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Tofas vs Manisa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 98-106
26-28 31-27 24-21 17-30
Position#4
Record16-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game85.4
vs
Manisa 🏆
Turkey
Position#12
Record6-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game89.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 23· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Tofas v Manisa
13 Dec 2025
TOF80
MAI62
29 Mar 2025
TOF98
MAI106
22 Oct 2023
TOF77
MAI89
15 Oct 2022
TOF90
MAI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Manisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 87
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 87
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
77avg 87
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
92avg 87
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
105-90
105
90
+15
106avg 87
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 87
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
L
93-98
93
98
-5
90avg 87
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
W
102-93
102
93
+9
105avg 87
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
111-93
111
93
+18
117avg 87
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 87
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
22-16
14-17
21-25
17-25
22-24
16-14
25-16
23-13
25-26
22-25
13-24
23-24
20-21
27-29
25-27
19-23
32-13
27-35
27-19
14-26
21-21
15-18
22-19
28-20
20-29
26-23
19-26
30-25
23-21
27-20
22-27
23-22
29-26
31-26
28-19
25-24
27-20
23-21
20-23
182.1Avg total
92.4Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)89.585.4174.9+4.173%
Season at home (10)95.884.9180.7+10.9100%
Season away (12)84.285.8170.0-1.550%
Last 10 (10)92.489.7182.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)94.691.2185.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.886.4168.2-4.640%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.288.1178.3+2.171%
vs Weaker (10)92.482.7175.1+9.780%
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManisa
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
L
85-96
85
96
-11
74avg 79
H05/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
90avg 79
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
98avg 79
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
L
74-98
74
98
-24
68avg 79
A05/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 79
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
98avg 79
H12/03
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
67avg 79
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
97-103
97
103
-6
91avg 79
H18/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#7
L
87-89
87
89
-2
83avg 79
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
72avg 79
A25/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
25-17
15-23
30-28
12-20
28-23
28-18
21-19
26-23
19-24
23-24
23-20
20-27
22-27
16-24
16-20
14-23
19-15
21-25
18-20
28-18
21-25
23-16
26-16
19-17
18-16
14-12
22-32
24-26
22-27
32-25
19-25
28-24
19-25
21-20
19-20
21-33
25-17
14-28
21-26
176.6Avg total
86.1Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.089.0174.0-4.027%
Season at home (11)85.489.4174.7-4.027%
Season away (11)84.688.7173.4-4.127%
Last 10 (10)86.190.5176.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)87.289.6176.8-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.289.0170.2-7.817%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.892.5182.3-2.638%
vs Weaker (5)87.485.8173.2+1.660%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
TofasManisa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H01/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A09/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/02
Turkish Cup
Yalovaspor
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Bursaspor
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bilbao
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H12/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Darussafaka
#15
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
91.8Avg total
47.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.388.3+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.641.689.2+6.085%-
Last 30 away (17)43.144.587.6-1.429%-
Last 10 (10)47.444.491.8+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.046.894.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.046.486.4-6.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)47.342.790.0+4.664%-
vs Weaker (10)44.742.387.0+2.460%-
This opponent (Manisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ManisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H05/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A05/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Rytas
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H12/03
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H18/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A25/03
Champions League
88.0Avg total
42.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.244.586.7-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.343.986.2-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)42.045.287.2-3.220%-
Last 10 (10)42.545.588.0-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.690.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.243.284.5-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.546.890.3-3.223%-
vs Weaker (5)40.841.882.6-1.020%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.325.4
61.5%
54.1%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.2
31.3%
35.8%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.917.3
75.5%
76.0%17.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Manisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manisa: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.4
53.4%
54.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.8
33.5%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.717.7
74.7%
76.0%17.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWLLWLLWW
Manisa
LLLLWLLWWL
#4
League position
#12
+4.9
Net rating
-5.0
114.3
Offensive rating
112.0
109.4
Defensive rating
117.1
56.8%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
13.8%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.3%
3-point %
33.5%
67.4%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 112.0Defence109.4 · 117.1Shooting56.8% · 52.1%3-point %31.3% · 33.5%Ball care18.4% · 13.8%Off. rebounds31.2% · 25.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Tofas   ■ Manisa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tofas wins
3
Manisa wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24Manisa v Tofas106-109 OT
04/02/24Manisa v Tofas91-89
22/10/23Tofas v Manisa77-89
04/02/23Manisa v Tofas82-76
15/10/22Tofas v Manisa90-69
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25APetkim Spor95-88
16/03/25HDarussafaka111-93
12/03/25HBilbao102-93
08/03/25ABursaspor93-98
05/03/25ABilbao72-84
28/02/25HYalovaspor105-90
12/02/25AMersin SK95-101
09/02/25ABuyukcekmece83-88
05/02/25ABasket Zaragoza80-79
01/02/25HGalatasaray88-83
Manisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/25AGalatasaray81-104
22/03/25HTurk Telekom87-89
18/03/25HUnicaja97-103
15/03/25AFenerbahce73-77
12/03/25HRytas98-75
10/03/25HAnadolu Efes72-83
05/03/25ARytas74-98
01/03/25HMersin SK105-100 OT
10/02/25APetkim Spor89-80
05/02/25HGalatasaray85-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game89.595.884.2
Allowed / game85.484.985.8
Point differential+4.1+10.9-1.5
Avg total174.9180.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Manisa
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL27%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayLLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%27%27%
Points / game85.085.484.6
Allowed / game89.089.488.7
Point differential-4.0-4.0-4.1
Avg total174.0174.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %18%27%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2221195%89.780.0+9.8
2 Besiktas2318578%90.382.0+8.2
3 Anadolu Efes2216673%89.879.2+10.5
4 Tofas2216673%89.585.4+4.1
5 Bahcesehir Kol.2213959%82.679.7+2.9
6 Galatasaray22121055%87.184.4+2.7
7 Mersin SK22121055%84.186.4-2.2
8 Turk Telekom22101245%83.083.9-0.9
9 Bursaspor23101343%84.889.2-4.4
10 Buyukcekmece2291341%85.385.5-0.3
11 Karsiyaka2391439%85.587.3-1.8
12 Petkim Spor2281436%82.383.9-1.6
13 Darussafaka2371630%81.988.0-6.0
14 Merkezefendi2371630%81.588.3-6.9
15 Manisa2261627%85.089.0-4.0
16 Yalovaspor2351822%80.189.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas2631241798
Manisa28272130106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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