Lusitania vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Feb 2019

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 94-86 (OT)

25-11 11-19 21-19 19-27 18-10

Position#6

Record7-10

FormLLLWW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game82.2

Lusitania 🏆

Illiabum

Position#8

Record6-11

FormLWLWW

Points / game78.3

Allowed / game81.8

LPBRound 18

Other2018-19

Meetings · Lusitania v Illiabum

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Illiabum winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

100-96

100

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

82-79

H15/12

LPB

Imortal

#12

81-87

-6

A22/12

LPB

Ovarense

78-84

-6

A29/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

77-85 OT

-8

H05/01

LPB

Benfica

76-88

-12

H12/01

LPB

FC Porto

85-90

-5

A19/01

LPB

Oliveirense

57-77

-20

H27/01

LPB

Galitos

75-66

A02/02

LPB

Galitos

#11

73-60

+13

A03/02

Taca de Portugal

15-24

28-23

20-22

37-27

19-24

19-21

28-14

16-20

26-19

16-27

11-25

28-16

19-18

10-23

30-22

19-21

19-18

13-9

15-22

22-20

13-27

23-18

25-21

15-22

22-12

14-36

23-24

26-18

15-12

9-21

17-16

16-28

20-20

16-14

19-18

20-14

15-17

17-17

20-13

21-13

159.6Avg total

78.4Scored

81.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	79.0	82.2	161.2	-3.2	41%
Season at home (8)	76.6	79.6	156.2	-3.0	50%
Season away (9)	81.1	84.4	165.6	-3.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	81.2	159.6	-2.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	76.2	149.4	-3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	73.8	85.7	159.5	-11.9	9%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	82.7	79.1	161.8	+3.6	75%
vs Weaker (6)	81.8	78.3	160.2	+3.5	67%

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illiabum

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

75-85

-10

H08/12

LPB

Galitos

70-83

-13

A15/12

LPB

Benfica

64-71

-7

H22/12

LPB

Esgueira

64-79

-15

A29/12

LPB

Vitoria

#10

88-69

+19

H06/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

69-72

-3

A12/01

LPB

Imortal

#12

86-76

+10

H19/01

LPB

Barreirense

70-84

-14

A20/01

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

92-85

A27/01

LPB

Terceira

#11

86-84

H02/02

LPB

20-25

17-16

16-23

22-21

7-21

21-32

23-16

19-14

17-22

8-16

10-15

29-18

15-23

17-15

16-20

16-21

29-16

17-17

18-15

24-21

14-18

23-18

18-15

14-21

29-16

21-20

13-22

23-18

21-14

14-21

13-20

22-29

24-24

14-13

21-27

33-21

27-11

21-22

21-27

17-24

155.2Avg total

76.4Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	78.3	81.8	160.1	-3.5	35%
Season at home (9)	80.3	79.0	159.3	+1.3	56%
Season away (8)	76.0	85.0	161.0	-9.0	12%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	78.8	155.2	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	80.2	160.8	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	74.9	91.0	165.9	-16.1	12%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.1	81.2	161.3	-1.1	40%
vs Weaker (2)	82.0	83.0	165.0	-1.0	50%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaIlliabum

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.4	40.6	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.6	34.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.2	23.0	40.2	-5.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.8	20.2	42.1	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	20.2	42.5	+2.2	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	22.9	42.5	-3.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	22.1	43.2	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	23.5	41.9	-5.1	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.0	39.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.6	39.6	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	19.4	25.2	44.6	-5.9	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	16.5	40.5	+7.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	17.7	35.5	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.9	37.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	21.2	37.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.9	22.7	39.6	-5.8	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	21.3	38.6	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	19.9	37.4	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	22.5	39.6	-5.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	15.4	21.8	37.2	-6.4	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	21.0	40.0	-2.0	0%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

#10

43-47

-4

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

38-45

-7

H15/12

LPB

Imortal

#12

42-46

-4

A22/12

LPB

Ovarense

29-41

-12

A29/12

LPB

Terceira

#11

32-27

H05/01

LPB

Benfica

36-45

-9

H12/01

LPB

FC Porto

36-48

-12

A19/01

LPB

Oliveirense

24-33

-9

H27/01

LPB

Galitos

36-34

A02/02

LPB

Galitos

#11

32-34

-2

A03/02

Taca de Portugal

74.8Avg total

34.8Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	40.7	79.0	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	39.6	77.3	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	41.6	80.6	-2.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	40.0	74.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	38.8	71.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	34.1	45.7	79.8	-11.6	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.2	37.8	78.9	+3.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.7	38.3	80.0	+3.3	67%	-

This opponent (Illiabum) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IlliabumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

