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Maine Black Bears vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-49
38-26 46-23
Position#258
Record9-13
FormLWWWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#153
Record15-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Maine Black Bears v UMBC Retrievers
09 Jan 2027
MAIN v UMBC
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
MAIN62
UMBC78
08 Feb 2025
MAIN73
UMBC50
22 Feb 2024
MAIN62
UMBC56
04 Feb 2023
MAIN84
UMBC49
22 Jan 2022
MAIN46
UMBC88
29 Feb 2020
MAIN74
UMBC48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maine Black Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#207
L
73-74 OT
73
74
-1
H29/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A05/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
83-91 OT
83
91
-8
H08/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
L
58-71
58
71
-13
H12/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#153
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
45-66
45
66
-21
A20/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
78-57
78
57
+21
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H26/01
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A29/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
34-34
29-38
41-34
41-41
36-36
30-38
28-33
45-34
32-51
20-36
25-30
36-25
42-32
37-33
38-37
29-34
43-34
29-30
24-41
140.9Avg total
68.4Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)69.570.0139.5-0.641%
Season at home (8)81.668.1149.8+13.562%
Season away (14)62.571.1133.6-8.629%
Last 10 (10)68.472.5140.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)64.666.4131.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.476.1140.4-11.714%
vs Similar ◀ (11)66.066.2132.2-0.245%
vs Weaker (4)84.568.5153.0+16.075%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#68
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H01/01
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H06/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A08/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
87-62
87
62
+25
H16/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A18/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H21/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-36
30-38
40-32
52-51
35-30
46-43
34-45
51-32
46-23
41-39
42-40
33-41
50-38
30-31
26-38
39-31
23-34
45-40
43-28
26-27
148.0Avg total
76.3Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.572.6149.1+3.962%
Season at home (13)80.171.2151.2+8.985%
Season away (11)72.374.4146.6-2.136%
Last 10 (10)76.371.7148.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)71.469.6141.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.079.2145.2-13.212%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.073.1155.1+8.989%
vs Weaker (12)79.870.4150.2+9.383%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +2.0+2.0
Maine Black BearsUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Harvard
#207
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H29/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A05/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H12/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#153
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A14/01
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A20/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A02/02
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.934.367.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.933.671.5+4.358%-
Last 30 away (18)29.634.864.4-5.228%-
Last 10 (10)32.934.267.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)30.231.661.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.636.566.1-6.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.032.665.6+0.445%-
vs Weaker (4)40.831.872.5+9.050%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#68
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H01/01
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#145
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H14/01
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H16/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#31
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A18/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#211
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H21/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Vermont
#68
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A28/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#268
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H02/02
NCAA
71.4Avg total
37.0Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.633.871.4+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.432.372.7+8.165%-
Last 30 away (13)33.935.769.6-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)37.034.471.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.672.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.035.865.8-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.234.975.1+5.367%-
vs Weaker (12)40.532.472.9+8.150%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maine Black Bears wins
4
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23ABryant University53-71
29/01/23AAlbany72-68
26/01/23HUMass Lowell75-70
22/01/23HBinghamton78-57
20/01/23AVermont45-66
14/01/23AUMBC Retrievers77-85
12/01/23HNew Hampshire58-71
08/01/23HNJIT83-91 OT
05/01/23AUMass Lowell70-72
29/12/22HHarvard73-74 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23HBinghamton69-55
28/01/23AVermont68-74
26/01/23ANJIT65-69
21/01/23HNew Hampshire80-69
18/01/23AUMass Lowell75-81
16/01/23HHartford87-62
14/01/23HMaine Black Bears85-77
08/01/23ABryant University81-73
06/01/23HAlbany92-83
01/01/23HVermont61-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL41%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22814
Win %41%62%29%
Points / game69.581.662.5
Allowed / game70.068.171.1
Point differential-0.6+13.5-8.6
Avg total139.5149.8133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %9%25%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %62%85%36%
Points / game76.580.172.3
Allowed / game72.671.274.4
Point differential+3.9+8.9-2.1
Avg total149.1151.2146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%54%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell2519676%77.965.8+12.0
2 Bryant University2315865%81.873.4+8.3
3 UMBC Retrievers2415962%76.572.6+3.9
4 Vermont22121055%69.567.4+2.1
5 New Hampshire22111150%67.466.0+1.4
6 Maine Black Bears2291341%69.570.0-0.6
7 Binghamton2291341%68.371.4-3.0
8 NJIT2261627%66.972.2-5.3
9 Albany2461825%66.474.3-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maine Black Bears384684
UMBC Retrievers262349
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