Lusitania vs Terceira Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 98-83

38-23 17-16 20-21 23-23

Position#3

Record1-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game60.0

Lusitania 🏆

Terceira

Position#6

Record1-0

FormWWLWW

Points / game87.0

Allowed / game66.0

Taca de PortugalTaca de Portugal - Quarter-finals

Other2019

Meetings · Lusitania v Terceira

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Terceira winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

76-88

-12

H12/01

LPB

FC Porto

85-90

-5

A19/01

LPB

Oliveirense

57-77

-20

H27/01

LPB

Galitos

75-66

A02/02

LPB

Galitos

#11

73-60

+13

A03/02

Taca de Portugal

Illiabum

94-86 OT

H16/02

LPB

Esgueira

85-77

A02/03

LPB

Vitoria

#10

84-91

-7

H05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

92-86

A08/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

85-84 OT

H10/03

LPB

13-27

23-18

25-21

15-22

22-12

14-36

23-24

26-18

15-12

9-21

17-16

16-28

20-20

16-14

19-18

20-14

15-17

17-17

20-13

21-13

25-11

11-19

21-19

19-27

19-25

17-20

19-17

30-15

13-20

18-22

25-22

28-27

28-22

12-14

28-29

24-21

14-20

18-16

21-16

16-17

161.1Avg total

80.6Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	73.0	60.0	133.0	+13.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	73.0	60.0	133.0	+13.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	80.5	161.1	+0.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	84.8	172.8	+3.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	73.8	85.7	159.5	-11.9	9%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	86.1	80.4	166.5	+5.7	85%
vs Weaker (5)	81.2	80.4	161.6	+0.8	60%

This opponent (Terceira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Terceira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

73-85

-12

H12/01

LPB

Oliveirense

51-77

-26

A19/01

LPB

Galitos

79-87

-8

H26/01

LPB

Illiabum

84-86

-2

A02/02

LPB

Esgueira

86-80

H15/02

LPB

Esgueira

#14

87-66

+21

H17/02

Taca de Portugal

Vitoria

#10

82-67

+15

A01/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

78-89

-11

H05/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

100-89

100

+11

H08/03

LPB

Ovarense

84-75

H10/03

LPB

22-18

18-19

13-21

20-27

10-20

22-24

11-20

8-13

27-23

11-31

21-19

20-14

11-27

22-21

27-21

24-17

26-18

28-20

21-27

11-15

21-20

24-19

25-13

17-14

15-21

24-16

23-13

20-17

22-22

29-22

13-21

14-24

24-28

20-17

26-22

30-22

18-14

25-17

15-15

26-29

160.5Avg total

80.4Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	87.0	66.0	153.0	+21.0	100%
Season at home (1)	87.0	66.0	153.0	+21.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	80.4	80.1	160.5	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	77.2	163.4	+9.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	75.7	82.2	158.0	-6.5	38%
vs Similar ◀ (4)	87.2	84.8	172.0	+2.5	75%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	67.0	149.0	+15.0	100%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaTerceira

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.2	23.0	40.2	-5.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	46%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.6	41.1	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	23.9	42.5	-5.3	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	18.9	21.5	40.3	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	23.2	25.5	48.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	12.0	30.0	+6.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	20.3	37.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.1	19.2	36.3	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.8	21.1	38.9	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.5	19.7	35.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.2	33.4	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.9	22.7	39.6	-5.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.5	19.2	37.6	-0.7	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.2	18.6	34.8	-2.4	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	19.7	39.2	-0.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.6	42.9	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	18.2	42.6	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	20.0	20.5	40.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	0%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

36-45

-9

H12/01

LPB

FC Porto

36-48

-12

A19/01

LPB

Oliveirense

24-33

-9

H27/01

LPB

Galitos

36-34

A02/02

LPB

Galitos

#11

32-34

-2

A03/02

Taca de Portugal

Illiabum

36-30

H16/02

LPB

Esgueira

36-45

-9

A02/03

LPB

Vitoria

#10

31-42

-11

H05/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

40-36

A08/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

32-36

-4

H10/03

LPB

72.2Avg total

33.9Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	41.3	78.4	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.3	40.8	76.2	-5.5	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.4	41.7	80.1	-3.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.9	38.3	72.2	-4.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	37.8	72.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.1	45.7	79.8	-11.6	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	39.7	39.5	79.2	+0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	40%	-

This opponent (Terceira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TerceiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

40-37

H12/01

LPB

Oliveirense

32-44

-12

A19/01

LPB

Galitos

38-54

-16

H26/01

LPB

Illiabum

33-48

-15

A02/02

LPB

Esgueira

54-38

+16

H15/02

LPB

Esgueira

#14

45-39

H17/02

Taca de Portugal

Vitoria

#10

39-37

A01/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

51-44

H05/03

LPB

Imortal

#12

44-45

-1

H08/03

LPB

Ovarense

43-31

+12

H10/03

LPB

83.6Avg total

41.9Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	41.4	80.4	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	39.7	79.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.1	43.6	81.7	-5.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.7	83.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	39.2	83.6	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	38.1	41.1	79.2	-3.0	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	43.2	46.0	89.2	-2.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	33.0	72.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	17.7	37.6	+2.2	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	20.6	41.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.5	41.3	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.6	43.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.6	19.9	42.5	+2.7	69%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.8	19.4	36.2	-2.6	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	19.4	38.5	-0.2	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	19.5	40.5	+1.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.4	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.4	19.8	43.2	+3.6	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.2	41.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.4	44.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.5	20.7	41.3	-0.2	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.4	20.2	42.6	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.0	16.8	38.8	+5.2	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.5	38.7	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	21.0	17.5	38.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	39.0	80.9	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.2	37.1	76.2	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	44.0	40.4	84.4	+3.6	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	39.7	83.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.2	42.0	88.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.7	40.0	79.7	-0.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	45.0	40.2	85.2	+4.8	69%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.8	36.2	75.0	+2.6	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	39.9	78.1	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.4	40.4	78.8	-1.9	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.1	39.2	77.3	-1.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	38.4	76.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	38.0	79.8	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)	37.0	40.8	77.8	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (4)	44.0	38.8	82.8	+5.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	34.0	77.0	+9.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Terceira wins

Date	Game	Score
05/01/19	Lusitania v Terceira	77-85 OT
13/10/18	Terceira v Lusitania	74-77
28/04/18	Terceira v Lusitania	72-83
30/03/18	Lusitania v Terceira	67-83
10/03/18	Terceira v Lusitania	63-67
09/12/17	Lusitania v Terceira	75-80
12/02/12	Terceira v Lusitania	67-79
12/11/11	Lusitania v Terceira	90-87

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/19	H	Imortal	85-84 OT
08/03/19	A	CAB Madeira	92-86
05/03/19	H	Vitoria	84-91
02/03/19	A	Esgueira	85-77
16/02/19	H	Illiabum	94-86 OT
03/02/19	A	Galitos	73-60
02/02/19	A	Galitos	75-66
27/01/19	H	Oliveirense	57-77
19/01/19	A	FC Porto	85-90
12/01/19	H	Benfica	76-88

Terceiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/19	H	Ovarense	84-75
08/03/19	H	Imortal	100-89
05/03/19	H	CAB Madeira	78-89
01/03/19	A	Vitoria	82-67
17/02/19	H	Esgueira	87-66
15/02/19	H	Esgueira	86-80
02/02/19	A	Illiabum	84-86
26/01/19	H	Galitos	79-87
19/01/19	A	Oliveirense	51-77
12/01/19	H	FC Porto	73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

Taca de Portugal 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	73.0	-	73.0
Allowed / game	60.0	-	60.0
Point differential	+13.0	-	+13.0
Avg total	133.0	-	133.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Terceira

Taca de Portugal 2019

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	87.0	87.0	-
Allowed / game	66.0	66.0	-
Point differential	+21.0	+21.0	-
Avg total	153.0	153.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	1	1	0	100%	99.0	65.0	+34.0
2	Oliveirense	1	1	0	100%	73.0	45.0	+28.0
3	Terceira	1	1	0	100%	87.0	66.0	+21.0
4	Imortal	1	1	0	100%	97.0	80.0	+17.0
5	Barreirense	1	1	0	100%	84.0	70.0	+14.0
6	Lusitania	1	1	0	100%	73.0	60.0	+13.0
7	FC Porto	1	1	0	100%	88.0	81.0	+7.0
8	Ovarense	1	1	0	100%	76.0	71.0	+5.0
9	CAB Madeira	1	0	1	0%	71.0	76.0	-5.0
10	Vitoria	1	0	1	0%	81.0	88.0	-7.0
11	Galitos	1	0	1	0%	60.0	73.0	-13.0
12	Illiabum	1	0	1	0%	70.0	84.0	-14.0
13	NB Queluz	1	0	1	0%	80.0	97.0	-17.0
14	Esgueira	1	0	1	0%	66.0	87.0	-21.0
15	Povoa/Monteadriano	1	0	1	0%	45.0	73.0	-28.0
16	Sampaense	1	0	1	0%	65.0	99.0	-34.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	38	17	20	23	98
Terceira	23	16	21	23	83

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Terceira Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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