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Malbas vs AIK Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.6
SwedenSuperettan· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Malbas v AIK Basket
16 Jan 2027
MALB v AIK
upcoming
22 Feb 2026
MALB101
AIK 88
02 Feb 2025
MALB116
AIK 78
03 Dec 2023
MALB62
AIK 61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
71-73
71
73
-2
57avg 70
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
73-100
73
100
-27
38avg 70
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
55-91
55
91
-36
36avg 70
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 70
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
61avg 70
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 70
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 70
A31/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
49avg 70
A01/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H08/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
16-15
18-23
19-13
22-34
17-29
19-20
15-17
4-21
14-16
22-24
15-30
15-18
15-24
20-20
23-22
9-31
16-19
13-20
28-12
13-16
18-26
18-22
16-22
21-17
12-25
15-26
21-12
14-24
22-16
16-23
15-18
20-13
20-25
19-23
15-13
19-25
19-21
22-13
25-19
153.9Avg total
70.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.485.2156.5-13.89%
Season at home (3)77.385.0162.3-7.70%
Season away (8)69.185.2154.4-16.112%
Last 10 (10)70.183.8153.9-13.710%
Last 5 (5)72.681.6154.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.787.1158.8-15.411%
vs Similar (3)77.076.3153.3+0.733%
vs Weaker (18)87.776.9164.6+10.772%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 78
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
57avg 78
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
91-106
91
106
-15
81avg 78
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
77avg 78
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
95avg 78
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
67-90
67
90
-23
54avg 78
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
84-58
84
58
+26
82avg 78
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
68avg 78
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
73-56
73
56
+17
72avg 78
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
93-61
93
61
+32
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
24-25
16-30
24-16
27-35
29-19
15-15
18-9
31-19
25-28
25-26
19-20
32-20
18-19
18-22
15-24
16-25
27-9
24-13
14-20
19-16
31-9
19-16
20-13
12-28
18-14
10-22
26-9
19-11
25-17
31-17
15-12
22-15
161.2Avg total
86.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.769.6154.3+15.186%
Season at home (3)86.361.7148.0+24.7100%
Season away (4)83.575.5159.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)86.374.9161.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)79.866.2146.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.386.0158.3-13.70%
vs Similar (15)83.981.7165.5+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.568.2152.7+16.383%
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
MalbasAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A31/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/11
Superettan
76.1Avg total
32.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.382.3-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.641.384.9+2.445%-
Last 30 away (19)39.541.480.8-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)32.443.776.1-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.677.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.345.678.9-12.211%-
vs Similar (3)37.738.776.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker (18)45.439.785.1+5.761%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H14/11
Superettan
81.1Avg total
44.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.379.7+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.734.976.6+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.282.3-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.081.1+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.231.675.8+12.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.083.0-3.067%-
vs Similar (15)40.339.880.1+0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.135.278.3+7.867%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.815.5
43.3%
50.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.46.6
25.0%
29.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.8
69.8%
65.7%14.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.1
51.9%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.2
30.3%
29.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws26.216.9
64.5%
65.7%16.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
WLLLLLLLLL
AIK Basket
WWWWLWWLWW
#13
League position
#1
-23.1
Net rating
+8.3
72.5
Offensive rating
87.9
95.6
Defensive rating
79.6
40.8%
Effective FG%
48.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
19.4%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
25.0%
3-point %
30.3%
58.4%
Assist %
65.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence72.5 · 87.9Defence95.6 · 79.6Shooting40.8% · 48.7%3-point %25.0% · 30.3%Ball care19.4% · 14.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Malbas   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Malbas wins
3
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26AIK Basket v Malbas82-66
22/02/26Malbas v AIK Basket101-88
18/01/26AIK Basket v Malbas61-84
23/03/25AIK Basket v Malbas90-78
02/02/25Malbas v AIK Basket116-78
06/04/24AIK Basket v Malbas89-84
03/12/23Malbas v AIK Basket62-61
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATrelleborg85-78
08/11/26HDjurgarden77-83 OT
01/11/26AHuddinge67-81
31/10/26AOckelbo69-80
25/10/26AAlvik65-86
24/10/26AAIK Basket66-82
18/10/26AFryshuset Basket73-84
14/10/26AIK Eos55-91
10/10/26AWetterbygden Stars73-100
03/10/26HOckelbo71-73
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCross Over93-61
01/11/26AEskilstuna73-56
24/10/26HMalbas82-66
11/10/26HHuddinge84-58
03/10/26AFryshuset Basket67-90
27/09/26AAlvik101-94
21/09/26ADjurgarden93-62
11/04/26ATrelleborg91-106
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW9%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %9%0%12%
Points / game71.477.369.1
Allowed / game85.285.085.2
Point differential-13.8-7.7-16.1
Avg total156.5162.3154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%33%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game84.786.383.5
Allowed / game69.661.775.5
Point differential+15.1+24.7+8.0
Avg total154.3148.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos75271%91.174.6+16.6
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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