Lusitania vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2021

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 79-75

20-18 22-24 20-16 17-17

Position#6

Record12-7

FormWLLWL

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game79.3

Lusitania 🏆

Esgueira

Position#12

Record6-14

FormLWLWL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game80.9

LPBRound 21

Other2020-21

Meetings · Lusitania v Esgueira

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Esgueira winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos

#11

93-92 OT

A19/12

LPB

Maia

#13

76-65

+11

A03/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

102-97 OT

102

H09/01

LPB

Imortal

62-76

-14

H15/01

LPB

Academica

84-83

A17/01

LPB

Vitoria

87-70

+17

H24/01

LPB

Oliveirense

95-102

102

-7

A07/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

82-86

-4

A14/02

LPB

Ovarense

#10

97-87

+10

A27/02

LPB

Benfica

89-93

-4

A05/03

LPB

15-25

15-18

24-12

14-13

27-14

17-21

15-15

17-15

28-19

21-25

15-22

21-19

15-20

14-19

18-16

15-21

24-28

26-23

19-13

15-19

17-24

16-13

31-15

23-18

23-24

24-26

24-27

24-25

23-22

14-25

23-8

22-31

25-18

23-24

21-18

28-27

9-20

24-32

26-15

30-26

171.8Avg total

86.7Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	81.9	79.3	161.3	+2.6	63%
Season at home (9)	79.2	77.8	157.0	+1.4	56%
Season away (10)	84.4	80.7	165.1	+3.7	70%
Last 10 (10)	86.7	85.1	171.8	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	87.6	177.6	+2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	75.7	82.7	158.4	-7.0	21%
vs Similar (1)	83.0	78.0	161.0	+5.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	86.6	77.5	164.1	+9.2	92%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

81-86

-5

A03/01

LPB

Galitos

#11

80-61

+19

H09/01

LPB

Maia

#13

88-70

+18

H14/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

97-91 OT

A17/01

LPB

Illiabum

#13

94-79

+15

H23/01

Taca de Portugal

Academica

54-68

-14

A31/01

LPB

Vitoria

97-88 OT

H13/02

LPB

Imortal

54-76

-22

H20/02

LPB

Barreirense

#14

89-85

A27/02

LPB

FC Porto

72-73

-1

H05/03

LPB

21-26

17-19

21-19

22-22

17-21

20-13

23-13

20-14

26-18

18-24

21-12

23-16

25-32

19-23

20-14

22-17

22-25

30-18

24-19

18-17

17-19

12-19

13-12

12-18

20-17

14-23

10-17

27-14

15-20

15-18

9-24

15-14

26-15

18-25

21-29

24-16

24-20

11-24

21-12

16-17

158.3Avg total

80.6Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.0	80.9	156.9	-4.9	30%
Season at home (10)	74.6	76.2	150.8	-1.6	30%
Season away (10)	77.4	85.6	163.0	-8.2	30%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	77.7	158.3	+2.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	78.0	151.2	-4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	69.6	83.5	153.1	-13.8	0%
vs Similar (9)	78.9	79.1	158.0	-0.2	44%
vs Weaker (8)	86.5	79.5	166.0	+7.0	50%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaEsgueira

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.1	42.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	21.6	41.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.4	36%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.4	43.2	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	20.5	42.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.3	42.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.5	23.7	42.2	-5.3	18%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	20.3	39.8	-0.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	27.9	19.0	46.9	+8.9	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.4	39.7	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	24.0	44.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.7	22.4	41.1	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar (1)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.2	39.5	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	20.1	38.5	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	22.3	40.5	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	21.8	35.8	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	9%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	22.9	41.3	-4.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.6	38%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos

#11

30-43

-13

A19/12

LPB

Maia

#13

44-35

A03/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

49-44

H09/01

LPB

Imortal

29-39

-10

H15/01

LPB

Academica

50-51

-1

A17/01

LPB

Vitoria

33-37

-4

H24/01

LPB

Oliveirense

47-50

-3

A07/02

Taca de Portugal

FC Porto

37-47

-10

A14/02

LPB

Ovarense

#10

48-42

A27/02

LPB

Benfica

33-52

-19

A05/03

LPB

84.0Avg total

40.0Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	40.4	80.3	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	39.1	77.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	41.5	82.6	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	44.0	84.0	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	45.6	85.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.8	41.9	79.6	-4.1	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	42.0	35.0	77.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	41.2	38.7	79.9	+2.5	62%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

