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Norths Bears vs Newcastle Falcons Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 76-69
20-17 20-16 23-24 13-12
Position#5
Record12-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#4
Record11-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game72.7
AustraliaNBL1 EastRound 16
Other2022
Meetings · Norths Bears v Newcastle Falcons
21 Jun 2025
NORT102
NEWC70
27 May 2023
NORT62
NEWC73
31 Jul 2022
NORT76
NEWC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Norths Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Newcastle Falcons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Norths BearsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H04/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
A18/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H25/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H02/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
97-80
97
80
+17
H10/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
H16/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A17/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H23/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A24/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
A30/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
19-9
21-13
12-14
16-13
27-15
23-24
8-22
31-27
10-20
17-15
18-11
15-11
16-18
17-17
21-14
24-18
19-21
28-17
26-24
20-22
21-26
24-20
21-18
14-19
21-24
19-31
12-24
16-19
23-19
21-21
21-17
21-18
18-18
22-23
28-23
27-24
16-13
17-19
12-16
159.3Avg total
81.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.678.7157.3-0.163%
Season at home (10)78.876.4155.2+2.480%
Season away (9)78.481.2159.7-2.844%
Last 10 (10)81.577.8159.3+3.790%
Last 5 (5)82.885.6168.4-2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.686.4160.0-12.840%
vs Similar (10)78.575.0153.5+3.570%
vs Weaker (4)85.278.2163.5+7.075%
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#9
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A29/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A04/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
71-93
71
93
-22
A18/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H25/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H02/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
H09/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A16/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
A17/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A23/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
61-98
61
98
-37
A30/07
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
16-12
22-17
19-15
21-15
10-13
30-18
21-19
15-22
14-26
18-23
24-22
17-26
25-8
27-23
20-13
20-19
14-11
21-26
23-10
10-9
21-21
8-18
15-7
20-25
19-12
28-28
25-19
9-19
11-31
26-25
22-20
15-23
17-10
15-15
12-24
14-23
20-24
8-23
19-28
148.7Avg total
72.7Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.072.7146.7+1.361%
Season at home (9)73.167.2140.3+5.967%
Season away (9)74.978.2153.1-3.356%
Last 10 (10)72.776.0148.7-3.350%
Last 5 (5)66.880.8147.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.080.0148.0-12.050%
vs Similar (9)69.973.9143.8-4.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)81.069.1150.1+11.986%
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
Norths BearsNewcastle Falcons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Norths BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/06
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A18/06
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H25/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H02/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H16/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A17/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A30/07
NBL1 East
76.8Avg total
39.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)37.837.174.9+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (10)37.336.173.4+1.260%-
Last 30 away (9)38.438.176.6+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.376.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.479.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.434.870.2+0.640%-
vs Similar (10)37.936.274.1+1.770%-
vs Weaker (4)40.842.082.8-1.225%-
This opponent (Newcastle Falcons) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle FalconsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manly W.
#9
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A29/05
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#12
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A04/06
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/06
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#3
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H02/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H09/07
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A16/07
NBL1 East
Canberra
#1
L
20-50
20
50
-30
A17/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A23/07
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A30/07
NBL1 East
69.1Avg total
32.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)33.733.967.7-0.256%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.431.468.9+6.067%-
Last 30 away (9)30.036.466.4-6.444%-
Last 10 (10)32.436.769.1-4.360%-
Last 5 (5)31.239.470.6-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.539.569.0-10.050%-
vs Similar (9)31.035.866.8-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.430.068.4+8.486%-
This opponent (Norths Bears) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Norths Bears wins
0
Newcastle Falcons wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/22AHills Hornets80-77 OT
24/07/22ACentral Coast Crusaders89-82
23/07/22HInner West Bulls81-76
17/07/22AMaitland M.66-98
16/07/22HSutherland Sharks98-95 OT
10/07/22HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits97-80
02/07/22HManly W.69-60
25/06/22HBankstown Bruins76-73
18/06/22ACanberra86-82 OT
04/06/22HHills Hornets73-55
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/22AInner West Bulls61-98
23/07/22ACentral Coast Crusaders59-72
17/07/22ACanberra68-95
16/07/22AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits92-84
09/07/22HHills Hornets54-55
02/07/22HIllawarra Hawks78-66
25/06/22HManly W.89-70
18/06/22AMaitland M.71-93
04/06/22ABankstown Bruins82-65
29/05/22AManly W.73-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Norths Bears
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW63%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %63%80%44%
Points / game78.678.878.4
Allowed / game78.776.481.2
Point differential-0.1+2.4-2.8
Avg total157.3155.2159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %16%10%22%
Newcastle Falcons
NBL1 East 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL61%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game74.073.174.9
Allowed / game72.767.278.2
Point differential+1.3+5.9-3.3
Avg total146.7140.3153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra1914574%93.382.2+11.2
2 Norths Bears1912763%78.678.7-0.1
3 Illawarra Hawks1811761%89.384.9+4.4
4 Maitland M.1811761%85.782.9+2.7
5 Newcastle Falcons1811761%74.072.7+1.3
6 Sutherland Sharks1910953%78.979.8-0.9
7 Inner West Bulls2091145%81.082.7-1.6
8 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1981142%88.391.5-3.3
9 Hills Hornets2081240%77.278.5-1.4
10 Manly W.2081240%78.080.0-1.9
11 Central Coast Crusaders1971237%79.583.3-3.7
12 Bankstown Bruins1951426%77.483.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Norths Bears2020231376
Newcastle Falcons1716241269
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