Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 76-88

13-27 23-18 25-21 15-22

Position#6

Record6-7

FormWWLLL

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game82.8

Lusitania

Benfica 🏆

Position#2

Record13-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.4

Allowed / game71.9

LPBRound 14

Other2018-19

Meetings · Lusitania v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

85-78

H27/10

LPB

Oliveirense

87-89

-2

A03/11

LPB

Galitos

76-65

+11

H10/11

LPB

Illiabum

78-85

-7

A17/11

LPB

Esgueira

93-92

H24/11

LPB

Vitoria

#10

100-96

100

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

82-79

H15/12

LPB

Imortal

#12

81-87

-6

A22/12

LPB

Ovarense

78-84

-6

A29/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

77-85 OT

-8

H05/01

LPB

21-24

19-14

20-16

25-24

12-28

34-17

17-11

24-33

20-25

19-17

20-11

17-12

25-16

14-26

22-20

17-23

24-29

22-26

29-20

18-17

15-24

28-23

20-22

37-27

19-24

19-21

28-14

16-20

26-19

16-27

11-25

28-16

19-18

10-23

30-22

19-21

19-18

13-9

15-22

22-20

167.7Avg total

83.7Scored

84.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.8	82.8	163.5	-2.0	46%
Season at home (6)	80.0	78.7	158.7	+1.3	67%
Season away (7)	81.4	86.3	167.7	-4.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	84.0	167.7	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	86.2	169.8	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	73.2	87.6	160.8	-14.3	11%
vs Similar (14)	80.7	78.9	159.6	+1.8	64%
vs Weaker (7)	84.1	78.9	163.0	+5.3	71%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

74-71

A27/10

LPB

FC Porto

93-88

H03/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

89-69

+20

A10/11

LPB

Oliveirense

83-75

H17/11

LPB

Imortal

#12

93-87

A24/11

LPB

Galitos

111-70

111

+41

H08/12

LPB

Ovarense

101-78

101

+23

H15/12

LPB

Illiabum

71-64

A22/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

101-64

101

+37

A29/12

LPB

Esgueira

112-66

112

+46

H05/01

LPB

14-16

20-23

18-15

22-17

20-25

25-22

19-17

29-24

25-15

17-19

19-16

28-19

24-18

27-16

20-24

12-17

21-25

18-30

34-14

20-18

18-13

35-10

32-28

26-19

32-21

22-22

26-20

21-15

22-17

16-8

15-10

18-29

32-13

26-13

20-20

23-18

27-20

20-14

31-11

34-21

166.0Avg total

92.8Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	91.4	71.9	163.3	+19.5	100%
Season at home (7)	95.9	73.0	168.9	+22.9	100%
Season away (6)	86.2	70.7	156.8	+15.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.8	73.2	166.0	+19.6	100%
Last 5 (5)	99.2	68.4	167.6	+30.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	79.0	105.5	184.5	-26.5	0%
vs Similar (9)	83.2	86.9	170.1	-3.7	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	91.4	72.8	164.3	+18.6	100%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	22.3	43.2	-1.5	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.2	25.0	42.2	-7.8	11%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.3	20.4	41.6	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.7	20.7	42.4	+1.0	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	18.3	41.8	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	16.8	43.0	+9.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	25.0	47.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.4	21.3	38.8	-3.9	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.7	17.9	40.7	+4.8	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.9	37.4	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.3	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.3	39.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.6	37.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	22%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.1	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	17.7	40.3	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	13.4	37.2	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	31.5	46.5	-16.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.6	21.3	41.9	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.6	17.4	39.0	+4.3	68%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

40-38

H27/10

LPB

Oliveirense

46-45

A03/11

LPB

Galitos

39-42

-3

H10/11

LPB

Illiabum

39-42

-3

A17/11

LPB

Esgueira

46-55

-9

H24/11

LPB

Vitoria

#10

43-47

-4

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

38-45

-7

H15/12

LPB

Imortal

#12

42-46

-4

A22/12

LPB

Ovarense

29-41

-12

A29/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

32-27

H05/01

LPB

82.2Avg total

39.4Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	40.8	79.4	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	38.9	39.8	78.7	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	38.4	41.4	79.8	-3.1	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	42.8	82.2	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	41.2	78.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.0	47.0	81.0	-13.0	22%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.1	37.4	77.5	+2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.6	39.4	81.0	+2.1	57%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

