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Tofas vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 87-65
28-9 16-21 19-14 24-21
Position#4
Record16-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game86.8
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
vs
Position#6
Record13-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game85.9
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 27· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tofas v Mersin SK
07 Feb 2026
TOF83
MES88
27 Apr 2025
TOF87
MES65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin SK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#16
W
105-90
105
90
+15
106avg 87
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 87
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
L
93-98
93
98
-5
90avg 87
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
W
102-93
102
93
+9
105avg 87
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
111-93
111
93
+18
117avg 87
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 87
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
98-106
98
106
-8
94avg 87
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
72-97
72
97
-25
67avg 87
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
84avg 87
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
58avg 87
A21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
32-13
27-35
27-19
14-26
21-21
15-18
22-19
28-20
20-29
26-23
19-26
30-25
23-21
27-20
22-27
23-22
29-26
31-26
28-19
25-24
27-20
23-21
20-23
26-28
31-27
24-21
17-30
14-28
22-20
17-33
19-16
29-23
24-15
16-19
19-32
17-8
13-28
16-30
26-20
183.2Avg total
90.8Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)88.486.8175.2+1.762%
Season at home (12)95.387.0182.3+8.383%
Season away (14)82.586.6169.1-4.143%
Last 10 (10)90.892.4183.2-1.640%
Last 5 (5)85.093.2178.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.388.3169.6-7.029%
vs Similar (16)89.689.1178.6+0.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.886.8178.7+5.067%
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSK
Date
Competition
Tofas
#6
W
101-95
101
95
+6
102avg 80
H12/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 80
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Manisa
#12
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
93avg 80
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
93-99
93
99
-6
92avg 80
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
83-102
83
102
-19
83avg 80
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
89-73
89
73
+16
83avg 80
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
93-101
93
101
-8
91avg 80
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
63-66
63
66
-3
53avg 80
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
75avg 80
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 80
H20/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
21-20
29-27
27-25
12-23
21-16
22-21
8-23
23-26
24-19
24-23
20-23
26-18
24-28
26-24
17-29
19-22
19-26
19-25
26-29
30-23
20-21
21-15
18-14
29-27
20-22
21-25
23-27
17-17
20-20
19-18
7-11
26-23
22-28
20-17
12-26
28-22
16-19
15-17
19-15
173.4Avg total
84.3Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.385.9169.2-2.750%
Season at home (13)83.580.5164.0+2.969%
Season away (13)83.191.3174.4-8.231%
Last 10 (10)84.389.1173.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)80.681.4162.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)77.386.7164.0-9.322%
vs Similar (18)86.285.7171.9+0.661%
vs Weaker (2)69.083.0152.0-14.050%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -4.5-4.5
TofasMersin SK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yalovaspor
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H29/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H13/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A21/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
91.4Avg total
46.7Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.943.788.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.242.891.9+6.485%-
Last 30 away (17)41.744.486.1-2.624%-
Last 10 (10)46.744.791.4+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.289.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.345.486.7-4.129%-
vs Similar (16)46.843.189.9+3.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.543.087.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H12/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Manisa
#12
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A30/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H06/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H20/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.4Avg total
44.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.482.9-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.842.283.0-1.544%-
Last 30 away (14)40.142.682.8-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.388.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.644.490.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.642.279.8-4.722%-
vs Similar (18)42.443.085.4-0.639%-
vs Weaker (2)34.038.072.0-4.050%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.325.4
61.5%
54.3%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.2
31.3%
35.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
76.0%17.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tofas wins
2
Mersin SK wins
DateGameScore
12/02/25Mersin SK v Tofas101-95
28/12/24Mersin SK v Tofas79-58
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/25ATurk Telekom72-86
13/04/25HFenerbahce88-89
07/04/25AAnadolu Efes72-97
29/03/25HManisa98-106
22/03/25APetkim Spor95-88
16/03/25HDarussafaka111-93
12/03/25HBilbao102-93
08/03/25ABursaspor93-98
05/03/25ABilbao72-84
28/02/25HYalovaspor105-90
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25HYalovaspor78-73
12/04/25ATurk Telekom80-94
06/04/25HBuyukcekmece63-66
30/03/25AFenerbahce93-101
22/03/25HGalatasaray89-73
17/03/25AAnadolu Efes83-102
09/03/25HBesiktas93-99
01/03/25AManisa100-105 OT
14/02/25HBesiktas63-83
12/02/25HTofas101-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL62%
HomeWWWLL83%
AwayLLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %62%83%43%
Points / game88.495.382.5
Allowed / game86.887.086.6
Point differential+1.7+8.3-4.1
Avg total175.2182.3169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayWLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%69%31%
Points / game83.383.583.1
Allowed / game85.980.591.3
Point differential-2.7+2.9-8.2
Avg total169.2164.0174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2625196%90.581.0+9.5
2 Besiktas2722581%91.281.8+9.4
3 Anadolu Efes2619773%90.580.3+10.3
4 Tofas26161062%88.486.8+1.7
5 Bahcesehir Kol.27161159%83.180.4+2.7
6 Galatasaray26141254%88.385.9+2.4
7 Mersin SK26131350%83.385.9-2.7
8 Buyukcekmece27131448%86.085.2+0.8
9 Turk Telekom27121544%83.584.1-0.6
10 Karsiyaka26101638%85.187.8-2.7
11 Bursaspor26101638%84.590.7-6.1
12 Petkim Spor2691735%82.084.2-2.3
13 Merkezefendi2691735%82.588.0-5.6
14 Darussafaka2791833%82.487.5-5.1
15 Manisa2781930%86.189.6-3.5
16 Yalovaspor2662023%80.388.7-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2816192487
Mersin SK921142165
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