
80
-22
no box
H15/11
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
19-17
17-14
16-11
20-25
22-20
15-24
23-25
21-14
27-19
22-11
30-11
14-13
21-19
13-9
11-24
22-23
18-17
14-23
10-13
15-15
15-18
24-16
15-18
26-16
9-24
20-30
13-20
24-18
18-24
15-17
13-21
16-33
15-25
29-26
16-22
10-10
10-24
18-26
20-20
147.9Avg total
70.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)66.380.6146.9-14.314%
Season at home (4)64.073.0137.0-9.025%
Season away (3)69.390.7160.0-21.30%
Last 10 (10)70.777.2147.9-6.530%
Last 5 (5)68.284.6152.8-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.979.2149.1-9.320%
vs Similar (6)64.072.8136.8-8.817%
vs Weaker (9)74.170.8144.9+3.344%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
LusitaniaBenfica Lisboa B
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santo Andre
#13
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A03/04
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H18/04
Proliga
Academica
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H02/05
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/10
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A11/10
Proliga
Galomar
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H17/10
Proliga
Maia
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H31/10
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/11
Proliga
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.180.3+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.675.9+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)44.241.085.2+3.257%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.542.579.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (6)39.738.878.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.437.580.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Benfica Lisboa B) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica Lisboa BLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H19/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A26/04
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H02/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/10
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#8
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H18/10
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A24/10
Proliga
Barcelos
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H01/11
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#12
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A07/11
Proliga
Galomar
#5
L
20-34
20
34
-14
H15/11
Proliga
74.4Avg total
35.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.139.273.3-5.120%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.034.868.8-0.833%-
Last 30 away (15)34.143.677.7-9.57%-
Last 10 (10)35.339.174.4-3.820%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.473.0-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.540.372.9-7.820%-
vs Similar (6)32.840.373.2-7.50%-
vs Weaker (9)37.436.674.0+0.933%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.725.4
55.6%
52.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
30.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.212.5
72.7%
67.3%12.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benfica Lisboa Btheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica Lisboa B: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.2 points a game
50%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.716.2
41.9%
52.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.0
31.9%
30.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.913.3
63.6%
67.3%13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
WLLWWWWWWW
Benfica Lisboa B
LLLLWLLWLW
#6
League position
#16
+13.5
Net rating
-2.4
95.6
Offensive rating
79.0
82.1
Defensive rating
81.4
53.2%
Effective FG%
44.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
31.9%
67.2%
Assist %
57.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 79.0Defence82.1 · 81.4Shooting53.2% · 44.2%3-point %32.3% · 31.9%Ball care16.2% · 18.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Lusitania   ■ Benfica Lisboa B
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lusitania wins
0
Benfica Lisboa B wins
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBarreirense93-68
31/10/26HSanto Andre80-85
24/10/26AMaia77-82
17/10/26HGalomar77-75
11/10/26AGinasio Olhanense88-56
05/10/26HBarcelos73-68
02/05/26HCB Queluz89-68
26/04/26AAcademica85-79
18/04/26HGalomar108-88
03/04/26ASanto Andre85-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HGalomar58-80
07/11/26AGinasio Olhanense76-106
01/11/26HBarcelos70-80
24/10/26AGalitos Aveiro68-90
18/10/26HSampaense69-67
10/10/26AGalitos Barreiro64-76
04/10/26HCB Queluz59-65
02/05/26HSangalhos100-55
26/04/26ACB Queluz80-94
19/04/26HAcademica63-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game81.380.882.5
Allowed / game72.374.069.0
Point differential+9.0+6.8+13.5
Avg total153.7154.8151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica Lisboa B
Proliga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game66.364.069.3
Allowed / game80.673.090.7
Point differential-14.3-9.0-21.3
Avg total146.9137.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sangalhos76186%76.661.1+15.4
2 Galitos Barreiro75271%78.371.3+7.0
3 Galitos Aveiro75271%78.973.6+5.3
4 Santo Andre75271%78.174.4+3.7
5 Galomar64267%77.767.2+10.5
6 Lusitania64267%81.372.3+9.0
7 Illiabum74357%74.174.4-0.3
8 Sampaense74357%82.182.4-0.3
9 CB Queluz74357%72.172.6-0.4
10 Maia63350%83.287.8-4.7
11 Vasco Da Gama62433%85.888.8-3.0
12 Ginasio Olhanense72529%84.788.4-3.7
13 Barreirense72529%75.083.9-8.9
14 Barcelos72529%66.677.4-10.9
15 Academica71614%80.483.3-2.9
16 Benfica Lisboa B71614%66.380.6-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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