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Illawarra Hawks vs Hornsby S. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 101-91 (OT)
22-17 36-19 18-23 8-25 17-7
Position#15
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game103.4
vs
Position#14
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game94.9
AustraliaNBL1 East· WIN Entertainment Centre
Other2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hornsby S. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
L
106-115 OT
106
115
-9
no box
A07/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
113-108 OT
113
108
+5
no box
H10/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
94-100
94
100
-6
86avg 79
A13/03
NBL
Canberra
#2
L
69-101
69
101
-32
no box
A06/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A13/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
L
92-95
92
95
-3
no box
H20/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
71-140
71
140
-69
no box
H21/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
69-107
69
107
-38
no box
H25/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
91-113
91
113
-22
no box
A27/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
A04/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
28-31
27-18
16-26
19-25
31-24
23-26
24-22
24-30
23-24
18-22
29-24
22-28
12-23
9-25
26-25
16-21
13-20
16-21
19-14
26-18
31-21
14-34
21-22
18-35
16-48
22-35
15-22
10-35
25-25
23-25
11-22
26-32
18-26
18-21
29-34
14-14
21-20
24-27
10-31
188.5Avg total
83.8Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.0103.4178.4-28.40%
Season at home (3)77.3114.0191.3-36.70%
Season away (4)73.295.5168.8-22.20%
Last 10 (10)83.8104.7188.5-20.910%
Last 5 (5)78.4109.4187.8-31.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)85.1103.3188.4-18.215%
vs Similar (15)93.288.4181.6+4.860%
vs Weaker (2)108.075.0183.0+33.0100%
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormS.
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
61-73
61
73
-12
no box
H14/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
H16/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
74-100
74
100
-26
no box
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
no box
H07/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
no box
A13/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
no box
H14/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
61-81
61
81
-20
no box
A20/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
69-95
69
95
-26
no box
A25/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
54-90
54
90
-36
no box
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H04/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
16-18
14-23
18-18
9-24
17-26
19-16
27-18
16-29
26-24
22-20
10-27
18-17
24-28
22-28
18-18
21-32
15-25
25-31
18-22
25-24
21-25
18-25
23-30
22-19
11-22
18-17
10-23
18-20
17-28
17-25
17-22
11-17
14-23
9-26
20-24
30-18
24-19
16-29
8-22
163.3Avg total
71.7Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.094.9167.9-21.90%
Season at home (3)82.394.3176.7-12.00%
Season away (5)67.495.2162.6-27.80%
Last 10 (10)71.791.6163.3-19.90%
Last 5 (5)69.891.6161.4-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)67.787.9155.6-20.30%
vs Similar (3)72.073.7145.7-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -5.5-5.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -5.5-5.5
Illawarra HawksHornsby S.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A07/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H10/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A13/03
NBL
Canberra
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A06/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A13/04
NBL1 East
Penrith P.
#16
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H20/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
34-83
34
83
-49
H21/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H25/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A27/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A04/05
NBL1 East
94.7Avg total
42.2Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.046.991.9-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.748.092.7-3.343%-
Last 30 away (16)45.246.091.2-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.252.594.7-10.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.054.895.8-13.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.850.890.6-11.138%-
vs Similar (15)48.744.893.5+3.947%-
vs Weaker (2)50.537.588.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Hornsby S.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hornsby S.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hills Hornets
#8
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/07
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#10
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H16/07
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A06/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/04
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A13/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H14/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/04
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A27/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H04/05
NBL1 East
82.0Avg total
36.8Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.742.475.1-9.713%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.641.674.1-9.014%-
Last 30 away (16)32.843.175.9-10.212%-
Last 10 (10)36.845.282.0-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.081.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)32.044.076.0-12.04%-
vs Similar (3)37.331.368.7+6.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.4
33.3%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws27.919.5
69.9%
-19.5
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hornsby S.their own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illawarra Hawks wins
0
Hornsby S. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24AHills Hornets69-92
27/04/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits91-113
25/04/24HSutherland Sharks69-107
21/04/24HInner West Bulls71-140
20/04/24HPenrith P.92-95
13/04/24ABankstown Bruins64-76
06/04/24ACanberra69-101
13/03/24AMelbourne United94-100
10/03/24HMelbourne United113-108 OT
07/03/24AMelbourne United106-115 OT
Hornsby S.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HSutherland Sharks78-88
27/04/24ACanberra54-90
25/04/24AMaitland M.69-95
20/04/24ANewcastle Falcons61-81
14/04/24HInner West Bulls87-104
13/04/24AManly W.79-110
07/04/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits82-91
06/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders74-100
16/07/23HSydney Comets72-84
14/07/23HHills Hornets61-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illawarra Hawks
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.077.373.2
Allowed / game103.4114.095.5
Point differential-28.4-36.7-22.2
Avg total178.4191.3168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hornsby S.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.082.367.4
Allowed / game94.994.395.2
Point differential-21.9-12.0-27.8
Avg total167.9176.7162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maitland M.770100%98.475.7+22.7
2 Canberra98189%86.068.9+17.1
3 Inner West Bulls87188%95.878.5+17.2
4 Manly W.54180%95.880.2+15.6
5 Albury-Wodonga Bandits75271%95.088.9+6.1
6 BA CoE74357%83.977.9+6.0
7 Bankstown Bruins74357%76.774.3+2.4
8 Hills Hornets74357%83.682.7+0.9
9 Sydney Comets84450%80.579.9+0.6
10 Norths Bears84450%80.680.5+0.1
11 Sutherland Sharks83538%80.884.0-3.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders83538%85.090.8-5.8
13 Newcastle Falcons82625%67.878.5-10.8
14 Penrith P.81712%79.993.8-13.9
15 Hornsby S.8080%73.094.9-21.9
16 Illawarra Hawks7070%75.0103.4-28.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Illawarra Hawks223618817101
Hornsby S.17192325791
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