Lusitania vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2022

Tip-off: 14:30

Final 84-88

13-25 18-17 23-22 30-24

Position#10

Record3-2

FormLWLWW

Points / game77.4

Allowed / game82.6

Lusitania

Esgueira 🏆

Position#7

Record2-4

FormLWLLL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game84.3

LPBRound 7

Other2022-23

Meetings · Lusitania v Esgueira

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Esgueira winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CD Povoa

#10

66-82

-16

A18/04

LPB

Imortal

86-68

+18

H23/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

81-104

104

-23

H30/04

LPB

Sporting CP

66-82

-16

A13/05

LPB

Sporting CP

78-90

-12

H15/05

LPB

Benfica

85-111

111

-26

A01/10

LPB

Imortal

62-57 OT

H05/10

LPB

Oliveirense

78-96

-18

A08/10

LPB

CD Povoa

73-67

H15/10

LPB

Vitoria

89-82

A22/10

LPB

10-18

18-17

14-19

24-28

19-19

25-11

26-12

16-26

22-24

19-22

13-27

27-31

18-14

19-29

18-22

11-17

13-23

27-29

22-16

16-22

23-34

22-26

20-20

20-31

19-16

9-19

13-11

10-5

18-31

16-24

22-21

22-20

17-29

16-13

17-9

23-16

29-30

16-16

20-22

24-14

160.3Avg total

76.4Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	77.4	82.6	160.0	-5.2	60%
Season at home (2)	67.5	62.0	129.5	+5.5	100%
Season away (3)	84.0	96.3	180.3	-12.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	83.9	160.3	-7.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	82.6	160.0	-5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	72.6	88.4	161.0	-15.9	17%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	78.4	74.3	152.8	+4.1	56%
vs Weaker (2)	97.5	84.0	181.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos Barreiro

84-72

+12

A03/04

Proliga

Galitos Barreiro

65-63

H15/04

Proliga

Galomar

62-60

A24/04

Proliga

Galomar

65-60 OT

H30/04

Proliga

Imortal

93-78

+15

H24/09

LPB

Oliveirense

71-80

-9

A01/10

LPB

CD Povoa

67-66

H05/10

LPB

Vitoria

95-96 OT

-1

A08/10

LPB

Ovarense

84-94

-10

A15/10

LPB

Sporting CP

78-92

-14

H22/10

LPB

18-12

22-25

20-15

24-20

22-9

13-23

19-21

11-10

12-18

17-6

16-13

17-23

12-14

19-19

8-6

18-18

24-25

24-18

25-20

20-15

19-17

15-21

15-27

22-15

22-20

13-21

15-14

17-11

28-11

21-25

18-26

22-27

21-18

18-23

18-33

27-20

29-22

21-26

12-27

16-17

152.5Avg total

76.4Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	81.3	84.3	165.7	-3.0	33%
Season at home (3)	79.3	78.7	158.0	+0.7	67%
Season away (3)	83.3	90.0	173.3	-6.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	76.1	152.5	+0.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	85.6	164.6	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	78.0	92.0	170.0	-14.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	82.0	82.8	164.8	-0.8	40%
vs Weaker (24)	78.7	65.1	143.8	+13.6	83%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaEsgueira

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	21.7	40.3	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	23.8	41.6	-6.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	23.8	42.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	28.0	49.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.0	22.7	39.7	-5.7	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	18.7	38.9	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	26.5	51.5	-1.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	16.0	37.7	+5.7	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	14.9	37.7	+7.8	87%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	16.6	37.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.6	41.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	22.0	51.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	22.8	18.2	41.0	+4.6	80%	-
vs Weaker (24)	21.2	15.2	36.4	+5.9	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	21.8	39.9	-3.6	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	20.9	38.8	-3.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	22.5	40.9	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.6	35.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.3	24.6	41.9	-7.3	6%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.3	17.2	36.6	+2.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.8	37.6	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	17.4	38.1	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.2	40.8	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	20%	-
vs Weaker (24)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	62%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CD Povoa

#10

28-35

-7

A18/04

LPB

Imortal

44-30

+14

H23/04

LPB

CAB Madeira

41-46

-5

H30/04

LPB

Sporting CP

37-43

-6

A13/05

LPB

Sporting CP

40-52

-12

H15/05

LPB

Benfica

45-60

-15

A01/10

LPB

Imortal

28-35

-7

H05/10

LPB

Oliveirense

34-55

-21

A08/10

LPB

CD Povoa

33-42

-9

H15/10

LPB

Vitoria

45-46

-1

A22/10

LPB

81.9Avg total

37.5Scored

44.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	43.5	80.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.3	40.3	77.6	-3.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.2	46.3	82.5	-10.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	44.4	81.9	-6.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	47.6	84.6	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	34.3	47.3	81.6	-13.1	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.6	35.9	75.4	+3.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.5	45.0	92.5	+2.5	50%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Galitos Barreiro

40-37

A03/04

Proliga

Galitos Barreiro

35-32

H15/04

Proliga

Galomar

29-24

A24/04

Proliga

Galomar

31-33

-2

H30/04

Proliga

Imortal

48-43

H24/09

LPB

Oliveirense

34-38

-4

A01/10

LPB

CD Povoa

35-41

-6

H05/10

LPB

Vitoria

49-36

+13

A08/10

LPB

Ovarense

39-41

-2

A15/10

LPB

Sporting CP

50-48

H22/10

LPB

76.3Avg total

39.0Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	33.8	75.2	+7.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.4	34.4	75.8	+7.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	33.2	74.7	+8.3	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	37.3	76.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.8	82.2	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	50.0	48.0	98.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	41.0	39.8	80.8	+1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (24)	41.2	32.0	73.1	+9.2	83%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.8	38.3	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	16.4	36.6	+3.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.9	36.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.6	35.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.5	20.1	38.6	-1.6	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.4	15.1	35.6	+5.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	25.5	49.5	-1.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	17.5	35.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.6	16.5	32.1	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	18.5	38.3	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	25.4	41.0	-9.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	27.0	39.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	18.2	24.0	42.2	-5.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (24)	17.8	15.8	33.6	+2.1	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	22.6	41.9	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.6	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.4	23.3	41.8	-4.9	0%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	13.5	39.5	+12.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	15.7	35.9	+4.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.9	37.9	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.0	38.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (24)	19.3	17.2	36.6	+2.1	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.8	78.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.6	35.8	75.4	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	43.4	81.8	-5.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	38.9	76.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	33.8	72.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	37.7	40.8	78.4	-3.1	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.9	38.4	77.3	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (2)	50.0	39.0	89.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	34.8	72.1	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.9	32.2	68.1	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	37.4	76.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.8	73.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	43.4	79.8	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	28.0	44.0	72.0	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	39.8	41.6	81.4	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (24)	37.2	33.0	70.2	+4.2	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Esgueira wins

Date	Game	Score
07/03/21	Lusitania v Esgueira	79-75
05/12/20	Esgueira v Lusitania	65-80
28/12/19	Esgueira v Lusitania	70-73
05/10/19	Lusitania v Esgueira	59-91
02/03/19	Esgueira v Lusitania	77-85
24/11/18	Lusitania v Esgueira	93-92

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/22	A	Vitoria	89-82
15/10/22	H	CD Povoa	73-67
08/10/22	A	Oliveirense	78-96
05/10/22	H	Imortal	62-57 OT
01/10/22	A	Benfica	85-111
15/05/22	H	Sporting CP	78-90
13/05/22	A	Sporting CP	66-82
30/04/22	H	CAB Madeira	81-104
23/04/22	H	Imortal	86-68
18/04/22	A	CD Povoa	66-82

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/10/22	H	Sporting CP	78-92
15/10/22	A	Ovarense	84-94
08/10/22	A	Vitoria	95-96 OT
05/10/22	H	CD Povoa	67-66
01/10/22	A	Oliveirense	71-80
24/09/22	H	Imortal	93-78
30/04/22	H	Galomar	65-60 OT
24/04/22	A	Galomar	62-60
15/04/22	H	Galitos Barreiro	65-63
03/04/22	A	Galitos Barreiro	84-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	60%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	60%	100%	33%
Points / game	77.4	67.5	84.0
Allowed / game	82.6	62.0	96.3
Point differential	-5.2	+5.5	-12.3
Avg total	160.0	129.5	180.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	20%	50%	0%

Esgueira

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	33%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	81.3	79.3	83.3
Allowed / game	84.3	78.7	90.0
Point differential	-3.0	+0.7	-6.7
Avg total	165.7	158.0	173.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	17%	0%	33%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	4	4	0	100%	97.5	73.2	+24.2
2	Sporting CP	5	5	0	100%	98.6	77.2	+21.4
3	FC Porto	6	6	0	100%	85.0	67.2	+17.8
4	Ovarense	7	5	2	71%	83.7	82.1	+1.6
5	Oliveirense	6	4	2	67%	81.7	81.7	+0.0
6	Lusitania	5	3	2	60%	77.4	82.6	-5.2
7	Imortal	5	2	3	40%	71.6	72.4	-0.8
8	Esgueira	6	2	4	33%	81.3	84.3	-3.0
9	Vitoria	7	2	5	29%	86.3	95.9	-9.6
10	CD Povoa	7	1	6	14%	73.6	81.6	-8.0
11	CAB Madeira	7	1	6	14%	72.6	80.9	-8.3
12	Sangalhos	5	0	5	0%	65.6	84.2	-18.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	13	18	23	30	84
Esgueira	25	17	22	24	88

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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