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Malbas vs Trelleborg Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game80.0
SwedenSuperettan· Heleneholms Sporthall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Malbas v Trelleborg
17 Feb 2027
MALB v TREL
upcoming
28 Sep 2025
MALB96
TREL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Malbas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trelleborg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
71-73
71
73
-2
57avg 63
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
73-100
73
100
-27
38avg 63
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
55-91
55
91
-36
36avg 63
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 63
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
66-82
66
82
-16
61avg 63
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 63
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 63
A31/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
49avg 63
A01/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
L
77-83 OT
77
83
-6
no box
H08/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
16-15
18-23
19-13
22-34
17-29
19-20
15-17
4-21
14-16
22-24
15-30
15-18
15-24
20-20
23-22
9-31
16-19
13-20
28-12
13-16
18-26
18-22
16-22
21-17
12-25
15-26
21-12
14-24
22-16
16-23
15-18
20-13
20-25
19-23
15-13
19-25
19-21
22-13
25-19
153.9Avg total
70.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.485.2156.5-13.89%
Season at home (3)77.385.0162.3-7.70%
Season away (8)69.185.2154.4-16.112%
Last 10 (10)70.183.8153.9-13.710%
Last 5 (5)72.681.6154.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.787.1158.8-15.411%
vs Similar (3)77.076.3153.3+0.733%
vs Weaker (18)87.776.9164.6+10.772%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrelleborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrelleborg
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
L
71-92
71
92
-21
52avg 73
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
106-91
106
91
+15
102avg 73
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
53avg 73
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
75avg 73
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
91avg 73
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 73
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
63-82
63
82
-19
39avg 73
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
70-58
70
58
+12
no box
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
16-23
13-17
19-28
25-24
30-16
16-24
35-27
28-12
21-19
9-28
19-28
30-30
20-15
20-23
16-16
18-10
19-23
34-19
22-15
20-19
27-30
18-16
19-32
23-24
19-22
20-16
26-18
23-21
5-19
11-22
24-20
22-21
24-17
11-10
13-10
25-19
21-19
13-22
19-25
163.9Avg total
81.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.980.0159.9-0.150%
Season at home (4)83.084.0167.0-1.025%
Season away (4)76.876.0152.8+0.875%
Last 10 (10)81.682.3163.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.680.4157.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.286.9170.1-3.744%
vs Similar (16)87.684.6172.2+3.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)78.881.0159.8-2.240%
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
MalbasTrelleborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A10/10
Superettan
IK Eos
#4
L
18-37
18
37
-19
A14/10
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A18/10
Superettan
AIK Basket
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A24/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A31/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A01/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H08/11
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/11
Superettan
76.1Avg total
32.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.382.3-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.641.384.9+2.445%-
Last 30 away (19)39.541.480.8-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)32.443.776.1-11.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.641.677.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.345.678.9-12.211%-
vs Similar (3)37.738.776.3-1.033%-
vs Weaker (18)45.439.785.1+5.761%-
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrelleborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/11
Superettan
84.6Avg total
43.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.187.3+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.286.5+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.146.088.1-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.784.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.342.984.2-1.644%-
vs Similar (16)46.543.590.0+3.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.242.284.4+0.060%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 65.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.815.5
43.3%
50.0%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.46.6
25.0%
29.5%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.214.8
69.8%
65.7%14.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trelleborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trelleborg: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.7
50.7%
50.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
29.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.016.4
65.6%
65.7%16.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Malbas
WLLLLLLLLL
Trelleborg
LWLWLWWLWL
#13
League position
#10
-23.1
Net rating
+0.3
72.5
Offensive rating
92.0
95.6
Defensive rating
91.7
40.8%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
19.4%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
25.0%
3-point %
32.2%
58.4%
Assist %
50.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence72.5 · 92.0Defence95.6 · 91.7Shooting40.8% · 49.7%3-point %25.0% · 32.2%Ball care19.4% · 13.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Malbas   ■ Trelleborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Malbas wins
0
Trelleborg wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Trelleborg v Malbas78-85
20/12/25Trelleborg v Malbas79-94
28/09/25Malbas v Trelleborg96-67
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATrelleborg85-78
08/11/26HDjurgarden77-83 OT
01/11/26AHuddinge67-81
31/10/26AOckelbo69-80
25/10/26AAlvik65-86
24/10/26AAIK Basket66-82
18/10/26AFryshuset Basket73-84
14/10/26AIK Eos55-91
10/10/26AWetterbygden Stars73-100
03/10/26HOckelbo71-73
Trelleborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMalbas78-85
07/11/26AOckelbo70-58
25/10/26ASollentuna63-82
24/10/26ANorrort88-80
17/10/26HAlvik84-97
10/10/26HSollentuna93-67
27/09/26AHuddinge86-84
19/09/26HWetterbygden Stars77-87
11/04/26HAIK Basket106-91
29/03/26AAIK Basket71-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Malbas
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW9%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %9%0%12%
Points / game71.477.369.1
Allowed / game85.285.085.2
Point differential-13.8-7.7-16.1
Avg total156.5162.3154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%33%0%
Trelleborg
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game79.983.076.8
Allowed / game80.084.076.0
Point differential-0.1-1.0+0.8
Avg total159.9167.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos75271%91.174.6+16.6
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden93633%79.188.1-9.0
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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