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Lusitania vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-73
31-17 30-16 6-20 18-20
Position#4
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#11
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca de Portugal
Other2023
Meetings · Lusitania v Esgueira
16 Dec 2023
LUSI89
ESGU83
14 Jan 2023
LUSI85
ESGU73
29 Oct 2022
LUSI84
ESGU88
07 Mar 2021
LUSI79
ESGU75
05 Oct 2019
LUSI59
ESGU91
24 Nov 2018
LUSI93
ESGU92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A05/11
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A19/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
64-93
64
93
-29
A26/11
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H30/11
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A04/12
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A08/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H17/12
LPB
Imortal
#9
L
66-84
66
84
-18
A22/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
H08/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
18-17
30-21
16-20
10-27
26-13
25-14
20-30
18-30
14-14
13-28
19-21
29-17
13-16
27-17
17-29
18-27
30-25
19-23
19-26
24-20
28-20
18-11
17-32
17-32
25-15
18-26
17-14
23-21
12-18
16-22
15-23
16-16
19-18
16-20
12-16
23-20
21-23
27-25
12-15
164.0Avg total
78.3Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.385.7164.0-7.430%
Last 5 (5)76.682.0158.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)75.290.0165.2-14.821%
vs Similar (8)79.877.4157.1+2.438%
vs Weaker (2)86.581.0167.5+5.5100%
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A19/11
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H26/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A30/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H04/12
LPB
Imortal
#9
L
55-74
55
74
-19
A08/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H17/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
52-63
52
63
-11
A22/12
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H28/12
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H04/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
42-89
42
89
-47
A07/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
18-22
13-21
32-22
29-22
18-12
12-9
15-18
18-19
18-23
24-32
22-21
21-23
20-23
18-14
24-27
21-23
10-17
10-17
14-17
24-27
12-14
23-16
18-16
21-19
9-13
6-17
16-14
29-22
19-24
19-18
21-13
20-24
18-25
14-25
18-13
11-26
12-22
9-14
10-27
151.2Avg total
71.6Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.679.6151.2-8.040%
Last 5 (5)65.877.8143.6-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.290.8162.0-19.50%
vs Similar (12)77.880.2157.9-2.450%
vs Weaker (14)77.465.6143.0+11.993%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -6.2-6.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
LusitaniaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A05/11
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A26/11
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H30/11
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A04/12
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A08/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H17/12
LPB
Imortal
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A22/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A04/01
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H08/01
LPB
82.4Avg total
40.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.143.680.7-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.939.677.5-1.738%-
Last 30 away (17)36.546.683.1-10.112%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.182.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.682.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.347.483.7-11.111%-
vs Similar (8)37.136.673.8+0.538%-
vs Weaker (2)47.036.583.5+10.5100%-
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#11
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/11
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/11
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/12
LPB
Imortal
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A08/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A22/12
LPB
Vitoria
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/12
LPB
Ovarense
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H04/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A07/01
LPB
80.3Avg total
37.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.677.9+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.438.179.5+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)39.237.176.3+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.580.3-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.043.278.2-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.546.083.5-8.525%-
vs Similar (12)39.840.480.2-0.642%-
vs Weaker (14)41.532.774.2+8.879%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Lusitania wins
2
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
29/10/22Lusitania v Esgueira84-88
07/03/21Lusitania v Esgueira79-75
05/12/20Esgueira v Lusitania65-80
28/12/19Esgueira v Lusitania70-73
05/10/19Lusitania v Esgueira59-91
02/03/19Esgueira v Lusitania77-85
24/11/18Lusitania v Esgueira93-92
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/23HVitoria90-86 OT
04/01/23ACD Povoa63-70
22/12/22AImortal66-84
17/12/22HBenfica77-87
08/12/22ASangalhos87-83
04/12/22ACAB Madeira86-101
30/11/22HSangalhos86-79
26/11/22AFC Porto64-93
19/11/22AOvarense81-84
05/11/22ASporting CP83-90
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ASporting CP42-89
04/01/23HOvarense70-87
28/12/22HVitoria88-77
22/12/22ACD Povoa52-63
17/12/22HOliveirense77-73
08/12/22AImortal55-74
04/12/22HFC Porto83-87
30/11/22ABenfica82-95
26/11/22HSangalhos74-61
19/11/22ACAB Madeira93-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Taca de Portugal 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Esgueira
Taca de Portugal 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP110100%108.056.0+52.0
2 Ovarense110100%111.069.0+42.0
3 Imortal110100%83.054.0+29.0
4 CAB Madeira110100%109.091.0+18.0
5 CD Povoa110100%77.062.0+15.0
6 Benfica110100%97.093.0+4.0
7 Illiabum110100%79.075.0+4.0
8 FC Porto1010%93.097.0-4.0
9 Oliveirense1010%75.079.0-4.0
10 Galitos Barreiro1010%62.077.0-15.0
11 Vitoria1010%91.0109.0-18.0
12 Sangalhos1010%54.083.0-29.0
13 Barreirense1010%69.0111.0-42.0
14 Braga1010%56.0108.0-52.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania313061885
Esgueira1716202073
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