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Manisa vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 68-87
14-19 15-22 21-24 18-22
Position#11
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#13
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 1· Muradiye Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Manisa v Mersin SK
28 Sep 2025
MAI68
MES87
01 Mar 2025
MAI105
MES100
19 Mar 2022
MAI91
MES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manisa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin SK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
83avg 81
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
72avg 81
A25/03
Champions League
Tofas
#4
W
106-98
106
98
+8
103avg 81
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
90-109
90
109
-19
90avg 81
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
78-92
78
92
-14
52avg 81
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
100-79
100
79
+21
99avg 81
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
75avg 81
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
94-75
94
75
+19
91avg 81
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
107-84
107
84
+23
98avg 81
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
102avg 81
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
19-25
21-20
19-20
21-33
25-17
14-28
21-26
28-26
27-31
21-24
30-17
23-28
19-32
25-26
23-23
22-26
17-28
18-14
21-24
35-18
26-15
16-14
23-32
20-24
24-19
21-16
15-23
25-23
26-16
29-16
14-20
28-25
27-23
21-24
31-12
34-26
28-28
20-18
25-17
183.1Avg total
93.0Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.090.1183.1+2.950%
Last 5 (5)97.681.8179.4+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)82.789.7172.4-7.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.991.2185.1+2.757%
vs Weaker (6)90.786.3177.0+4.367%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
L
93-101
93
101
-8
91avg 77
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
63-66
63
66
-3
53avg 77
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
75avg 77
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 77
H20/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
65-87
65
87
-22
50avg 77
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
W
89-82
89
82
+7
87avg 77
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
60-59
60
59
+1
2avg 77
A09/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
W
105-89
105
89
+16
107avg 77
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
71-92
71
92
-21
60avg 77
A30/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
84avg 77
H01/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
20-22
21-25
23-27
17-17
20-20
19-18
7-11
26-23
22-28
20-17
12-26
28-22
16-19
15-17
19-15
9-28
21-16
14-19
21-24
25-17
21-16
24-17
19-32
20-15
13-11
12-17
15-16
28-26
28-22
31-19
18-22
20-28
13-23
21-25
17-16
18-25
20-27
23-14
20-18
161.2Avg total
78.5Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.582.7161.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)81.281.2162.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.884.8159.6-9.923%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.687.5178.1+3.164%
vs Weaker (2)69.083.0152.0-14.050%
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.6-3.6
ManisaMersin SK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A25/03
Champions League
Tofas
#4
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
42-60
42
60
-18
H05/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#13
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H19/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
98.9Avg total
50.2Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.346.091.3-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.144.790.8+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)44.547.592.0-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)50.248.798.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.643.498.0+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)42.844.387.1-1.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.648.195.7-0.636%-
vs Weaker (6)44.343.888.2+0.533%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#1
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H20/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A27/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H03/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A09/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A30/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H01/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.6Avg total
41.4Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.582.5-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.084.2-1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.5-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.284.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.083.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.342.578.8-6.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.943.187.0+0.943%-
vs Weaker (2)34.038.072.0-4.050%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.4
53.4%
54.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.8
33.5%
35.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.717.7
74.7%
76.0%17.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Manisa wins
1
Mersin SK wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Manisa v Mersin SK105-100 OT
27/10/24Mersin SK v Manisa97-88
19/03/22Manisa v Mersin SK91-86
20/11/21Mersin SK v Manisa70-83
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25HYalovaspor107-89
10/05/25ABuyukcekmece107-84
02/05/25HGalatasaray94-75
26/04/25ABesiktas80-82
19/04/25HKarsiyaka100-79
13/04/25AMerkezefendi78-92
05/04/25HBahcesehir Kol.90-109
29/03/25ATofas106-98
25/03/25AGalatasaray81-104
22/03/25HTurk Telekom87-89
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/25HAnadolu Efes81-84
30/05/25AAnadolu Efes71-92
18/05/25HDarussafaka105-89
09/05/25ABahcesehir Kol.60-59
03/05/25HBursaspor89-82
27/04/25ATofas65-87
20/04/25HYalovaspor78-73
12/04/25ATurk Telekom80-94
06/04/25HBuyukcekmece63-66
30/03/25AFenerbahce93-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trabzonspor110100%94.076.0+18.0
2 Anadolu Efes110100%90.076.0+14.0
3 Petkim Spor110100%85.073.0+12.0
4 Bahcesehir Kol.110100%93.086.0+7.0
5 Besiktas110100%77.072.0+5.0
6 Tofas110100%80.078.0+2.0
7 Fenerbahce1010%78.080.0-2.0
8 Turk Telekom1010%72.077.0-5.0
9 Galatasaray1010%86.093.0-7.0
10 Karsiyaka1010%73.085.0-12.0
11 Esenler Erokspor1010%76.090.0-14.0
12 Buyukcekmece1010%76.094.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manisa1415211868
Mersin SK1922242287
← all games of the day
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