38-45

-7

A03/01

LPB

Galitos

#11

37-34

H09/01

LPB

Maia

#13

44-42

H14/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

44-55

-11

A17/01

LPB

Illiabum

#13

52-43

H23/01

Taca de Portugal

Academica

29-38

-9

A31/01

LPB

Vitoria

34-40

-6

H13/02

LPB

Imortal

30-38

-8

H20/02

LPB

Barreirense

#14

44-40

A27/02

LPB

FC Porto

35-44

-9

H05/03

LPB

80.6Avg total

38.7Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.7	82.6	-2.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	40.7	81.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.2	44.7	83.9	-5.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	41.9	80.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	40.0	74.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.0	45.7	80.7	-10.7	9%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.9	43.2	81.1	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	46.0	38.8	84.8	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.3	39.7	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.8	41.6	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	16.1	37.7	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	16.6	41.6	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.1	20.2	38.4	-2.1	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	22.3	17.0	39.3	+5.3	77%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.7	36.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	15.1	32.5	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.1	35.4	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	18.8	33.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.0	18.3	35.3	-1.3	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.0	16.8	34.8	+1.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	25.4	50.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.9	36%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.6	37.3	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	17.5	35.9	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.5	36.4	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	15.8	34.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.6	19.5	37.1	-1.8	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.9	16.7	35.6	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.5	79.7	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	39.8	80.6	+1.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.6	39.2	78.9	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	37.5	80.0	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	42.0	92.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.9	40.9	78.8	-2.9	21%	-
vs Similar (1)	41.0	43.0	84.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)	42.2	36.0	78.2	+6.2	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	36.3	73.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.8	32.6	68.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	33.6	71.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	34.6	68.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	34.6	37.7	72.4	-3.1	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.9	33.4	70.3	+3.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	39.9	39.6	79.5	+0.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Esgueira wins

Date	Game	Score
05/12/20	Esgueira v Lusitania	65-80
28/12/19	Esgueira v Lusitania	70-73
05/10/19	Lusitania v Esgueira	59-91
02/03/19	Esgueira v Lusitania	77-85
24/11/18	Lusitania v Esgueira	93-92

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/21	A	Benfica	89-93
27/02/21	A	Ovarense	97-87
14/02/21	A	FC Porto	82-86
07/02/21	A	Oliveirense	95-102
24/01/21	H	Vitoria	87-70
17/01/21	A	Academica	84-83
15/01/21	H	Imortal	62-76
09/01/21	H	CAB Madeira	102-97 OT
03/01/21	A	Maia	76-65
19/12/20	A	Galitos	93-92 OT

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/21	H	FC Porto	72-73
27/02/21	A	Barreirense	89-85
20/02/21	H	Imortal	54-76
13/02/21	H	Vitoria	97-88 OT
31/01/21	A	Academica	54-68
23/01/21	H	Illiabum	94-79
17/01/21	A	CAB Madeira	97-91 OT
14/01/21	H	Maia	88-70
09/01/21	H	Galitos	80-61
03/01/21	A	Oliveirense	81-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	63%
Home	LLWLW	56%
Away	WWLWL	70%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	63%	56%	70%
Points / game	81.9	79.2	84.4
Allowed / game	79.3	77.8	80.7
Point differential	+2.6	+1.4	+3.7
Avg total	161.3	157.0	165.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	37%	33%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	100% (1)	50% (4)
Overtime %	11%	11%	10%

Esgueira

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	30%
Home	WWWLL	30%
Away	WLWLW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	30%	30%	30%
Points / game	76.0	74.6	77.4
Allowed / game	80.9	76.2	85.6
Point differential	-4.9	-1.6	-8.2
Avg total	156.9	150.8	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	20%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	0% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	15%	10%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	19	18	1	95%	88.6	67.7	+20.9
2	FC Porto	19	17	2	89%	80.4	66.1	+14.4
3	Benfica	20	16	4	80%	90.7	74.9	+15.8
4	Imortal	20	15	5	75%	84.5	76.2	+8.2
5	Oliveirense	20	14	6	70%	84.1	75.2	+8.9
6	Lusitania	19	12	7	63%	81.9	79.3	+2.6
7	CAB Madeira	20	8	12	40%	80.7	85.0	-4.3
8	Vitoria	20	8	12	40%	76.4	82.0	-5.5
9	Academica	21	8	13	38%	74.4	81.4	-7.0
10	Galitos	20	7	13	35%	75.2	83.0	-7.8
11	Esgueira	20	6	14	30%	76.0	80.9	-4.9
12	Ovarense	20	6	14	30%	76.8	83.7	-6.8
13	Maia	21	2	19	10%	71.0	86.4	-15.3
14	Barreirense	17	1	16	6%	72.2	91.0	-18.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	20	22	20	17	79
Esgueira	18	24	16	17	75

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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