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Maitland M. vs Canberra Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 86-72
26-12 14-23 23-15 23-22
Position#12
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game76.2
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Maitland M. v Canberra
10 May 2025
MAIT86
CANB72
13 Apr 2024
MAIT90
CANB69
30 Apr 2022
MAIT83
CANB88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#4
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H03/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A10/08
NBL1 East
Knox
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
H16/08
NBL 1
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
98-102
98
102
-4
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
104-62
104
62
+42
H05/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H12/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
106-95
106
95
+11
H25/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A27/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A03/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
16-16
22-16
27-27
18-15
22-13
28-20
18-19
20-29
28-26
28-22
13-22
23-26
17-31
31-25
27-20
25-25
22-16
19-25
22-30
32-22
30-12
27-14
15-14
29-26
19-17
18-24
22-17
25-33
18-17
37-17
26-28
19-16
26-8
18-14
14-24
8-21
13-27
22-12
18-24
172.1Avg total
89.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.380.5167.8+6.867%
Season at home (3)99.380.3179.7+19.0100%
Season away (3)75.380.7156.0-5.333%
Last 10 (10)89.183.0172.1+6.160%
Last 5 (5)87.277.4164.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)88.597.5186.0-9.00%
vs Similar (4)81.083.0164.0-2.050%
vs Weaker (24)99.282.2181.4+17.088%
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A14/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H20/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H03/08
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H10/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A29/03
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H05/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H25/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
108-72
108
72
+36
H27/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
118-77
118
77
+41
H03/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-16
25-21
17-24
19-13
28-19
23-24
25-22
19-9
16-21
26-9
14-20
17-5
15-18
13-22
20-28
19-18
18-23
27-20
28-18
23-14
26-23
25-20
19-18
19-22
21-17
20-13
14-20
26-13
33-23
24-25
15-10
19-29
33-19
29-19
18-12
28-22
24-27
37-22
33-12
24-16
165.5Avg total
90.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)97.276.2173.3+21.0100%
Season at home (4)101.579.8181.2+21.8100%
Season away (2)88.569.0157.5+19.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.974.6165.5+16.390%
Last 5 (5)97.476.4173.8+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.785.3158.0-12.733%
vs Similar (5)86.084.8170.8+1.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)91.171.5162.6+19.695%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +5.2+5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +5.2+5.2
Maitland M.Canberra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BA CoE
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H03/08
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A10/08
NBL1 East
Knox
#1
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H16/08
NBL 1
Mandurah Magic
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
H17/08
NBL 1
Illawarra Hawks 2
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A29/03
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
62-34
62
34
+28
H05/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H12/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H25/04
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#5
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A27/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#9
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A03/05
NBL1 East
85.5Avg total
43.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.242.389.4+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.642.390.9+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)45.642.287.8+3.471%-
Last 10 (10)43.941.685.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.883.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)47.548.095.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (4)38.543.081.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (24)48.641.790.2+6.979%-
This opponent (Canberra) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CanberraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hornsby S.
#14
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A14/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H20/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/08
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H10/08
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A29/03
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H05/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A12/04
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H25/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H27/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H03/05
NBL1 East
89.4Avg total
49.3Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.438.685.1+7.873%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.640.589.1+8.178%-
Last 30 away (12)43.235.879.0+7.367%-
Last 10 (10)49.340.189.4+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)54.441.696.0+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.340.781.0-0.333%-
vs Similar (5)45.246.892.0-1.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)47.536.584.0+11.091%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Maitland M. wins
3
Canberra wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25ANewcastle Falcons61-84
27/04/25ASydney Comets77-62
25/04/25HHornsby S.106-95
12/04/25HHills Hornets88-84
05/04/25HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits104-62
29/03/25AIllawarra Hawks 288-96
17/08/24HMandurah Magic98-102
16/08/24HKnox89-99
10/08/24ACanberra86-67
03/08/24HBA CoE94-79
Canberralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HHornsby S.118-77
27/04/25HPenrith P.108-72
25/04/25HBA CoE91-87
12/04/25ANorths Bears81-63
05/04/25HInner West Bulls89-83
29/03/25AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits96-75
10/08/24HMaitland M.67-86
03/08/24HSydney Comets73-55
20/07/24HBA CoE95-74
14/07/24AHornsby S.91-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game87.399.375.3
Allowed / game80.580.380.7
Point differential+6.8+19.0-5.3
Avg total167.8179.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Canberra
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.2101.588.5
Allowed / game76.279.869.0
Point differential+21.0+21.8+19.5
Avg total173.3181.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra660100%97.276.2+21.0
2 BA CoE76186%89.066.7+22.3
3 Sutherland Sharks65183%85.076.3+8.7
4 Maitland M.64267%87.380.5+6.8
5 Illawarra Hawks 264267%83.581.0+2.5
6 Sydney Comets85362%74.269.5+4.8
7 Inner West Bulls63350%88.787.8+0.8
8 Hills Hornets73443%75.775.3+0.4
9 Manly W.73443%77.078.6-1.6
10 Norths Bears73443%70.974.9-4.0
11 Bankstown Bruins73443%77.385.0-7.7
12 Newcastle Falcons62433%75.877.2-1.3
13 Central Coast Crusaders62433%78.281.5-3.3
14 Penrith P.72529%75.687.7-12.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits61517%70.791.5-20.8
16 Hornsby S.6060%73.891.3-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland M.2614232386
Canberra1223152272
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