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Newcastle Falcons vs Maitland M. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 76-68
23-17 17-6 21-21 15-24
Position#7
Record12-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#6
Record14-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game82.2
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2023
Meetings · Newcastle Falcons v Maitland M.
03 May 2025
NEWC84
MAIT61
13 Jul 2024
NEWC64
MAIT85
15 Jul 2023
NEWC76
MAIT68
02 Apr 2022
NEWC57
MAIT70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maitland M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A27/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
83-112
83
112
-29
A04/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
62-45
62
45
+17
H17/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A24/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A01/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H02/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
96-69
96
69
+27
A08/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H09/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
28-28
14-20
22-13
16-16
20-13
16-20
21-13
17-19
11-23
21-28
19-27
23-31
21-31
14-23
25-27
11-3
25-13
12-16
14-13
20-14
21-20
21-20
20-26
20-23
26-24
18-18
10-14
22-11
15-22
15-11
16-13
29-18
22-20
26-15
19-16
22-20
19-9
10-22
12-15
150.6Avg total
76.1Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.272.7150.9+5.560%
Season at home (9)75.464.8140.2+10.767%
Season away (11)80.579.1159.5+1.455%
Last 10 (10)76.174.5150.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)76.670.2146.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.891.8169.5-14.025%
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.874.5147.3-1.838%
vs Weaker (13)81.168.8149.8+12.377%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A21/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
99-73
99
73
+26
A27/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
99-82
99
82
+17
H03/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A17/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H24/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H01/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
102-79
102
79
+23
H02/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H08/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A09/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
23-21
21-22
22-17
27-15
14-24
16-14
24-26
20-16
25-26
21-11
33-20
25-18
19-23
30-17
25-24
23-21
20-23
19-15
23-8
25-14
16-28
28-15
13-24
30-16
28-29
19-18
33-16
16-17
26-16
30-23
30-23
26-25
23-22
29-19
27-21
27-28
25-17
25-28
24-22
175.7Avg total
95.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.182.2173.3+8.870%
Season at home (11)92.782.3175.0+10.573%
Season away (9)89.182.2171.3+6.967%
Last 10 (10)95.580.2175.7+15.3100%
Last 5 (5)100.084.2184.2+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.090.2176.2-4.225%
vs Similar ◀ (8)91.883.9175.6+7.962%
vs Weaker (18)92.880.9173.7+11.989%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +5.3+5.3
Newcastle FalconsMaitland M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H21/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A27/05
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A03/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A04/06
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
36-16
36
16
+20
H17/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#2
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A24/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A01/07
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H02/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A08/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H09/07
NBL1 East
79.1Avg total
41.6Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.276.5+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.931.273.2+10.792%-
Last 30 away (17)39.139.979.0-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.579.1+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.279.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.542.078.5-5.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.136.274.3+1.862%-
vs Weaker (13)43.734.378.0+9.477%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H20/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A21/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A27/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#13
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A17/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#12
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H24/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H01/07
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#14
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H02/07
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks 2
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H08/07
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#15
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A09/07
NBL1 East
88.2Avg total
46.3Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.142.188.3+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.242.188.3+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)46.142.188.2+3.971%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.988.2+4.480%-
Last 5 (5)48.442.490.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.241.286.5+4.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)47.144.291.4+2.962%-
vs Weaker (18)45.941.487.3+4.572%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Newcastle Falcons wins
3
Maitland M. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/23HIllawarra Hawks 263-66
08/07/23APenrith P.96-69
02/07/23HNorths Bears68-57
01/07/23ASydney Comets74-79
24/06/23AInner West Bulls82-80
17/06/23HHornsby S.62-45
04/06/23ABA CoE83-112
03/06/23AIllawarra Hawks 268-97
27/05/23ANorths Bears73-62
21/05/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/23APenrith P.101-95
08/07/23HIllawarra Hawks 2105-87
02/07/23HManly W.102-79
01/07/23HSutherland Sharks110-79
24/06/23HCentral Coast Crusaders82-81
17/06/23ASydney Comets85-67
03/06/23HBankstown Bruins99-82
27/05/23AManly W.99-73
21/05/23AHornsby S.81-79
20/05/23HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %60%67%55%
Points / game78.275.480.5
Allowed / game72.764.879.1
Point differential+5.5+10.7+1.4
Avg total150.8140.2159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %70%73%67%
Points / game91.192.789.1
Allowed / game82.282.382.2
Point differential+8.8+10.5+6.9
Avg total173.3175.0171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE2019195%101.076.3+24.8
2 Inner West Bulls2016480%91.879.8+12.0
3 Canberra2014670%85.776.1+9.6
4 Maitland M.2014670%91.182.2+8.8
5 Norths Bears1913668%84.579.4+5.2
6 Sutherland Sharks2114767%88.883.3+5.4
7 Hills Hornets2013765%81.377.0+4.3
8 Newcastle Falcons2012860%78.272.7+5.5
9 Illawarra Hawks 221111052%86.982.5+4.3
10 Albury-Wodonga Bandits21101148%89.089.9-1.0
11 Sydney Comets1991047%81.682.8-1.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders2151624%78.788.9-10.2
13 Bankstown Bruins2141719%76.689.0-12.3
14 Manly W.2141719%70.585.3-14.8
15 Penrith P.1931616%71.093.5-22.5
16 Hornsby S.211205%66.182.6-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Newcastle Falcons2317211576
Maitland M.176212468
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