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Newcastle Falcons vs Hornsby S. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 81-61
19-22 22-11 17-18 23-10
Position#12
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game65.7
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#14
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game101.2
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Hornsby S.
20 Apr 2024
NEWC81
HORN61
17 Jun 2023
NEWC62
HORN45
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hornsby S. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A01/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H02/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
96-69
96
69
+27
A08/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H15/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
72-109
72
109
-37
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H14/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
26-24
18-18
10-14
22-11
15-22
15-11
16-13
29-18
22-20
26-15
19-16
22-20
19-9
10-22
12-15
23-17
17-6
21-21
15-24
17-17
29-15
17-17
25-17
18-24
13-29
14-36
26-14
7-29
28-25
24-22
13-33
12-19
18-22
10-27
25-17
8-23
16-14
20-10
16-20
150.2Avg total
73.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.787.0152.7-21.30%
Season at home (1)60.067.0127.0-7.00%
Season away (2)68.597.0165.5-28.50%
Last 10 (10)73.376.9150.2-3.640%
Last 5 (5)71.286.0157.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.090.9163.9-17.914%
vs Similar (12)75.673.7149.2+1.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.866.2150.0+17.691%
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H24/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A01/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
76-92
76
92
-16
H02/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H14/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H16/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
74-100
74
100
-26
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H07/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
A13/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
H14/04
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
22-12
18-17
13-18
11-26
16-19
12-16
20-23
25-25
10-16
11-26
30-25
20-14
28-16
15-19
18-30
13-14
16-18
14-23
18-18
9-24
17-26
19-16
27-18
16-29
26-24
22-20
10-27
18-17
24-28
22-28
18-18
21-32
15-25
25-31
18-22
25-24
21-25
18-25
23-30
162.4Avg total
73.6Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.5101.2181.8-20.80%
Season at home (2)84.597.5182.0-13.00%
Season away (2)76.5105.0181.5-28.50%
Last 10 (10)73.688.8162.4-15.210%
Last 5 (5)78.897.8176.6-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)68.087.8155.9-19.80%
vs Similar (3)72.073.7145.7-1.733%
vs Weaker (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -3.4-3.4
Newcastle FalconsHornsby S.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney Comets
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A01/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A08/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H09/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#6
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H15/07
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H22/07
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A29/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A13/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/04
NBL1 East
76.8Avg total
38.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.377.1+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.631.272.8+10.487%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.381.5-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.776.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.476.6-10.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.143.378.4-8.129%-
vs Similar (12)39.234.873.9+4.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.433.579.8+12.991%-
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#14
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H24/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A01/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A08/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H16/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A13/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H14/04
NBL1 East
80.3Avg total
36.5Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)32.142.574.6-10.412%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.941.972.8-11.08%-
Last 30 away (13)33.243.176.3-9.815%-
Last 10 (10)36.543.880.3-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)38.450.889.2-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.244.575.6-13.30%-
vs Similar (3)37.331.368.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Newcastle Falcons wins
0
Hornsby S. wins
DateGameScore
17/06/23Newcastle Falcons v Hornsby S.62-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HCanberra60-67
13/04/24AInner West Bulls65-85
06/04/24AMaitland M.72-109
29/07/23ABA CoE71-103
22/07/23HBankstown Bruins88-66
15/07/23HMaitland M.76-68
09/07/23HIllawarra Hawks 263-66
08/07/23APenrith P.96-69
02/07/23HNorths Bears68-57
01/07/23ASydney Comets74-79
Hornsby S.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HInner West Bulls87-104
13/04/24AManly W.79-110
07/04/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits82-91
06/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders74-100
16/07/23HSydney Comets72-84
14/07/23HHills Hornets61-73
08/07/23AManly W.81-79
02/07/23HSutherland Sharks76-92
01/07/23AInner West Bulls59-84
24/06/23HManly W.65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.760.068.5
Allowed / game87.067.097.0
Point differential-21.3-7.0-28.5
Avg total152.7127.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hornsby S.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game80.584.576.5
Allowed / game101.297.5105.0
Point differential-20.8-13.0-28.5
Avg total181.8182.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Manly W.110100%110.079.0+31.0
2 Maitland M.440100%96.275.5+20.8
3 Bankstown Bruins330100%78.370.3+8.0
4 Inner West Bulls54180%87.481.0+6.4
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits43175%93.884.2+9.5
6 Canberra32167%79.073.0+6.0
7 Sydney Comets32167%80.374.7+5.7
8 Norths Bears21150%71.062.5+8.5
9 Central Coast Crusaders42250%94.287.8+6.5
10 Hills Hornets31233%80.386.7-6.3
11 Sutherland Sharks31233%80.788.3-7.7
12 Penrith P.41325%85.094.8-9.8
13 BA CoE1010%88.099.0-11.0
14 Illawarra Hawks3030%75.090.7-15.7
15 Hornsby S.4040%80.5101.2-20.8
16 Newcastle Falcons3030%65.787.0-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons1922172381
Hornsby S.2211181061
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