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Manisa vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 92-78
29-18 23-21 23-18 17-21
Position#11
Record7-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game84.0
Manisa 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#15
Record4-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game89.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 23· Muradiye Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Manisa v Karsiyaka
22 Mar 2026
MAI92
KAR78
19 Apr 2025
MAI100
KAR79
04 May 2024
MAI80
KAR98
21 Jan 2023
MAI80
KAR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 76
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
84avg 76
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
67avg 76
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
68avg 76
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 76
A01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
94-76
94
76
+18
87avg 76
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
W
93-77
93
77
+16
89avg 76
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 76
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
92-96
92
96
-4
77avg 76
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
18-17
14-23
27-27
18-24
26-18
24-15
18-18
25-24
15-21
18-22
16-19
25-19
23-24
13-19
16-19
14-21
23-11
20-21
22-18
16-27
20-19
15-26
28-15
22-13
27-23
16-11
29-29
24-20
24-30
22-15
23-12
13-19
19-22
24-21
20-23
19-24
28-23
28-24
17-25
165.6Avg total
82.9Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.584.0163.5-4.432%
Season at home (10)81.984.2166.1-2.340%
Season away (12)77.683.8161.3-6.225%
Last 10 (10)82.982.7165.6+0.240%
Last 5 (5)86.884.2171.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.587.7165.2-10.28%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.184.9172.1+2.253%
vs Weaker (3)91.776.3168.0+15.3100%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
94-97
94
97
-3
101avg 72
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
106avg 72
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
87avg 72
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
103-91 OT
103
91
+12
no box
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
70avg 72
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
55-91
55
91
-36
40avg 72
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
81-98
81
98
-17
76avg 72
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
70avg 72
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 72
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
66avg 72
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
18-26
20-24
33-27
28-37
21-13
15-18
28-24
16-20
24-24
24-21
20-21
19-15
16-25
24-27
30-22
15-33
24-18
20-18
22-14
16-19
10-29
14-25
15-18
19-22
19-28
22-25
21-23
11-22
28-18
9-22
24-20
17-21
15-23
17-26
30-19
13-32
17-10
19-32
26-11
173.4Avg total
83.1Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.089.0168.0-10.018%
Season at home (11)77.985.9163.8-8.027%
Season away (11)80.192.2172.3-12.19%
Last 10 (10)83.190.3173.4-7.220%
Last 5 (5)72.489.0161.4-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.491.4167.7-15.06%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.984.2166.1-2.246%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
ManisaKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H23/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A13/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.4Avg total
41.9Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.887.9+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.444.089.4+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)43.043.686.6-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.584.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.086.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.144.885.8-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)45.843.989.7+1.960%-
vs Weaker (3)47.739.787.3+8.0100%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.4Avg total
36.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.745.684.3-6.917%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.442.580.9-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)39.148.787.7-9.67%-
Last 10 (10)36.945.582.4-8.60%-
Last 5 (5)33.044.877.8-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.246.985.1-8.86%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.543.883.3-4.431%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.3
53.1%
54.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.6
30.0%
35.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.515.7
73.0%
76.0%15.7
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.5
54.6%
54.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.3
36.1%
35.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.115.8
82.7%
76.0%15.8
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Manisa
LLWWLWLLWL
Karsiyaka
LLLLLLWLWL
#11
League position
#15
+0.6
Net rating
-10.0
100.3
Offensive rating
98.8
99.7
Defensive rating
108.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
14.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.0%
3-point %
36.1%
68.0%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 98.8Defence99.7 · 108.9Shooting50.1% · 54.4%3-point %30.0% · 36.1%Ball care14.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds35.3% · 30.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Manisa   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Manisa wins
3
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Karsiyaka v Manisa69-80
19/04/25Manisa v Karsiyaka100-79
22/12/24Karsiyaka v Manisa103-91
04/05/24Manisa v Karsiyaka80-98
06/01/24Karsiyaka v Manisa87-91
21/01/23Manisa v Karsiyaka80-76
01/10/22Karsiyaka v Manisa79-76
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ATrabzonspor92-96
09/03/26HAnadolu Efes76-85
13/02/26AMerkezefendi93-77
08/02/26HBursaspor94-76
01/02/26AEsenler Erokspor79-87
23/01/26HBuyukcekmece79-71
18/01/26AMersin SK77-81
10/01/26ATurk Telekom74-86
04/01/26HGalatasaray86-75
27/12/25AFenerbahce79-93
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HTurk Telekom75-85
08/03/26ATrabzonspor79-89
15/02/26HGalatasaray72-82
08/02/26AAnadolu Efes81-98
31/01/26HFenerbahce55-91
26/01/26AMerkezefendi81-83
18/01/26HPetkim Spor103-91 OT
10/01/26ABursaspor84-86
02/01/26HTofas107-101 OT
28/12/25AEsenler Erokspor94-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeLWWWL40%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %32%40%25%
Points / game79.581.977.6
Allowed / game84.084.283.8
Point differential-4.4-2.3-6.2
Avg total163.5166.1161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWWLLL27%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%27%9%
Points / game79.077.980.1
Allowed / game89.085.992.2
Point differential-10.0-8.0-12.1
Avg total168.0163.8172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2320387%89.079.3+9.7
2 Besiktas2319483%85.976.3+9.6
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2317674%82.176.1+6.0
4 Trabzonspor2316770%87.382.3+5.0
5 Turk Telekom2315865%86.779.8+6.9
6 Anadolu Efes2314961%87.481.7+5.7
7 Esenler Erokspor2314961%81.978.4+3.5
8 Galatasaray23131057%86.384.4+1.9
9 Tofas23101343%84.784.8-0.1
10 Mersin SK2391439%84.487.4-3.0
11 Merkezefendi2391439%80.887.0-6.2
12 Manisa2271532%79.584.0-4.4
13 Petkim Spor2261627%80.188.0-7.9
14 Bursaspor2261627%80.389.5-9.2
15 Karsiyaka2241818%79.089.0-10.0
16 Buyukcekmece2332013%80.489.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manisa2923231792
Karsiyaka1821182178
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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