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Maine Black Bears vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-50
27-17 46-33
Position#135
Record15-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game65.9
vs
Position#280
Record11-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game77.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Maine Black Bears v UMBC Retrievers
09 Jan 2027
MAIN v UMBC
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
MAIN62
UMBC78
08 Feb 2025
MAIN73
UMBC50
22 Feb 2024
MAIN62
UMBC56
04 Feb 2023
MAIN84
UMBC49
22 Jan 2022
MAIN46
UMBC88
29 Feb 2020
MAIN74
UMBC48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maine Black Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H29/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A04/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H09/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H11/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A16/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
87-62
87
62
+25
A18/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
86-85 OT
86
85
+1
A23/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H30/01
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A01/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
27-19
29-40
25-38
30-43
32-40
50-31
43-31
44-35
23-26
34-18
45-27
42-35
38-48
37-27
37-14
34-32
23-28
26-27
41-35
37-39
135.1Avg total
70.8Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.265.9138.2+6.362%
Season at home (9)80.458.3138.8+22.189%
Season away (15)67.370.5137.8-3.147%
Last 10 (10)70.864.3135.1+6.570%
Last 5 (5)74.264.4138.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.781.7145.3-18.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)67.265.6132.8+1.660%
vs Weaker (15)71.866.2138.0+5.667%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#102
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
A29/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A04/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
87-64
87
64
+23
A10/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H16/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
62-87
62
87
-25
H18/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A25/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
86-92
86
92
-6
H31/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H01/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-40
38-39
43-44
39-43
30-37
57-27
38-46
38-33
27-45
35-42
28-43
51-36
44-28
36-35
40-47
46-45
36-46
31-37
45-39
33-40
162.0Avg total
80.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.677.5159.1+4.146%
Season at home (13)83.773.8157.5+9.846%
Season away (11)79.181.8160.9-2.745%
Last 10 (10)80.681.4162.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)80.680.8161.4-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.093.0167.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.477.0154.4+0.444%
vs Weaker (7)90.766.7157.4+24.071%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: -4.3-4.32nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +2.7+2.7
Maine Black BearsUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#211
W
27-19
27
19
+8
H29/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A04/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H11/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A16/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#280
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A18/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A23/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
37-14
37
14
+23
H30/01
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A01/02
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H06/02
NCAA
64.0Avg total
33.4Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.931.364.2+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.226.761.8+8.575%-
Last 30 away (18)31.434.365.7-2.928%-
Last 10 (10)33.430.664.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.467.2+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.341.376.7-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)29.831.060.8-1.230%-
vs Weaker (15)32.230.362.5+1.953%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#102
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A04/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/01
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H31/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H01/02
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A07/02
NCAA
78.7Avg total
37.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.773.7+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.236.276.4+4.053%-
Last 30 away (15)35.735.270.9+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)37.241.578.7-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.679.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.842.075.8-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)36.235.972.1+0.250%-
vs Weaker (7)42.633.075.6+9.671%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HNJIT78-74
01/02/25AVermont49-55
30/01/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats71-46
23/01/25AUMass Lowell86-85 OT
18/01/25AUMBC Retrievers87-62
16/01/25ANJIT57-44
11/01/25HAlbany Great Danes87-66
09/01/25HBinghamton82-71
04/01/25ABryant University55-81
29/12/24HBoston University56-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25ANew Hampshire Wildcats78-79
01/02/25HUMass Lowell67-83
31/01/25HBryant University86-92
25/01/25AVermont80-63
23/01/25AAlbany Great Danes92-87 OT
18/01/25HMaine Black Bears62-87
16/01/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats76-79
10/01/25ANJIT87-64
04/01/25ABinghamton82-87
29/12/24AAmerican University96-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24915
Win %62%89%47%
Points / game72.280.467.3
Allowed / game65.958.370.5
Point differential+6.3+22.1-3.1
Avg total138.2138.8137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%78%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (2)62% (8)
Overtime %4%0%7%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeWLLLL46%
AwayLWWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %46%46%45%
Points / game81.683.779.1
Allowed / game77.573.881.8
Point differential+4.1+9.8-2.7
Avg total159.1157.5160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%46%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %12%0%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell2415962%80.273.4+6.8
2 Maine Black Bears2415962%72.265.9+6.3
3 Bryant University24141058%83.175.8+7.3
4 Vermont23121152%65.664.9+0.7
5 Binghamton24121250%69.571.0-1.5
6 UMBC Retrievers24111346%81.677.5+4.1
7 NJIT2552020%64.071.3-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Maine Black Bears274673
UMBC Retrievers173350
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