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Maitland M. vs Hornsby S. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 06:30
Final 95-69
20-18 28-17 25-17 22-17
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game75.5
vs
Position#14
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game97.2
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Maitland M. v Hornsby S.
25 Apr 2025
MAIT106
HORN95
25 Apr 2024
MAIT95
HORN69
01 Apr 2023
MAIT96
HORN64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hornsby S. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P.
#15
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A09/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A15/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
L
114-117 OT
114
117
-3
A22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
A29/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A05/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H12/08
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
109-72
109
72
+37
H06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
101-79
101
79
+22
H07/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H13/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
25-17
25-28
24-22
17-23
6-17
21-21
24-15
23-20
24-26
26-28
29-28
26-21
16-21
22-16
28-23
25-26
25-19
17-22
21-8
22-18
15-19
18-27
25-19
29-7
25-28
22-24
33-13
24-19
21-12
30-24
26-24
16-20
30-19
18-11
26-19
23-21
24-21
13-25
25-15
175.7Avg total
92.8Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)96.275.5171.8+20.8100%
Season at home (3)100.073.3173.3+26.7100%
Season away (1)85.082.0167.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.882.9175.7+9.970%
Last 5 (5)93.077.0170.0+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.390.3174.7-6.00%
vs Similar (11)86.982.3169.2+4.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)94.679.9174.5+14.688%
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A01/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
76-92
76
92
-16
H02/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H14/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H16/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H07/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
A13/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
H14/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A20/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
16-19
12-16
20-23
25-25
10-16
11-26
30-25
20-14
28-16
15-19
18-30
13-14
16-18
14-23
18-18
9-24
17-26
19-16
27-18
16-29
26-24
22-20
10-27
18-17
24-28
22-28
18-18
21-32
15-25
25-31
18-22
25-24
21-25
18-25
23-30
22-19
11-22
18-17
10-23
163.0Avg total
73.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.697.2173.8-20.60%
Season at home (2)84.597.5182.0-13.00%
Season away (3)71.397.0168.3-25.70%
Last 10 (10)73.289.8163.0-16.610%
Last 5 (5)76.697.2173.8-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)67.787.5155.3-19.80%
vs Similar (3)72.073.7145.7-1.733%
vs Weaker (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: -4.2-4.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +7.5+7.5Q4: -4.2-4.2
Maitland M.Hornsby S.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penrith P.
#15
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A09/07
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#7
L
23-40
23
40
-17
A15/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A22/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A05/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/08
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H13/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/04
NBL1 East
84.5Avg total
44.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.586.5+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.740.586.2+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)44.342.686.9+1.767%-
Last 10 (10)44.340.284.5+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.836.882.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.344.388.7+0.033%-
vs Similar (11)43.543.086.5+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.240.086.2+6.288%-
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A01/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H16/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A13/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H14/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/04
NBL1 East
80.7Avg total
36.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)32.142.474.6-10.311%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.941.972.8-11.08%-
Last 30 away (14)33.242.976.1-9.714%-
Last 10 (10)36.444.380.7-7.910%-
Last 5 (5)39.849.088.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)31.344.375.6-13.00%-
vs Similar (3)37.331.368.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maitland M. wins
0
Hornsby S. wins
DateGameScore
21/05/23Hornsby S. v Maitland M.79-81
01/04/23Maitland M. v Hornsby S.96-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ASutherland Sharks85-82
13/04/24HCanberra90-69
07/04/24HInner West Bulls101-79
06/04/24HNewcastle Falcons109-72
12/08/23HSutherland Sharks80-83
05/08/23ACanberra88-75
29/07/23AInner West Bulls92-81
22/07/23AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits114-117 OT
15/07/23ANewcastle Falcons68-76
09/07/23APenrith P.101-95
Hornsby S.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ANewcastle Falcons61-81
14/04/24HInner West Bulls87-104
13/04/24AManly W.79-110
07/04/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits82-91
06/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders74-100
16/07/23HSydney Comets72-84
14/07/23HHills Hornets61-73
08/07/23AManly W.81-79
02/07/23HSutherland Sharks76-92
01/07/23AInner West Bulls59-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game96.2100.085.0
Allowed / game75.573.382.0
Point differential+20.8+26.7+3.0
Avg total171.8173.3167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hornsby S.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.684.571.3
Allowed / game97.297.597.0
Point differential-20.6-13.0-25.7
Avg total173.8182.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.440100%96.275.5+20.8
2 Inner West Bulls65183%96.279.3+16.8
3 Albury-Wodonga Bandits54180%92.683.6+9.0
4 Canberra43175%81.073.5+7.5
5 Bankstown Bruins43175%79.275.0+4.2
6 Sydney Comets53260%81.276.4+4.8
7 Manly W.21150%92.583.0+9.5
8 Central Coast Crusaders42250%94.287.8+6.5
9 Norths Bears42250%78.075.2+2.8
10 BA CoE21150%88.590.5-2.0
11 Hills Hornets31233%80.386.7-6.3
12 Sutherland Sharks31233%80.788.3-7.7
13 Penrith P.41325%85.094.8-9.8
14 Newcastle Falcons51420%69.479.8-10.4
15 Hornsby S.5050%76.697.2-20.6
16 Illawarra Hawks4040%74.0103.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland M.2028252295
Hornsby S.1817171769
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