PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Penrith P. vs Hills Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 78-109
19-36 19-24 25-23 15-26
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game94.8
vs
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game86.7
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Penrith P. v Hills Hornets
11 Apr 2025
PENR85
HILL82
26 Apr 2024
PENR78
HILL109
24 Jun 2023
PENR57
HILL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hills Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
68-94
68
94
-26
H02/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
69-96
69
96
-27
H08/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H09/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
80-108
80
108
-28
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
95-112
95
112
-17
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
17-27
22-25
19-18
18-29
20-22
15-26
16-19
28-27
17-25
28-25
22-24
19-28
17-26
26-27
18-27
21-29
19-20
21-21
16-25
15-21
12-33
31-21
28-18
12-26
21-15
22-20
18-26
22-26
22-27
29-34
22-25
16-16
16-18
20-30
25-24
18-26
21-31
34-14
22-21
178.1Avg total
81.5Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.094.8179.8-9.825%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)85.094.8179.8-9.825%
Last 10 (10)81.596.6178.1-15.110%
Last 5 (5)85.294.4179.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.594.4167.9-20.912%
vs Similar (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
73-71
73
71
+2
H01/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A14/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A15/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H23/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A29/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
94-105
94
105
-11
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A20/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
19-18
17-16
14-16
14-23
22-20
17-19
12-26
14-13
18-16
23-14
18-18
27-29
28-14
23-22
18-24
22-16
17-19
28-31
19-19
17-18
18-27
17-20
22-12
15-15
20-11
17-30
17-34
25-30
21-29
19-25
29-21
11-20
23-16
1-14
19-22
22-11
25-23
27-23
19-26
159.8Avg total
77.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.386.7167.0-6.333%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)80.386.7167.0-6.333%
Last 10 (10)77.782.1159.8-4.450%
Last 5 (5)76.885.4162.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.786.7163.3-10.017%
vs Similar (10)75.781.9157.6-6.230%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)88.173.9162.1+14.2100%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
Penrith P.Hills Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H02/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H08/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H09/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H15/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A20/04
NBL1 East
85.7Avg total
36.1Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)34.350.084.3-15.74%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.849.584.3-14.70%-
Last 30 away (15)34.050.384.3-16.37%-
Last 10 (10)36.149.685.7-13.50%-
Last 5 (5)35.047.882.8-12.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)34.149.783.8-15.64%-
vs Similar (1)39.057.096.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hills Hornets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hills HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A14/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A15/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H23/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A29/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A06/04
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A20/04
NBL1 East
79.0Avg total
40.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.280.0+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.440.480.8+0.046%-
Last 30 away (17)41.138.479.5+2.853%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.979.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.079.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.343.080.3-5.717%-
vs Similar (10)39.241.480.6-2.230%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.436.179.5+7.479%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penrith P. wins
2
Hills Hornets wins
DateGameScore
24/06/23Penrith P. v Hills Hornets57-95
14/04/23Hills Hornets v Penrith P.107-67
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AIllawarra Hawks95-92
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins77-88
14/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders95-112
06/04/24ASutherland Sharks73-87
23/07/23AInner West Bulls86-93
22/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders77-95
15/07/23HNorths Bears80-108
09/07/23HMaitland M.95-101
08/07/23HNewcastle Falcons69-96
02/07/23HIllawarra Hawks 268-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders93-83
13/04/24ANorths Bears54-72
06/04/24AInner West Bulls94-105
29/07/23ACanberra69-90
23/07/23HBA CoE74-77
22/07/23AManly W.86-85
15/07/23ABankstown Bruins96-89
14/07/23AHornsby S.73-61
08/07/23ACanberra65-88
01/07/23HCentral Coast Crusaders73-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
Home--
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %25%-25%
Points / game85.0-85.0
Allowed / game94.8-94.8
Point differential-9.8--9.8
Avg total179.8-179.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Hills Hornets
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
Home--
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game80.3-80.3
Allowed / game86.7-86.7
Point differential-6.3--6.3
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.550100%96.074.2+21.8
2 Inner West Bulls65183%96.279.3+16.8
3 Albury-Wodonga Bandits54180%92.683.6+9.0
4 Canberra43175%81.073.5+7.5
5 Bankstown Bruins43175%79.275.0+4.2
6 Sydney Comets53260%81.276.4+4.8
7 Manly W.21150%92.583.0+9.5
8 Central Coast Crusaders42250%94.287.8+6.5
9 Sutherland Sharks42250%87.283.5+3.8
10 Norths Bears42250%78.075.2+2.8
11 BA CoE21150%88.590.5-2.0
12 Hills Hornets31233%80.386.7-6.3
13 Penrith P.41325%85.094.8-9.8
14 Newcastle Falcons51420%69.479.8-10.4
15 Hornsby S.6060%75.396.8-21.5
16 Illawarra Hawks5050%73.0103.8-30.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penrith P.1919251578
Hills Hornets36242326109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.