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Maine Black Bears vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 62-78
24-37 38-41
Position#355
Record6-19
FormWWLWL
Points / game62.8
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#43
Record14-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Maine Black Bears v UMBC Retrievers
09 Jan 2027
MAIN v UMBC
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
MAIN62
UMBC78
08 Feb 2025
MAIN73
UMBC50
22 Feb 2024
MAIN62
UMBC56
04 Feb 2023
MAIN84
UMBC49
22 Jan 2022
MAIN46
UMBC88
29 Feb 2020
MAIN74
UMBC48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maine Black Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#344
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H03/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A08/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A10/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A16/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H19/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H24/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H05/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
17-26
34-30
20-32
42-37
37-29
37-41
30-32
32-35
21-34
27-31
24-33
28-16
37-36
42-27
31-43
46-48
38-24
38-46
27-32
40-41
132.1Avg total
64.8Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)62.869.1131.8-6.324%
Season at home (10)63.063.1126.1-0.140%
Season away (15)62.673.1135.7-10.513%
Last 10 (10)64.867.3132.1-2.540%
Last 5 (5)70.269.2139.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)61.470.1131.5-8.818%
vs Similar (12)62.866.8129.6-4.142%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#354
W
93-59
93
59
+34
A29/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H08/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A19/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H24/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
77-65 OT
77
65
+12
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
53-25
32-20
37-42
30-39
45-35
26-33
41-34
38-26
40-34
47-28
40-46
46-35
33-21
29-29
26-35
27-28
41-37
39-26
40-36
142.1Avg total
76.6Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.069.5144.5+5.564%
Season at home (11)76.964.2141.1+12.782%
Season away (11)73.174.7147.8-1.645%
Last 10 (10)76.665.5142.1+11.180%
Last 5 (5)75.464.2139.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.388.0165.3-10.70%
vs Similar (6)65.881.7147.5-15.817%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)77.569.2146.7+8.370%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +5.1+5.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +5.1+5.1
Maine Black BearsUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#344
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H03/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
20-32
20
32
-12
A08/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H19/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A31/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H05/02
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A07/02
NCAA
60.3Avg total
28.2Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.133.162.2-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.231.962.1-1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)28.434.062.4-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)28.232.160.3-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.433.665.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)28.233.962.2-5.718%-
vs Similar (12)28.332.060.3-3.742%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#354
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A29/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H08/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H10/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#344
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A19/01
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H22/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H24/01
NCAA
Vermont
#85
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A30/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
35.4Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.569.4+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.932.370.1+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)32.136.768.7-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)35.429.865.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.629.266.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.045.083.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (6)28.238.366.5-10.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)36.432.268.6+4.155%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ABryant University67-73
05/02/26HVermont76-70
31/01/26AUMass Lowell77-91
24/01/26HBinghamton79-63
22/01/26HAlbany Great Danes52-49
19/01/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats48-65
16/01/26AVermont62-67
10/01/26ANJIT74-70
08/01/26AUMBC Retrievers62-69
03/01/26HBryant University51-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26HBinghamton79-62
01/02/26AAlbany Great Danes77-65 OT
30/01/26AVermont55-64
24/01/26HUMass Lowell79-56
22/01/26HNJIT87-74
19/01/26ABinghamton78-60
15/01/26ABryant University74-79 OT
10/01/26HNew Hampshire Wildcats75-74
08/01/26HMaine Black Bears69-62
29/12/25ACoppin State93-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL24%
HomeLLWWW40%
AwayLWLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %24%40%13%
Points / game62.863.062.6
Allowed / game69.163.173.1
Point differential-6.3-0.1-10.5
Avg total131.8126.1135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%82%45%
Points / game75.076.973.1
Allowed / game69.564.274.7
Point differential+5.5+12.7-1.6
Avg total144.5141.1147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%55%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %14%9%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers2214864%75.069.5+5.5
2 Vermont25151060%74.770.3+4.4
3 NJIT25131252%69.074.3-5.3
4 UMass Lowell25101540%74.977.6-2.8
5 Bryant University2481633%64.370.9-6.6
6 Maine Black Bears2561924%62.869.1-6.3
7 Binghamton2552020%66.875.3-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maine Black Bears243862
UMBC Retrievers374178
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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