34-39

-5

A27/10

LPB

FC Porto

45-47

-2

H03/11

LPB

CAB Madeira

42-34

A10/11

LPB

Oliveirense

51-34

+17

H17/11

LPB

Imortal

#12

39-55

-16

A24/11

LPB

Galitos

53-23

+30

H08/12

LPB

Ovarense

54-43

+11

H15/12

LPB

Illiabum

38-25

+13

A22/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

58-26

+32

A29/12

LPB

Esgueira

47-34

+13

H05/01

LPB

82.1Avg total

46.1Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	38.9	80.9	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.8	39.1	82.9	+4.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.5	38.8	78.3	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	36.0	82.1	+10.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	30.2	80.2	+19.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.0	56.5	93.5	-19.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.0	42.7	80.7	-4.7	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	44.4	35.3	79.7	+9.1	79%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.7	40.0	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	18.3	19.4	37.8	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.1	20.7	40.9	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.4	21.4	40.9	-2.0	43%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	19.3	42.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	20.4	43.8	+3.1	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	17.5	40.9	+5.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	17.8	42.6	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	21.5	45.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	20.8	42.4	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.3	18.4	41.7	+4.9	74%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.5	40.6	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	22.1	20.4	42.6	+1.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.8	45.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	21.1	20.6	41.7	+0.6	56%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	15.7	37.7	+6.3	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.5	43.5	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	19.8	43.3	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	19.7	43.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	20.4	44.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	27.5	46.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.4	21.7	44.1	+0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.7	19.2	42.9	+4.6	84%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	40.2	80.6	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.8	37.6	75.3	+0.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.2	41.9	84.1	+0.2	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	39.6	83.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	41.8	87.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.2	40.6	79.8	-1.3	56%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.6	41.5	82.1	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	41.4	37.1	78.6	+4.3	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	39.8	85.6	+6.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	47.0	40.1	87.1	+6.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	44.3	39.3	83.6	+5.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	37.2	83.9	+9.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	38.2	87.4	+11.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	42.0	49.0	91.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.1	42.4	86.6	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	47.1	37.5	84.6	+9.5	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
20/10/18	Benfica v Lusitania	89-69
04/02/18	Benfica v Lusitania	97-100 OT
15/10/17	Lusitania v Benfica	89-95
18/02/17	Benfica v Lusitania	100-65
03/12/16	Lusitania v Benfica	82-91
30/04/16	Lusitania v Benfica	62-84
24/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	92-64
23/04/16	Benfica v Lusitania	96-61
30/01/16	Benfica v Lusitania	83-65
14/11/15	Lusitania v Benfica	67-69

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/19	H	Terceira	77-85 OT
29/12/18	A	Ovarense	78-84
22/12/18	A	Imortal	81-87
15/12/18	H	CAB Madeira	82-79
08/12/18	A	Vitoria	100-96
24/11/18	H	Esgueira	93-92
17/11/18	A	Illiabum	78-85
10/11/18	H	Galitos	76-65
03/11/18	A	Oliveirense	87-89
27/10/18	H	FC Porto	85-78

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/01/19	H	Esgueira	112-66
29/12/18	A	Terceira	101-64
22/12/18	A	Illiabum	71-64
15/12/18	H	Ovarense	101-78
08/12/18	H	Galitos	111-70
24/11/18	A	Imortal	93-87
17/11/18	H	Oliveirense	83-75
10/11/18	A	CAB Madeira	89-69
03/11/18	H	FC Porto	93-88
27/10/18	A	Vitoria	74-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	46%
Home	WWWWL	67%
Away	LLWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	46%	67%	29%
Points / game	80.8	80.0	81.4
Allowed / game	82.8	78.7	86.3
Point differential	-2.0	+1.3	-4.9
Avg total	163.5	158.7	167.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.4	95.9	86.2
Allowed / game	71.9	73.0	70.7
Point differential	+19.5	+22.9	+15.5
Avg total	163.3	168.9	156.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	71%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	13	13	0	100%	91.4	71.9	+19.5
2	Oliveirense	13	12	1	92%	87.8	74.5	+13.3
3	FC Porto	14	10	4	71%	88.9	80.1	+8.8
4	Ovarense	13	8	5	62%	80.6	77.6	+3.0
5	Esgueira	14	7	7	50%	81.7	86.1	-4.4
6	Lusitania	13	6	7	46%	80.8	82.8	-2.0
7	Vitoria	14	6	8	43%	82.8	84.1	-1.4
8	Terceira	14	6	8	43%	77.9	83.7	-5.8
9	Galitos	13	4	9	31%	78.2	84.2	-5.9
10	CAB Madeira	13	3	10	23%	75.8	82.7	-6.8
11	Illiabum	14	3	11	21%	76.2	81.9	-5.6
12	Imortal	14	3	11	21%	76.6	87.7	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	13	23	25	15	76
Benfica	27	18	21	22	88

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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