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Maitland M. vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 95-116
22-35 22-27 26-25 25-29
Position#12
Record7-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#9
Record8-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.7
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2025
Meetings · Maitland M. v Newcastle Falcons
12 Jul 2025
MAIT95
NEWC116
06 Apr 2024
MAIT109
NEWC72
15 Apr 2023
MAIT82
NEWC69
18 Jun 2022
MAIT93
NEWC71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
83-91
83
91
-8
H11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
91-104
91
104
-13
A17/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
101-50
101
50
+51
H24/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
103-104
103
104
-1
A31/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A14/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
119-126 OT
119
126
-7
H21/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H28/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
102-130
102
130
-28
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A05/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
21-16
18-27
28-26
27-30
19-27
21-28
24-19
29-9
19-16
25-13
28-12
19-23
35-25
20-29
29-27
20-21
16-24
30-19
19-25
22-23
17-22
19-20
17-22
34-32
18-20
24-27
16-13
28-25
16-20
15-23
28-15
24-38
21-31
23-31
34-30
27-27
19-22
24-24
24-25
190.2Avg total
94.0Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.289.2180.4+1.941%
Season at home (9)95.483.6179.0+11.967%
Season away (8)86.495.6182.0-9.212%
Last 10 (10)94.096.2190.2-2.220%
Last 5 (5)95.4104.8200.2-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)88.096.8184.8-8.820%
vs Similar ◀ (8)88.291.8180.0-3.538%
vs Weaker (17)99.285.4184.6+13.871%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#1
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
W
94-87
94
87
+7
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A21/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
98-63
98
63
+35
A22/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
81-88
81
88
-7
A28/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H05/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
24-16
16-15
19-15
20-17
16-23
20-22
21-18
13-32
26-19
31-16
24-20
14-13
29-23
30-22
20-11
19-22
19-19
17-10
23-17
21-29
14-13
20-27
25-17
22-25
13-31
11-25
24-21
22-18
27-15
18-15
31-15
13-14
27-20
27-23
14-31
22-24
13-19
25-18
27-16
162.2Avg total
83.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.179.7159.8+0.447%
Season at home (8)80.172.2152.4+7.975%
Season away (9)80.186.3166.4-6.222%
Last 10 (10)83.378.9162.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)83.283.2166.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.881.4156.2-6.531%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.979.9157.8-2.050%
vs Weaker (7)87.180.9168.0+6.357%
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +4.7+4.7
Maitland M.Newcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/05
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A17/05
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
48-25
48
25
+23
H24/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
54-48
54
48
+6
A31/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A14/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H21/06
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H28/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
45-69
45
69
-24
A29/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#10
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A05/07
NBL1 East
92.0Avg total
44.7Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.844.790.5+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.542.990.4+4.553%-
Last 30 away (15)44.246.590.7-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.747.392.0-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)45.252.097.2-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.849.092.8-5.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.546.487.9-4.925%-
vs Weaker (17)48.542.691.1+5.865%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/05
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A17/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H24/05
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/05
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/06
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#4
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A21/06
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A22/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A28/06
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/07
NBL1 East
80.5Avg total
39.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.380.1-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.939.977.8-2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)39.742.782.5-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.580.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.680.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.242.079.2-4.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.940.778.6-2.830%-
vs Weaker (7)43.041.084.0+2.057%-
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Maitland M. wins
2
Newcastle Falcons wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25ACentral Coast Crusaders94-98
29/06/25ABankstown Bruins102-130
28/06/25HInner West Bulls87-83
21/06/25HManly W.119-126 OT
14/06/25ASutherland Sharks75-87
01/06/25HNorths Bears85-89
31/05/25AHornsby S.103-104
24/05/25HPenrith P.101-50
17/05/25AManly W.91-104
11/05/25HCentral Coast Crusaders83-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/07/25HSutherland Sharks87-77
28/06/25AManly W.81-88
22/06/25APenrith P.98-63
21/06/25ANorths Bears70-102
14/06/25ABA CoE80-86
31/05/25HNorths Bears78-68
25/05/25AInner West Bulls93-69
24/05/25HBankstown Bruins94-87
17/05/25AHornsby S.77-80
11/05/25HCanberra75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%67%12%
Points / game91.295.486.4
Allowed / game89.283.695.6
Point differential+1.9+11.9-9.2
Avg total180.4179.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW47%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%75%22%
Points / game80.180.180.1
Allowed / game79.772.286.3
Point differential+0.4+7.9-6.2
Avg total159.8152.4166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BA CoE1814478%84.473.2+11.3
2 Canberra1713476%92.878.0+14.8
3 Illawarra Hawks 21713476%92.184.6+7.4
4 Sydney Comets1713476%80.475.5+4.9
5 Sutherland Sharks1810856%85.981.1+4.8
6 Manly W.1810856%86.584.9+1.6
7 Norths Bears1810856%80.479.0+1.4
8 Bankstown Bruins179853%87.084.7+2.3
9 Central Coast Crusaders189950%82.385.9-3.6
10 Newcastle Falcons178947%80.179.7+0.4
11 Maitland M.1771041%91.289.2+1.9
12 Hills Hornets1761135%76.681.8-5.1
13 Inner West Bulls1861233%83.487.7-4.3
14 Hornsby S.1861233%82.389.1-6.8
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1731418%80.396.1-15.8
16 Penrith P.1831517%74.989.5-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland M.2222262595
Newcastle Falcons35272529116
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