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Lusitania vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 93-92
24-29 22-26 29-20 18-17
Position#6
Record3-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#9
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game80.6
PortugalLPBRound 8
Other2018-19
Meetings · Lusitania v Esgueira
16 Dec 2023
LUSI89
ESGU83
14 Jan 2023
LUSI85
ESGU73
29 Oct 2022
LUSI84
ESGU88
07 Mar 2021
LUSI79
ESGU75
05 Oct 2019
LUSI59
ESGU91
24 Nov 2018
LUSI93
ESGU92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#1
L
94-103
94
103
-9
A12/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
L
48-84
48
84
-36
H19/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H06/10
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A13/10
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A20/10
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H27/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A03/11
LPB
Galitos
#7
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H10/11
LPB
Illiabum
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A17/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
12-26
28-19
30-25
17-30
10-25
17-21
22-12
9-21
14-21
7-26
18-16
18-28
20-23
12-13
17-9
21-18
17-18
18-20
21-18
19-20
21-26
15-23
14-20
21-24
19-14
20-16
25-24
12-28
34-17
17-11
24-33
20-25
19-17
20-11
17-12
25-16
14-26
22-20
17-23
157.5Avg total
74.7Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.079.0156.0-2.043%
Season at home (3)76.072.0148.0+4.067%
Season away (4)77.884.2162.0-6.525%
Last 10 (10)74.782.8157.5-8.130%
Last 5 (5)79.081.2160.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.990.1166.0-14.220%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.579.1157.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (6)86.375.7162.0+10.7100%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A07/10
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H13/10
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H20/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A27/10
LPB
Imortal
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H03/11
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A10/11
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H18/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
16-16
22-21
29-18
19-27
15-18
15-19
20-25
19-18
20-21
19-10
27-28
17-22
17-17
16-13
22-24
18-24
22-22
21-24
26-14
16-17
19-18
21-24
29-18
25-19
14-25
31-20
19-17
162.0Avg total
81.4Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.480.6162.0+0.971%
Season at home (4)82.582.8165.2-0.275%
Season away (3)80.077.7157.7+2.367%
Last 10 (7)81.480.6162.0+0.971%
Last 5 (5)83.679.0162.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.083.0160.0-6.050%
vs Similar ◀ (4)81.879.2161.0+2.575%
vs Weaker (1)89.081.0170.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.0+4.0
LusitaniaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#1
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A12/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H19/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H06/10
LPB
Terceira
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A13/10
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/10
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H27/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A03/11
LPB
Galitos
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H10/11
LPB
Illiabum
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A17/11
LPB
82.2Avg total
36.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.741.580.2-2.947%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.839.779.5+0.155%-
Last 30 away (19)38.042.680.6-4.642%-
Last 10 (10)36.645.682.2-9.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.346.882.1-11.530%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.538.477.9+1.157%-
vs Weaker (6)42.340.282.5+2.250%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/10
LPB
Benfica
#2
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H13/10
LPB
Vitoria
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/10
LPB
Imortal
#12
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H03/11
LPB
Ovarense
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A10/11
LPB
Terceira
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H18/11
LPB
77.4Avg total
36.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)36.141.377.4-5.10%-
Last 30 at home (4)38.043.581.5-5.50%-
Last 30 away (3)33.738.372.0-4.70%-
Last 10 (7)36.141.377.4-5.10%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.678.0-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.074.5-5.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.241.277.5-5.00%-
vs Weaker (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lusitania wins
0
Esgueira wins
No previous meetings.
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/18AIlliabum78-85
10/11/18HGalitos76-65
03/11/18AOliveirense87-89
27/10/18HFC Porto85-78
20/10/18ABenfica69-89
13/10/18ATerceira77-74
06/10/18HOvarense67-73
19/05/18HOliveirense48-84
13/05/18AOliveirense66-88
12/05/18AOliveirense94-103
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HTerceira89-81
10/11/18AOvarense85-77
03/11/18HImortal87-84
27/10/18ACAB Madeira72-76
20/10/18HVitoria85-77
13/10/18HBenfica69-89
07/10/18AIlliabum83-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
LPB 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game77.076.077.8
Allowed / game79.072.084.2
Point differential-2.0+4.0-6.5
Avg total156.0148.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game81.482.580.0
Allowed / game80.682.877.7
Point differential+0.9-0.2+2.3
Avg total162.0165.2157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica880100%86.574.1+12.4
2 Oliveirense76186%86.474.0+12.4
3 Esgueira75271%81.480.6+0.9
4 Ovarense74357%75.673.4+2.1
5 Vitoria84450%79.478.8+0.6
6 Lusitania73443%77.079.0-2.0
7 Terceira83538%75.478.8-3.4
8 FC Porto62433%82.783.5-0.8
9 CAB Madeira62433%75.280.8-5.7
10 Illiabum72529%81.384.3-3.0
11 Imortal82625%77.988.2-10.4
12 Galitos51420%77.483.0-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2422291893
Esgueira2926201792
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