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Mantova vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 May 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-82 (OT)
23-14 18-21 16-27 21-16 7-4
Position#16
Record14-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#17
Record12-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game76.0
ItalySerie A2Round 3
Other2020-21
Meetings · Mantova v Pistoia
29 Jan 2023
MANT79
PIS94
16 Jan 2022
MANT66
PIS85
02 May 2021
MANT85
PIS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mantova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MantovaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bergamo
#23
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A28/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#2
L
52-85
52
85
-33
H07/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A10/03
Serie A2
Tortona
#5
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A14/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H17/03
Serie A2
Biella
#20
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A21/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H28/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#18
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H10/04
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H25/04
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A28/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
12-24
11-15
20-15
18-18
15-29
6-23
13-15
15-13
15-24
19-15
13-23
20-18
18-16
23-17
18-23
15-18
16-13
24-12
20-21
16-29
23-31
18-15
20-23
13-22
20-16
22-11
20-20
25-18
22-21
24-17
31-18
27-17
12-23
11-15
31-21
15-15
23-11
10-22
26-12
148.9Avg total
74.4Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.575.8151.2-0.250%
Season at home (14)77.674.8152.4+2.964%
Season away (14)73.476.7150.1-3.436%
Last 10 (10)74.474.5148.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.875.4157.2+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.882.2155.0-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (23)76.473.7150.1+2.857%
vs Weaker (1)87.081.0168.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H24/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A28/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H03/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A17/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A28/03
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H10/04
Serie A2
Latina
#24
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A18/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A25/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H28/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
10-16
17-12
14-17
22-19
19-17
25-28
25-14
16-7
17-13
16-13
19-17
21-20
11-15
7-24
22-17
15-17
18-29
14-24
25-11
17-22
18-23
18-11
27-26
27-29
28-15
17-19
22-13
21-21
22-20
19-6
15-22
25-17
21-27
19-23
25-16
17-18
15-17
23-25
16-22
149.7Avg total
75.5Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.276.0150.2-1.846%
Season at home (13)73.074.1147.1-1.154%
Season away (13)75.478.0153.4-2.638%
Last 10 (10)75.574.2149.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)82.478.4160.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.280.7151.9-9.422%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.977.7154.6-0.853%
vs Weaker (4)75.568.0143.5+7.575%
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
MantovaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MantovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bergamo
#23
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A28/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H07/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/03
Serie A2
Tortona
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/03
Serie A2
Biella
#20
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A21/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H28/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#18
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H10/04
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H25/04
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A28/04
Serie A2
75.6Avg total
36.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.338.777.0-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.138.578.5+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)36.538.975.4-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.275.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.041.379.3-3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.537.876.3+0.748%-
vs Weaker (1)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#1
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H24/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H03/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A17/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/03
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H10/04
Serie A2
Latina
#24
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A25/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H28/04
Serie A2
75.2Avg total
37.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.475.8-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.737.573.2-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)37.141.378.4-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.275.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.884.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.942.274.1-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.239.777.9-1.547%-
vs Weaker (4)39.231.570.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mantovatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.8%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mantova wins
0
Pistoia wins
No previous meetings.
Mantovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21ABaltur Cento74-60
25/04/21HRavenna81-76
10/04/21HOrzinuovi102-74
28/03/21HAssigeco Piacenza75-69
21/03/21ABiella77-98
17/03/21HTrapani75-64
14/03/21ATortona79-74
10/03/21ATrapani62-75
07/03/21HBasket Torino52-85
28/02/21ABergamo67-70
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/21HTrapani71-82
25/04/21AAssigeco Piacenza90-83
18/04/21ALatina77-69
10/04/21HStella Azzurra94-76
28/03/21AFerrara80-82
17/03/21AForli72-81
14/03/21HRavenna61-76
03/03/21HSan Severo68-50
28/02/21ABaltur Cento91-78
24/02/21HBasket Napoli51-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mantova
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayLLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game75.577.673.4
Allowed / game75.874.876.7
Point differential-0.2+2.9-3.4
Avg total151.2152.4150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeLWLWL54%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%54%38%
Points / game74.273.075.4
Allowed / game76.074.178.0
Point differential-1.8-1.1-2.6
Avg total150.2147.1153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Napoli2621581%78.067.5+10.5
2 Forli2620677%78.872.6+6.2
3 Scafati2618869%80.273.6+6.5
4 Basket Torino2819968%80.870.6+10.1
5 Tortona28181064%76.669.6+7.0
6 Verona28171161%80.977.7+3.2
7 Udine28171161%76.676.2+0.4
8 Eurobasket Roma26151158%78.676.4+2.2
9 Urania Milano29161355%75.977.0-1.0
10 Trapani29161355%77.278.3-1.1
11 Treviglio28151354%81.782.1-0.5
12 Mantova28141450%75.575.8-0.2
13 Ravenna27131448%76.475.9+0.5
14 Ferrara27131448%77.279.2-2.0
15 Assigeco Piacenza28131546%82.082.5-0.5
16 Capo d'Orlando28131546%83.086.5-3.5
17 Monferrato28131546%74.079.9-5.9
18 Chieti Basket26121446%73.575.0-1.6
19 Pistoia26121446%74.276.0-1.8
20 Baltur Cento25111444%71.574.0-2.5
21 NPC Rieti2491538%75.077.9-2.9
22 Orzinuovi27101737%82.083.7-1.7
23 Bergamo28101836%75.076.0-1.0
24 Biella28101836%82.584.0-1.5
25 Latina2691735%70.873.7-2.9
26 San Severo2662023%67.875.2-7.4
27 Stella Azzurra2652119%70.980.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 27 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mantova23181621785
Pistoia14212716482
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