37-41

-4

H08/12

LPB

Galitos

28-53

-25

A15/12

LPB

Benfica

25-38

-13

H22/12

LPB

Esgueira

32-38

-6

A29/12

LPB

Vitoria

#10

46-33

+13

H06/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

37-36

A12/01

LPB

Imortal

#12

50-36

+14

H19/01

LPB

Barreirense

35-35

A20/01

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

38-37

A27/01

LPB

Terceira

#11

48-33

+15

H02/02

LPB

75.6Avg total

37.6Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	44.2	81.1	-7.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.5	42.1	80.6	-3.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.6	46.0	81.6	-10.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	38.0	75.6	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	35.4	77.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	34.8	47.1	81.9	-12.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.0	41.6	80.6	-2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	37.5	80.5	+5.5	50%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.9	39.5	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	20.5	40.8	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.7	40.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.1	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	20.8	41.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.7	20.7	38.3	-3.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	20.4	39.5	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.0	36.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	18.9	21.4	40.4	-2.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	19.9	41.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.5	20.7	41.3	-0.2	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	20.6	41.3	+0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.2	16.7	37.8	+4.5	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	22.5	43.8	-1.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	21.4	41.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.6	56%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	39.5	79.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.6	38.4	76.0	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.7	40.5	83.2	+2.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	39.6	82.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.4	77.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.7	40.0	79.7	-0.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.5	41.3	82.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.8	37.3	76.2	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.3	82.3	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	42.3	82.7	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	42.4	81.9	-2.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	40.8	79.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	44.8	83.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)	39.4	43.6	83.0	-4.1	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	41.1	39.6	80.7	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.0	45.5	84.5	-6.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Illiabum wins

Date	Game	Score
17/11/18	Illiabum v Lusitania	85-78
13/01/18	Lusitania v Illiabum	92-97
21/10/17	Illiabum v Lusitania	95-98
28/01/17	Lusitania v Illiabum	78-82
12/11/16	Illiabum v Lusitania	79-54
07/03/15	Lusitania v Illiabum	72-62
06/12/14	Illiabum v Lusitania	62-75
26/03/11	Lusitania v Illiabum	96-91
18/12/10	Illiabum v Lusitania	73-78

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/02/19	A	Galitos	73-60
02/02/19	A	Galitos	75-66
27/01/19	H	Oliveirense	57-77
19/01/19	A	FC Porto	85-90
12/01/19	H	Benfica	76-88
05/01/19	H	Terceira	77-85 OT
29/12/18	A	Ovarense	78-84
22/12/18	A	Imortal	81-87
15/12/18	H	CAB Madeira	82-79
08/12/18	A	Vitoria	100-96

Illiabumlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/02/19	H	Terceira	86-84
27/01/19	A	Ovarense	92-85
20/01/19	A	Barreirense	70-84
19/01/19	H	Imortal	86-76
12/01/19	A	CAB Madeira	69-72
06/01/19	H	Vitoria	88-69
29/12/18	A	Esgueira	64-79
22/12/18	H	Benfica	64-71
15/12/18	A	Galitos	70-83
08/12/18	H	Oliveirense	75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	41%
Home	WWLLL	50%
Away	WLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	41%	50%	33%
Points / game	79.0	76.6	81.1
Allowed / game	82.2	79.6	84.4
Point differential	-3.2	-3.0	-3.3
Avg total	161.2	156.2	165.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	12%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Illiabum

LPB 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	35%
Home	LLWWW	56%
Away	LLLLW	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	35%	56%	12%
Points / game	78.3	80.3	76.0
Allowed / game	81.8	79.0	85.0
Point differential	-3.5	+1.3	-9.0
Avg total	160.1	159.3	161.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	67% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	17	16	1	94%	90.7	75.2	+15.5
2	Oliveirense	17	16	1	94%	86.4	71.8	+14.6
3	FC Porto	17	12	5	71%	88.9	81.1	+7.8
4	Ovarense	18	11	7	61%	80.1	77.6	+2.5
5	Esgueira	18	8	10	44%	80.1	84.0	-3.9
6	Vitoria	17	7	10	41%	81.5	83.7	-2.2
7	Lusitania	17	7	10	41%	79.0	82.2	-3.2
8	Terceira	18	7	11	39%	77.3	83.4	-6.2
9	Illiabum	17	6	11	35%	78.3	81.8	-3.5
10	CAB Madeira	16	5	11	31%	77.1	81.5	-4.4
11	Galitos	16	5	11	31%	77.8	83.4	-5.7
12	Imortal	18	3	15	17%	75.3	86.1	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Lusitania	25	11	21	19	18	94
Illiabum	11	19	19	27	10	86

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Illiabum Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature