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UMBC Retrievers vs Vermont Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 61-74
31-36 30-38
Position#153
Record9-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Vermont 🏆
USA
Position#68
Record6-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Vermont
21 Jan 2027
UMBC v VERM
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
UMBC74
VERM59
19 Feb 2026
UMBC75
VERM62
01 Mar 2025
UMBC69
VERM79
10 Feb 2024
UMBC70
VERM72
01 Jan 2023
UMBC61
VERM74
15 Jan 2022
UMBC69
VERM86
19 Feb 2021
UMBC66
VERM55
18 Feb 2021
UMBC71
VERM80
11 Jan 2020
UMBC50
VERM74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A23/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
109-82
109
82
+27
H01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A03/12
NCAA
Columbia
#351
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A07/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#223
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H10/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A14/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-35
44-41
32-35
40-41
42-42
28-37
65-36
44-46
48-21
40-41
36-36
37-30
36-20
39-43
36-36
36-33
43-31
35-31
30-33
34-47
149.4Avg total
77.9Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.673.3149.9+3.464%
Season at home (7)81.072.1153.1+8.986%
Season away (7)72.374.4146.7-2.143%
Last 10 (10)77.971.5149.4+6.470%
Last 5 (5)72.468.0140.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)60.483.6144.0-23.20%
vs Similar (13)79.073.9152.9+5.177%
vs Weaker (11)78.567.6146.2+10.991%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#25
L
50-71
50
71
-21
H19/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
L
44-73
44
73
-29
A23/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A25/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A26/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A27/11
NCAA
NVU-Lyndon
#561
W
101-63
101
63
+38
H02/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
66-43
66
43
+23
A04/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A10/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-37
22-34
30-27
14-46
36-32
42-41
33-23
33-45
27-41
31-37
54-37
47-26
37-15
29-28
41-21
27-31
37-30
36-42
28-42
44-42
135.3Avg total
67.6Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)67.969.6137.5-1.643%
Season at home (4)75.870.8146.5+5.050%
Season away (10)64.869.1133.9-4.340%
Last 10 (10)67.667.7135.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)76.062.8138.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.074.3123.3-25.30%
vs Similar (7)69.975.4145.3-5.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)77.758.5136.2+19.290%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -4.7-4.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: +4.6+4.62nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: -4.7-4.7
UMBC RetrieversVermont
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#326
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
W
48-21
48
21
+27
A03/12
NCAA
Columbia
#351
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A07/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#223
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H10/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A14/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#280
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H18/12
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A30/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
40.2Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.171.6+3.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.932.972.8+7.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.135.370.4-0.333%-
Last 10 (10)40.232.572.7+7.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.231.267.4+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)27.238.465.6-11.20%-
vs Similar (13)39.534.574.0+4.969%-
vs Weaker (11)39.632.572.2+7.136%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iona
#25
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H19/11
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A23/11
NCAA
Ball State
#103
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A25/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A26/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A27/11
NCAA
NVU-Lyndon
#561
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H02/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
W
37-15
37
15
+22
A04/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#293
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#40
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A10/12
NCAA
Toledo
#18
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H20/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
35.1Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.328.564.9+7.877%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.229.168.2+10.185%-
Last 30 away (17)34.228.162.3+6.171%-
Last 10 (10)35.130.565.6+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.429.068.4+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.333.060.3-5.733%-
vs Similar (7)32.032.464.4-0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.226.565.7+12.790%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
6
Vermont wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22AMaryland64-80
18/12/22HWilliam & Mary78-62
14/12/22ALoyola Maryland72-69
10/12/22HMorgan State75-63
07/12/22AColumbia73-66
03/12/22ALehigh88-62
01/12/22HCoppin State109-82
26/11/22AGeorgetown70-79
23/11/22ANC Greensboro72-76
20/11/22HCentral Connecticut State78-76
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22HToledo72-84
10/12/22AColgate73-72
07/12/22ADartmouth68-52
04/12/22AMerrimack Warriors66-43
02/12/22HNVU-Lyndon101-63
27/11/22ALong Beach State58-78
26/11/22ANC Wilmington66-68
25/11/22ABall State78-73
23/11/22AYale44-73
19/11/22HIona50-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game76.681.072.3
Allowed / game73.372.174.4
Point differential+3.4+8.9-2.1
Avg total149.9153.1146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%57%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vermont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL43%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game67.975.864.8
Allowed / game69.670.869.1
Point differential-1.6+5.0-4.3
Avg total137.5146.5133.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell1513287%79.863.1+16.7
2 Bryant University1410471%85.573.4+12.1
3 UMBC Retrievers149564%76.673.3+3.4
4 New Hampshire136746%67.164.0+3.1
5 Maine Black Bears136746%70.568.5+2.1
6 Vermont146843%67.969.6-1.6
7 Albany1651131%65.673.8-8.2
8 Binghamton1441029%70.174.0-3.9
9 NJIT1431121%63.968.9-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers313061
Vermont363874
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