Malvin and Bigua will clash in the Liga Uruguaya on 3 November 2026, a game that feels almost evenly matched as neither side holds a clear edge. Malvin sits in sixth place with a 2-2 record, averaging 77.0 points while conceding 83.8, and has split its home games 1-1 with 76.5 points for and 83.5 against; its last five contests yielded two wins and three losses, including a 84-78 victory over Hebraica y Macabi and a 76-101 defeat to Penarol. Bigua, undefeated in the season at 4-0, leads the league with 93.5 points scored and 83.2 allowed, and has won its sole road outing 99-91; over the past five games it has won four, notably a 94-74 win over Larranaga. Their head-to-head record is perfectly balanced at 5-5, with the most recent meeting ending 102-96 in favour of Bigua. Pythia assigns a 47% chance to Malvin and a 53% chance to Bigua, naming Bigua the favourite, and projects a 84-85 score for a total of 169.2 points. The home line of 3.5 gives Malvin a 57% chance to cover, while the 167.5 total offers a 53% over probability, and there is a 5% chance the game will go into overtime. The next encounter will hinge on whether Malvin can turn its recent struggles into a comeback.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 77.0 | 83.8 | 160.8 | -6.8 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 76.5 | 83.5 | 160.0 | -7.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 77.5 | 84.0 | 161.5 | -6.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.9 | 86.3 | 163.2 | -9.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.2 | 84.0 | 161.2 | -6.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 73.5 | 86.8 | 160.3 | -13.3 | 25% |
| vs Similar (15) | 82.0 | 81.1 | 163.1 | +0.9 | 60% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 85.7 | 80.7 | 166.3 | +5.0 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 93.5 | 83.2 | 176.8 | +10.2 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 91.7 | 80.7 | 172.3 | +11.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 99.0 | 91.0 | 190.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.5 | 89.6 | 179.1 | -0.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 90.4 | 86.6 | 177.0 | +3.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 80.9 | 99.1 | 180.0 | -18.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (10) | 87.7 | 87.1 | 174.8 | +0.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 95.9 | 83.8 | 179.8 | +12.1 | 85% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 41.8 | 82.7 | -1.0 | 53% | 33% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.7 | 40.1 | 81.8 | +1.6 | 64% | 21% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.1 | 43.4 | 83.4 | -3.3 | 44% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.8 | 43.3 | 84.1 | -2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.8 | 43.6 | 84.4 | -2.8 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 38.2 | 44.2 | 82.4 | -6.1 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Similar (15) | 42.2 | 40.5 | 82.7 | +1.7 | 67% | 27% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 44.7 | 38.7 | 83.3 | +6.0 | 67% | 67% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.7 | 45.4 | 90.1 | -0.7 | 43% | 67% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 46.2 | 43.7 | 89.9 | +2.6 | 56% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.9 | 47.3 | 90.2 | -4.4 | 29% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.2 | 46.6 | 91.8 | -1.4 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.6 | 44.0 | 87.6 | -0.4 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 41.1 | 53.1 | 94.3 | -12.0 | 0% | 71% |
| vs Similar (10) | 44.1 | 44.0 | 88.1 | +0.1 | 40% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (13) | 47.1 | 42.2 | 89.3 | +4.8 | 69% | 69% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malvin +7 | 70.5% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +9.2pp | Won |
| Malvin +7.5 | 71.4% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Malvin +8.5 | 74.4% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Malvin +13.5 | 86.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Malvin over 70.5 | 90.6% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Malvin over 78.5 | 70.4% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Malvin over 72.5 | 86.9% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Malvin +23.5 | 96.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Malvin +18.5 | 93.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Bigua under 96.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Malvin over 73.5 | 84.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Malvin over 75.5 | 79.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Bigua under 94.5 | 82.0% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Malvin over 77.5 | 73.7% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Bigua under 95.5 | 84.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Malvin over 71.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Bigua under 92.5 | 76.6% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 85.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp | Won |
| Bigua under 90.5 | 70.3% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Over 156.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Bigua over 67.5 | 95.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Over 141.5 | 95.3% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Over 146.5 | 91.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Bigua over 69.5 | 93.4% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Won |
| Bigua over 73.5 | 86.8% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Bigua over 71.5 | 90.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Bigua over 68.5 | 94.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 93.9% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Bigua +21.5 | 96.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Won |
| Bigua +16.5 | 93.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Won |
| Bigua over 70.5 | 92.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | - |
| Malvin under 99.5 | 92.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Under 193.5 | 92.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 82.4% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Bigua over 72.5 | 88.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Bigua over 75.5 | 82.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Lost |
| Over 148.5 | 89.2% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.6pp | Won |
| Bigua over 74.5 | 84.6% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Lost |
| Over 158.5 | 73.4% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Malvin under 97.5 | 89.9% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +1.9pp | Won |
| Bigua over 76.5 | 79.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Lost |
| Under 188.5 | 87.6% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Won |
| Under 183.5 | 80.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Under 191.5 | 90.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Malvin under 95.5 | 86.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 71.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Bigua +11.5 | 85.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Lost |
| Malvin under 93.5 | 81.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Malvin under 92.5 | 79.1% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Bigua over 78.5 | 73.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +0.1pp | Lost |
| Under 186.5 | 85.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
| Malvin under 91.5 | 76.3% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -1.5pp | Won |
| Malvin under 89.5 | 70.0% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | -1.9pp | Won |
| Under 181.5 | 77.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -2.0pp | Won |
| Bigua +6.5 | 73.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -2.6pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.6 | 20.1 | 50.3% | 40.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.9 | 7.7 | 32.1% | 23.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 11.5 | 70.5% | 11.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.7 | 20.9 | 50.3% | 41.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.9 | 9.6 | 32.1% | 28.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.6 | 18.9 | 70.5% | 18.9 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26/01/26 | Bigua v Malvin | 102-96 |
| 07/11/25 | Malvin v Bigua | 90-89 |
| 09/01/25 | Malvin v Bigua | 75-82 |
| 24/10/24 | Bigua v Malvin | 73-86 |
| 29/03/24 | Malvin v Bigua | 103-91 |
| 12/03/24 | Bigua v Malvin | 81-82 |
| 18/12/23 | Bigua v Malvin | 89-75 |
| 04/11/23 | Malvin v Bigua | 73-84 |
| 24/01/23 | Malvin v Bigua | 93-85 |
| 22/11/22 | Bigua v Malvin | 100-90 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLW | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 77.0 | 76.5 | 77.5 |
| Allowed / game | 83.8 | 83.5 | 84.0 |
| Point differential | -6.8 | -7.0 | -6.5 |
| Avg total | 160.8 | 160.0 | 161.5 |
| Over 167.75 | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 93.5 | 91.7 | 99.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.2 | 80.7 | 91.0 |
| Point differential | +10.2 | +11.0 | +8.0 |
| Avg total | 176.8 | 172.3 | 190.0 |
| Over 167.75 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 93.3 | 76.3 | +17.0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 93.5 | 83.2 | +10.2 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 93.8 | 86.8 | +7.0 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 77.0 | 73.0 | +4.0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.3 | 74.7 | +6.7 | |
| 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.0 | 83.8 | -6.8 | |
| 7 | Larranaga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 84.6 | 85.2 | -0.6 |
| 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 93.7 | 94.7 | -1.0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.3 | 84.3 | -3.0 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 81.6 | 84.0 | -2.4 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 77.4 | 82.2 | -4.8 | |
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 71.0 | 86.6 | -15.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 17 | 21 | 26 | 87 | |
| 21 | 19 | 20 | 13 | 73 |
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